Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The KRX announced the 100 constituents of the much-awaited Korea Value-Up Index on 24 September. There were hits and misses but broad consensus was that the index is a miss.</li>
<li>Following market feedback, the KRX could conduct a special rebalance of the index in December. But this could be after the launch of ETFs tracking the index.</li>
<li>With a big overlap and similar characteristics as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 Index</a>, there could be limited assets benchmarked to the Korea Value-Up Index in the short-term.</li>
</ul>


The KRX announced the 100 constituents of the much-awaited Korea Value-Up Index on 24 September. There were hits and misses but broad consensus was that the index is a miss.
Following market feedback, the KRX could conduct a special rebalance of the index in December. But this could be after the launch of ETFs tracking the index.
With a big overlap and similar characteristics as the KOSPI 200 Index, there could be limited assets benchmarked to the Korea Value-Up Index in the short-term.


Korea Value-Up Index: Estimated Passive Flows as ETF Launches Coming

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>KRX faces challenges balancing the Value-Up Index as a benchmark while ensuring real disclosures, but passive inflows remain steady with local pension funds still interested.</li>
<li>KRX's potential December mini rebalancing increases uncertainty but may just lead to minor tweaks, adding KB and Hana while removing a few stocks from Communication Services.</li>
<li>The Value-Up Index resembles the KOSPI 200, using 30-40% GICS stocks and KOSDAQ 150, which may spark trading strategies focused on performance gaps within sectors.</li>
</ul>


KRX faces challenges balancing the Value-Up Index as a benchmark while ensuring real disclosures, but passive inflows remain steady with local pension funds still interested.
KRX's potential December mini rebalancing increases uncertainty but may just lead to minor tweaks, adding KB and Hana while removing a few stocks from Communication Services.
The Value-Up Index resembles the KOSPI 200, using 30-40% GICS stocks and KOSDAQ 150, which may spark trading strategies focused on performance gaps within sectors.


Lowdown from KRX's Emergency Presser on the Value-Up Index Today

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36073:1" rel="noopener">K Bank (279570 KS)</a> plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
In our previous note, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


K Bank IPO - Peer Comparison - Lags Its Main Peer on Most Fronts

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36073:1" rel="noopener">K Bank (279570 KS)</a> plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


K Bank IPO - The Negatives - Ample Issues Along with Crypto Exposure & Lockup

<ul>
<li>Woori Financial's value-up plan centers on improving the CET1 ratio to boost shareholder returns, with the total return ratio directly tied to the CET1 ratio.</li>
<li>The market believed that if the acquisition cost stayed under ₩1.9 trillion, the CET1 ratio impact would be minimal, potentially leading to mid-term gains from non-banking profits.</li>
<li>Though this may hurt Tongyang Life's short-term stock, it opened the door for local institutional investors, especially NPS, to consider Woori Financial for value-up investments.</li>
</ul>


Woori Financial's value-up plan centers on improving the CET1 ratio to boost shareholder returns, with the total return ratio directly tied to the CET1 ratio.
The market believed that if the acquisition cost stayed under ₩1.9 trillion, the CET1 ratio impact would be minimal, potentially leading to mid-term gains from non-banking profits.
Though this may hurt Tongyang Life's short-term stock, it opened the door for local institutional investors, especially NPS, to consider Woori Financial for value-up investments.


Impact of Woori Financial’s Tongyang Life Acquisition Below ₩1.5T on Value-Up Flows

South Korea

Woori Financial Group Inc. provides commercial banking services. The Company offers deposit services, loan services, bill services, settlement services, credit card, international, online banking, and other related services. Woori Financial Group also operates banking and retail banking businesses.

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Woori Financial Group (316140 KS)

Korea Value-Up Index: Estimated Passive Flows as ETF Launches Coming

The Korea Value-Up Index is very similar to the KOSPI200 Index. That could mean not a lot of passive assets tracking the index. Stocks with the...

Brian Freitas

Lowdown from KRX's Emergency Presser on the Value-Up Index Today

This post provides the essential details and key takeaways from KRX's emergency press event on the Value-Up Index today, highlighting...

Sanghyun Park

K Bank IPO - Peer Comparison - Lags Its Main Peer on Most Fronts

K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO. We have looked at the past performance in our earlier notes, in...

Sumeet Singh

K Bank IPO - The Negatives - Ample Issues Along with Crypto Exposure & Lockup

K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Impact of Woori Financial’s Tongyang Life Acquisition Below ₩1.5T on Value-Up Flows

This post explores the impact of Woori Financial’s acquisition of Tongyang Life Insurance at a price below ₩1.5 trillion on value-up flows for...

Sanghyun Park

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