Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician, The Markets Academy

David Coloretti, CMT

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician

The Markets Academy

TMA implements 2 strategies. 1) Tactical ... Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) allows TMA to identify exhaustion / reversal points in interim trends by utilising our proprietary analysis of ST momentum indicators. 2) Medium Term ... our 3 Pillars approach to technical analysis allows TMA to determine high probability medium term outcomes in markets.

Technical Analysis

Wharf Real Estate Investment C / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>At TMA we deliver high probability outcomes by focusing on our 3 pillars of technical analysis. •1) Response to key levels. •2) Price action. •3) Momentum confirmation.</li>
<li>The 2018/2020 downtrend was broken in December 2022. Q1 2023 has delivered a correction and opportunity to enter the uptrend at improved entry levels.</li>
<li>March has the potential to complete a bullish monthly reversal pattern upon a month end close above 44.89 and confirm a likely multi-month 12% uptrend towards 50.67. </li>
</ul>


At TMA we deliver high probability outcomes by focusing on our 3 pillars of technical analysis. •1) Response to key levels. •2) Price action. •3) Momentum confirmation.
The 2018/2020 downtrend was broken in December 2022. Q1 2023 has delivered a correction and opportunity to enter the uptrend at improved entry levels.
March has the potential to complete a bullish monthly reversal pattern upon a month end close above 44.89 and confirm a likely multi-month 12% uptrend towards 50.67. 


Wharf Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (1997 HK) - Pending Confirmation of 12% Multi-Month Uptrend

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Widjaja family has responded to criticism from various quarters over its low-balled Offer for <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a> </strong>and revised terms.</li>
<li>The all-cash payout for the 62.5% stake in <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-energy-mines-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16150:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy Mines (GEMS IJ)</a></strong> is now 15.5% higher at S$0.792/share. The exit offer is 13% higher at S$0.18.1.</li>
<li>No matter how you slice it, the bump is petty. GEAR's "rump" is currently worth at least S$0.63/share.</li>
</ul>


The Widjaja family has responded to criticism from various quarters over its low-balled Offer for Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP) and revised terms.
The all-cash payout for the 62.5% stake in Golden Energy Mines (GEMS IJ) is now 15.5% higher at S$0.792/share. The exit offer is 13% higher at S$0.18.1.
No matter how you slice it, the bump is petty. GEAR's "rump" is currently worth at least S$0.63/share.


Golden Energy: Offer Bumped. Still Insulting

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 27th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 27th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 16th. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in SITC, CMB, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Yum China, Wharf Real Estate.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 16th. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in SITC, CMB, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Yum China, Wharf Real Estate.


HK Short Interest Weekly: SITC, CMB, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Yum China, Wharf Real Estate

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The September rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy (1088 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports (2020 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>The largest outflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group (1299 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical (2382 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">SMIC (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-pacific-insurance-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6177:1" rel="noopener">China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank (939)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The September rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest inflows will be on Baidu (9888 HK), SenseTime Group (20 HK), China Shenhua Energy (1088 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and Anta Sports (2020 HK).
The largest outflows will be on Meituan (3690 HK), AIA Group (1299 HK), Sunny Optical (2382 HK), SMIC (981 HK), China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK) and China Construction Bank (939).


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: September Rebalance Flows Post Capping

Hong Kong

Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited provides real estate investment services. The Company develops, invests, and operates residential and commercial properties. Wharf Real Estate Investment operates business in Hong Kong.

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Wharf Real Estate Investment C (1997 HK)

Wharf Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (1997 HK) - Pending Confirmation of 12% Multi-Month Uptrend

30+ years as a technical analyst and a razor sharp focus on momentum confirmation delivered TMA a 75% unleveraged return on our 7 Smartkarma...

David Coloretti, CMT

Golden Energy: Offer Bumped. Still Insulting

No matter how you slice it, the bump is petty. GEAR's "rump" is currently worth at least S$0.63/share. Terms have not been declared final. Buy at...

David Blennerhassett

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 27th and highlight short interest changes in Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: SITC, CMB, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Yum China, Wharf Real Estate

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 16th and highlight short interest changes in SITC, CMB, Hua Hong...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: September Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The September rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH indices will use todays close prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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