Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>EQT would probably jump higher and Bain would come out above that. Both would aim high to get it done and not lose the asset. Stay long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com (2371 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>As <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> books losses in response to contractual relief delays (or cancellation altogether[?]), Hanwha steps in with a fair offer for Austal's US unit.</li>
<li>The NAV discount has narrowed, and the implied stub is elevated, but at 0.34x forward P/B, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-limited-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a> is still a buy.</li>
</ul>


EQT would probably jump higher and Bain would come out above that. Both would aim high to get it done and not lose the asset. Stay long Kakaku.com (2371 JP).
As Austal Ltd (ASB AU) books losses in response to contractual relief delays (or cancellation altogether[?]), Hanwha steps in with a fair offer for Austal's US unit.
The NAV discount has narrowed, and the implied stub is elevated, but at 0.34x forward P/B, Swire Pacific (19 HK) is still a buy.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakaku.com, Austal, Swire Pacific, Ajinomoto Malaysia

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 7th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL, Qbe Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 7th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL, Qbe Insurance.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 7th): Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 3rd August, published on the 7th August.
</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.1bn into "Metals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Food Retail". Net shorts increased A$0.6bn week-on-week.
</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisetech-global-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22669:1" rel="noopener">Wisetech Global (WTC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ampol-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:345:1" rel="noopener">Ampol (ALD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/droneshield-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30509:1" rel="noopener">DroneShield Ltd (DRO AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/develop-global-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19413:1" rel="noopener">Develop Global (DVP AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 3rd August, published on the 7th August.

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.1bn into "Metals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Food Retail". Net shorts increased A$0.6bn week-on-week.

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU), Wisetech Global (WTC AU), Ampol (ALD AU), DroneShield Ltd (DRO AU), and Develop Global (DVP AU).


Aussie Shorts [3 Aug 2026]: Rio Tinto, Wisetech Global, Ampol, DroneShield, Develop Global

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 31st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD46.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Ampol, Origin Energy, Stockland, Dexus Property, Transurban.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 31st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD46.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Ampol, Origin Energy, Stockland, Dexus Property, Transurban.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 31st): Ampol, Origin Energy, Stockland, Dexus Property, Transurban

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There has been a recent surge in short interest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sonic-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14466:1" rel="noopener">Sonic Healthcare</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stockland" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:661:1" rel="noopener">Stockland</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:701:1" rel="noopener">CAR Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochlear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:918:1" rel="noopener">Cochlear</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asx-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:552:1" rel="noopener">ASX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisetech-global-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22669:1" rel="noopener">Wisetech Global</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xero-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:390:1" rel="noopener">Xero</a>.</li>
<li>Short interest ranges from 8.7-30.8 days of ADV and from 4.4%-14.4% of free float.</li>
<li>The market is positioned for the deletion of some of these stocks from a global index in August and there will be covering against the passive flow.</li>
</ul>


There has been a recent surge in short interest in Sonic Healthcare, Stockland, CAR Group, Cochlear, ASX, Wisetech Global and Xero.
Short interest ranges from 8.7-30.8 days of ADV and from 4.4%-14.4% of free float.
The market is positioned for the deletion of some of these stocks from a global index in August and there will be covering against the passive flow.


Australia: Shorts Surging in SHL, SGP, CAR, COH, ASX, WTC, XRO

Australia

WiseTech Global Pty Ltd provides various technology and information technology management solutions. The Company offers cloud based various technology platforms, market specific software and logistics technology solutions, such as edienterprise, a platform supply chain logistics management system, software-as-a-service, and clinical management software. 

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Wisetech Global (WTC AU)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakaku.com, Austal, Swire Pacific, Ajinomoto Malaysia

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 7th): Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aussie Shorts [3 Aug 2026]: Rio Tinto, Wisetech Global, Ampol, DroneShield, Develop Global

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.1bn into "Metals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Food Retail"....

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 31st): Ampol, Origin Energy, Stockland, Dexus Property, Transurban

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Ampol, Origin Energy, Stockland, Dexus Property,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Australia: Shorts Surging in SHL, SGP, CAR, COH, ASX, WTC, XRO

Short interest has been surging in some stocks as positioning increases for potential index deletions in August and September. Short interest...

Brian Freitas

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