Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 23 December, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skyworth-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10941:1" rel="noopener">Skyworth Group (751 HK)</a> </strong><a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/1223/2022122301066.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> <em>another</em> partial buyback - this time for 100mn shares (3.87% of shares out), at HK$3.80/share, a 20.25% premium to undisturbed.  </li>
<li>On the 28 March, terms were <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0328/2023032800861.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">bumped</a> to $5.00/share. Independent shareholders approved the whitewash waiver on the 5 May.</li>
<li>The Offer closes on the 18 May. The minimum proration is 7.8%. Expect the final proration to be higher. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 23 December, Skyworth Group (751 HK) announced another partial buyback - this time for 100mn shares (3.87% of shares out), at HK$3.80/share, a 20.25% premium to undisturbed.  
On the 28 March, terms were bumped to $5.00/share. Independent shareholders approved the whitewash waiver on the 5 May.
The Offer closes on the 18 May. The minimum proration is 7.8%. Expect the final proration to be higher. 


Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Earnings for Q3 2023 came in at 17.5 mn HKD up 5% YoY, about 15% below our expectations due to closure costs incurred on some restaurants in November. </li>
<li>The company added four restaurants in December 2022 which should result in strong revenue growth in January 2023. We expect monthly revenue to surpass HKD 80 mn. </li>
<li>Post the recent rally, the stock trades at 8.2x/5.2x FY23e/24e, with a 7.3%/11.5% FY23e/24e dividend yield assuming a 60% payout. We see this as an extremely cheap HK recovery play. </li>
</ul>


Earnings for Q3 2023 came in at 17.5 mn HKD up 5% YoY, about 15% below our expectations due to closure costs incurred on some restaurants in November. 
The company added four restaurants in December 2022 which should result in strong revenue growth in January 2023. We expect monthly revenue to surpass HKD 80 mn. 
Post the recent rally, the stock trades at 8.2x/5.2x FY23e/24e, with a 7.3%/11.5% FY23e/24e dividend yield assuming a 60% payout. We see this as an extremely cheap HK recovery play. 


Taste Gourmet: Encouraging 3Q 2023, Super Set Up for Q4.

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>WH Group has sharply outperformed both global peers and HK/China-listed peers since the last bullish insight pounded the table in mid-March 2022.</li>
<li>Since then, the Pork/Feed ratio has been climbing in China and flat to down in the US, and pork prices in China are particularly robust recently. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a> remains cheap as chips. And despite gains, still Cheapest in Yonks relatively speaking. </li>
</ul>


WH Group has sharply outperformed both global peers and HK/China-listed peers since the last bullish insight pounded the table in mid-March 2022.
Since then, the Pork/Feed ratio has been climbing in China and flat to down in the US, and pork prices in China are particularly robust recently. 

WH Group (288 HK) remains cheap as chips. And despite gains, still Cheapest in Yonks relatively speaking. 


WH Group (288 HK) - Stronger, But Still WAY Cheap to Peers

<ul>
<li>The relaxing of restrictions by Hong Kong makes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet Group Ltd (8371 HK)</a> a great reopening play, trading at 8.8x FY22e and 5.6x FY23e. </li>
<li>Despite a challenging environment, the company has executed well, maintaining net margins north of 7-8%, which are far superior to other listed competitors.</li>
<li>With &gt;60% payout ratios, it trades at a dividend yield of 6.7%/11.4% FY22e/FY23e. Since 29% of the market capitalization is cash, we are confident in the dividend payments. </li>
</ul>


The relaxing of restrictions by Hong Kong makes Taste Gourmet Group Ltd (8371 HK) a great reopening play, trading at 8.8x FY22e and 5.6x FY23e. 
Despite a challenging environment, the company has executed well, maintaining net margins north of 7-8%, which are far superior to other listed competitors.
With &gt;60% payout ratios, it trades at a dividend yield of 6.7%/11.4% FY22e/FY23e. Since 29% of the market capitalization is cash, we are confident in the dividend payments. 


Taste Gourmet: Multibagger Reopening Play

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a> is two businesses - a US pork processor and a Chinese one - and both businesses are suffering lower margins than they'd like.</li>
<li>But they are doing better than and are cheaper than peers. And still the stock falls. Today, the stock price hit a 6-year low on dramatic underperformance of peers.</li>
<li>The question is what the proper discount would be for people who question its governance credentials. It's a really big discount now.</li>
</ul>



WH Group (288 HK) is two businesses - a US pork processor and a Chinese one - and both businesses are suffering lower margins than they'd like.
But they are doing better than and are cheaper than peers. And still the stock falls. Today, the stock price hit a 6-year low on dramatic underperformance of peers.
The question is what the proper discount would be for people who question its governance credentials. It's a really big discount now.


WH Group (288 HK) - Now Cheapest in Yonks Outright and Vs Peers

Hong Kong

WH Group is the world's largest pork company, operating across China, the US, and Europe. It integrates hog production, slaughtering, and the processing and distribution of packaged meats and fresh pork. The company's core business includes a wide range of packaged meat products and fresh pork. Headquartered in Hong Kong, the company traces its origins back to 1958.

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WH Group (288 HK)

Skyworth (751 HK): Thoughts On Proration

Independent shareholders approved the whitewash waiver on the 5 May. The Offer closes on the 18 May. The minimum proration is 7.8%. Expect the...

David Blennerhassett

Taste Gourmet: Encouraging 3Q 2023, Super Set Up for Q4.

Taste Gourmet trades at 8.2x/5.2x FY23e/24e, with a 7.3%/11.5% FY23e/24e dividend yield assuming a 60% payout. We see this as an extremely cheap HK...

Sameer Taneja

WH Group (288 HK) - Stronger, But Still WAY Cheap to Peers

WH Group is up strongly the past 3 months, outperforming western peers (+43%) and China/HK-listed peers (+17%). China pork price dynamics are...

Travis Lundy

Taste Gourmet: Multibagger Reopening Play

The relaxing of restrictions by Hong Kong makes Taste Gourmet Group Ltd (8371 HK) a great reopening play, trading at 8.8x FY22e/5.6x FY23e PE and a...

Sameer Taneja

WH Group (288 HK) - Now Cheapest in Yonks Outright and Vs Peers

WH Group has always been cheap to its peer group. Now it is worse. Pork prices are underperforming feed prices, lowering margins worldwide. WH has...

Travis Lundy

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