Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 21st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,012.2 million, led by information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for ZTE, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Longi Green, CATL.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 21st.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,012.2 million, led by information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, real estate.
We highlight flows for ZTE, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Longi Green, CATL.


Northbound Flows (Jul 21st): ZTE, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Longi Green, CATL

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Apple is widely expected to launch its long-awaited MR headset in WWDC 2023 this week.</li>
<li>We believe 2023 is set to be one of the best years in VR/AR ecosystem development as Apple’s first MR headset will set new standard for innovation.</li>
<li>We expect technology upgrade to accelerate in displays, optics/sensors and tracking/interaction for enhancing user experience. </li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Apple is widely expected to launch its long-awaited MR headset in WWDC 2023 this week.
We believe 2023 is set to be one of the best years in VR/AR ecosystem development as Apple’s first MR headset will set new standard for innovation.
We expect technology upgrade to accelerate in displays, optics/sensors and tracking/interaction for enhancing user experience. 

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Apple MR: Long-awaited next “iPhone moment”

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>The inclusions will also be added to other indices over the next couple of weeks and there will be inflows from multiple index trackers.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed and with 9 trading days to implementation of the changes and the inclusions also being added to other indices, there could be further outperformance near-term.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.
The inclusions will also be added to other indices over the next couple of weeks and there will be inflows from multiple index trackers.
The adds have outperformed and with 9 trading days to implementation of the changes and the inclusions also being added to other indices, there could be further outperformance near-term.


CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Inflows for the Inclusions

<ul>
<li>There are 6 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>All the inclusions are also additions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shanghai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> and the passive flows will come from multiple trackers.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last couple of weeks and there could be further outperformance over the next two weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.
All the inclusions are also additions to the CSI 500 Index and the passive flows will come from multiple trackers.
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last couple of weeks and there could be further outperformance over the next two weeks.


CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Six Changes in June

OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group / Equity Bottom-Up

OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group (603501 CH)

<ul><li>Willsemi announced preliminary 2022 net income of RMB800 mn to RMB1,200 mn, showing 73.2% to 82.1% YoY decline.</li><li>Even a weak 4Q22 was already widely anticipated, the results came in significantly below our/consensus forecasts of RMB2.46 bn/RMB2.97 bn.</li><li>The mgmt. attributed the miss to 1) weak consumer electronic market demand (lower rev. and margin), 2) an inventory write down of RMB1.3 bn to RMB1.5 bn (as a result of high inventory base). We see no clear sign of recovery of consumer electronic demand in near-term, maintain HOLD and revise TP to RMB72.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Willsemi announced preliminary 2022 net income of RMB800 mn to RMB1,200 mn, showing 73.2% to 82.1% YoY decline.Even a weak 4Q22 was already widely anticipated, the results came in significantly below our/consensus forecasts of RMB2.46 bn/RMB2.97 bn.The mgmt. attributed the miss to 1) weak consumer electronic market demand (lower rev. and margin), 2) an inventory write down of RMB1.3 bn to RMB1.5 bn (as a result of high inventory base). We see no clear sign of recovery of consumer electronic demand in near-term, maintain HOLD and revise TP to RMB72.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Willsemi (603501 CH) – Preliminary 2022 Results Came in Below Estimate

China

OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group, Inc. manufactures image sensor and semiconductor products. The Company produces and sells complementary metal oxide semiconductors, protecting devices, power devices, power management integrated circuits, radio frequency devices, microphone sensors, and more. OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group markets its products worldwide.

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OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group (603501 CH)

Northbound Flows (Jul 21st): ZTE, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Longi Green, CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for ZTE, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Longi Green, CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Technology – Apple MR: Long-awaited next “iPhone moment”

We believe 2023 is set to be one of the best years in VR/AR ecosystem development as Apple’s first MR headset will set new standard for innovation.

CMB International

CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Inflows for the Inclusions

There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index. The inclusions will also be added to other indices over the next couple of weeks. The...

Brian Freitas

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Six Changes in June

There are 6 index changes in June. All the adds are also inclusions for the CSI500 Index, so there will be passive inflows from multiple trackers....

Brian Freitas

Willsemi (603501 CH) – Preliminary 2022 Results Came in Below Estimate

Even a weak 4Q22 was already widely anticipated, the results came in significantly below our/consensus forecasts of RMB2.46 bn/RMB2.97 bn.

CMB International

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