Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the start of the review period around the corner, there could be two changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the October rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wonik-ips-co-ltd-5d7417b7-5438-41d4-a6e4-8016d24d818a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26912:1" rel="noopener">Wonik Ips (240810 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techwing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5735:1" rel="noopener">Techwing Inc (089030 KS)</a> are potential adds while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13560:1" rel="noopener">ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongjin-semichem-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19607:1" rel="noopener">Dongjin Semichem (005290 KS)</a> are potential deletes.</li>
<li>Passives will need to trade more than 2x ADV on two potential changes and more than 1x ADV on another potential change.</li>
</ul>


With the start of the review period around the corner, there could be two changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the October rebalance.

Wonik Ips (240810 KS) and Techwing Inc (089030 KS) are potential adds while ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS) and Dongjin Semichem (005290 KS) are potential deletes.
Passives will need to trade more than 2x ADV on two potential changes and more than 1x ADV on another potential change.


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in October

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jul 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hlb (028300 KS), Posco (005490 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jul 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hlb (028300 KS), Posco (005490 KS).


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 5th): Hlb, Posco

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Opposition's probable win in the election sparks concerns about Value-up initiative's momentum. However, market sentiment doesn't universally echo these worries.</li>
<li>Value-Up stocks' recent corrections likely stem from Q4 dividend arbitrage liquidation, rather than election result concerns.</li>
<li>Post-Election, even if the opposition wins, the left-leaning Value-up program might continue, limiting the opposition's influence, as seen in recent National Pension Service flows.</li>
</ul>


Opposition's probable win in the election sparks concerns about Value-up initiative's momentum. However, market sentiment doesn't universally echo these worries.
Value-Up stocks' recent corrections likely stem from Q4 dividend arbitrage liquidation, rather than election result concerns.
Post-Election, even if the opposition wins, the left-leaning Value-up program might continue, limiting the opposition's influence, as seen in recent National Pension Service flows.


Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We estimate short interest decreased by 2.5% WoW and highlight short interest changes in Posco.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We estimate short interest decreased by 2.5% WoW and highlight short interest changes in Posco.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Posco

<ul>
<li>Will there be changes in April's rebalancing? With two weeks left, two names are likely. Wonik IPS may be replaced by ISC Co Ltd, given a ₩150B market cap difference.</li>
<li>In the previous rebalancing, constituent changes had a notable price impact. Despite a passive flow impact of +1.0x ADTV, HPSP and EO Technics saw about a 15% 3-day return.</li>
<li>Wonik IPS is estimated to receive -4.0x ADTV, while ISC is expected to receive +1.0x ADTV. This is also quite similar to the previous rebalancing.</li>
</ul>


Will there be changes in April's rebalancing? With two weeks left, two names are likely. Wonik IPS may be replaced by ISC Co Ltd, given a ₩150B market cap difference.
In the previous rebalancing, constituent changes had a notable price impact. Despite a passive flow impact of +1.0x ADTV, HPSP and EO Technics saw about a 15% 3-day return.
Wonik IPS is estimated to receive -4.0x ADTV, while ISC is expected to receive +1.0x ADTV. This is also quite similar to the previous rebalancing.


Sector ETF Rebalancing with Remarkable Price Impact History: ISC In, Wonik IPS Out

South Korea

Wonik IPS Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells semiconductor processing equipments.  The Company's main businesses include Semiconductor, Display and Solar industries.

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Wonik Ips (240810 KS)

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in October

There could be two changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index in October. Some stocks have similar market caps and will need to be...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 5th): Hlb, Posco

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hlb(028300 KS), Posco(005490 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades

This post outlines my observations on the post-election flows of Value-up beneficiary stocks, derived from recent local institutional trades.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Posco

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week. We estimate short interest decreased by 2.5% WoW and highlighted short interest changes in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sector ETF Rebalancing with Remarkable Price Impact History: ISC In, Wonik IPS Out

ISC (095340) is still likely to be included, while Wonik IPS (240810) is expected to be excluded. The substantial market cap gap indicates an...

Sanghyun Park

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