Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Following an <a href="https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/wing-tai-an-under-appreciated-property-play-ripe-for-privatisation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Staits Times article</a> this week - or perhaps just a coincidence - property play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wing-tai-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19015:1" rel="noopener">Wing Tai Holdings (WINGT SP)</a> popped 8%. </li>
<li>Yesterday's close of S$1.47/share, compares to its book value of S$4.24 (as at 31 Dec 2023). Cash on hand is S$684mn against borrowings of ~S$770mn.</li>
<li>And the Cheng family has been buying up shares, almost every day since last September. That stake is currently 61.45%. Another <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wing-tai-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11882:1" rel="noopener">Wing Tai Malaysia (WING MK)</a> privatisation in the making?</li>
</ul>


Following an Staits Times article this week - or perhaps just a coincidence - property play Wing Tai Holdings (WINGT SP) popped 8%. 
Yesterday's close of S$1.47/share, compares to its book value of S$4.24 (as at 31 Dec 2023). Cash on hand is S$684mn against borrowings of ~S$770mn.
And the Cheng family has been buying up shares, almost every day since last September. That stake is currently 61.45%. Another Wing Tai Malaysia (WING MK) privatisation in the making?


Event-Driven

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Apart from being mildly EPS accretive, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a>'s buyback is a means to get crossholders out, therefore, it may not have much direct market impact. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cie-de-saint-gobain" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21547:1" rel="noopener">Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)</a> firms a decade-high-plus Offer price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a> - this is done.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Group (4755 JP)</a> announced it would propose an amendment to its Articles at the AGM (28 March) to issue "Bond-Type Class Shares." First reaction: You wot, mate?</li>
</ul>


Apart from being mildly EPS accretive, Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)'s buyback is a means to get crossholders out, therefore, it may not have much direct market impact. 

Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP) firms a decade-high-plus Offer price for CSR Ltd (CSR AU) - this is done.

Rakuten Group (4755 JP) announced it would propose an amendment to its Articles at the AGM (28 March) to issue "Bond-Type Class Shares." First reaction: You wot, mate?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CSR, Rakuten, HK Property, Aeon/TSURUHA/Welcia

<ul>
<li>I tally 54 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma (possible four): Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/superloop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23604:1" rel="noopener">Superloop (SLC AU)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qantm-intellectual-property" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24317:1" rel="noopener">Qantm Intellectual (QIP AU)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a>'s rumoured approaches. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apm-human-services-internation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34808:1" rel="noopener">APM Human Services Internation (APM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adbri-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20166:1" rel="noopener">Adbri (ABC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weiqiao-textile-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3690:1" rel="noopener">Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/outsourcing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7431:1" rel="noopener">Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 54 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma (possible four): Offers for Alumina (AWC AU), Superloop (SLC AU) &amp; Qantm Intellectual (QIP AU); Samsonite (1910 HK)'s ESR (1821 HK)'s rumoured approaches. 
Key updates took place on APM Human Services Internation (APM AU), Adbri (ABC AU), CSR Ltd (CSR AU), Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK), and Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Alumina, Superloop, Qantm, Samsonite, ESR, APM , Adbri, CSR, Outsourcing

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Far East Hospitality Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Not all hospitality REITs in Singapore are beneficiaries of the rebound in tourism in Singapore. </li>
<li>Genting, OUE Commercial REIT, and Fraser Hospitality Trust are not exactly beneficiaries to the current tourism rebound. </li>
<li>Only Far East Hospitality Trust has a 100% exposure in hotels in Singapore while CDL Hospitality Trust has 41% of the total contribution from Singapore. </li>
</ul>


Not all hospitality REITs in Singapore are beneficiaries of the rebound in tourism in Singapore. 
Genting, OUE Commercial REIT, and Fraser Hospitality Trust are not exactly beneficiaries to the current tourism rebound. 
Only Far East Hospitality Trust has a 100% exposure in hotels in Singapore while CDL Hospitality Trust has 41% of the total contribution from Singapore. 


Southeast Asia Tourism: Who Are the Beneficiaries

Singapore and emerging market real estate

Royston Foo

A small-cap Singapore developer with privatisation potential that has gone under the radar is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3498" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3498:1">Sing Holdings (SING SP)</a> (“SHL”). SHL has a market capitalization of S$164.4 mil and the implied price-to-book valuation of SHL is 0.64x. RNAV estimate of SHL is S$0.95 per share and ascribing a discount of 30%, fair value of SHL is pegged at S$0.66 per share. Upside potential is attractive at 62%. Recent share price correction, weaken property market outlook and the potential for SHL to increase its cash hoard by 3.5x within 3 years could provide a compelling angle for the controlling Lee Family to privatise SHL. Insiders have been actively buying shares in the company since the beginning of the year.Initiate coverage on Sing Holdings with a BUY rating.

A small-cap Singapore developer with privatisation potential that has gone under the radar is Sing Holdings (SING SP) (“SHL”). SHL has a market capitalization of S$164.4 mil and the implied price-to-book valuation of SHL is 0.64x. RNAV estimate of SHL is S$0.95 per share and ascribing a discount of 30%, fair value of SHL is pegged at S$0.66 per share. Upside potential is attractive at 62%. Recent share price correction, weaken property market outlook and the potential for SHL to increase its cash hoard by 3.5x within 3 years could provide a compelling angle for the controlling Lee Family to privatise SHL. Insiders have been actively buying shares in the company since the beginning of the year.Initiate coverage on Sing Holdings with a BUY rating.

Sing Holdings – A Potential Privatisation Candidate in the Making?

Singapore

Wing Tai Holdings Limited is an investment holding company whose subsidiaries invest in and develop properties, manufacture woven labels, and trade garments and architectural products and accessories.  The Company also provides management services and operates restaurants.

Wing Tai Holdings (WINGT SP)

Wing Tai Holdings: Privatisation Chatter

The Chengs may be content to chip away at minorities. Or are setting themselves up to make an Offer for WTH. In any event, WTH is inexpensive....

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CSR, Rakuten, HK Property, Aeon/TSURUHA/Welcia

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Alumina, Superloop, Qantm, Samsonite, ESR, APM , Adbri, CSR, Outsourcing

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Southeast Asia Tourism: Who Are the Beneficiaries

the real beneficiaries of the Singapore rebound in tourism (ex-China) are limited to a few names only. Far East Hospitality Trust and CDL...

Henry Soediarko

Sing Holdings – A Potential Privatisation Candidate in the Making?

A small-cap Singapore developer with privatisation potential that has gone under the radar is Sing Holdings (SING SP) (“SHL”). SHL has a market...

Royston Foo