IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 2 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20456:1" rel="noopener">Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ)</a> disclosed receiving a third non-binding scheme proposal from another international strategic at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), 20% premium to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a> offer.</li>
<li>Smartpay previously disclosed a NZ$1.00 cash/scrip bid from Tyro and an undisclosed offer from an international strategic (rumoured to be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift4-payments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28965:1" rel="noopener">Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)</a>). </li>
<li>Smartpay was susceptible to bids due to the RBA’s surcharge review, but the shareholder structure necessitates an attractive offer. The NZ$1.20 offer is attractive.</li>
</ul>


On 2 May, Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ) disclosed receiving a third non-binding scheme proposal from another international strategic at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), 20% premium to the Tyro Payments (TYR AU) offer.
Smartpay previously disclosed a NZ$1.00 cash/scrip bid from Tyro and an undisclosed offer from an international strategic (rumoured to be Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)). 
Smartpay was susceptible to bids due to the RBA’s surcharge review, but the shareholder structure necessitates an attractive offer. The NZ$1.20 offer is attractive.


Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Three Is No Crowd as a Third Bid Lands at NZ$1.20

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks (1973 JP)</a>'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-post-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:150:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Post (SPOST SP)</a>'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. </li>
<li>The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kroger-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20824:1" rel="noopener">Kroger Co (KR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albertsons-cos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33026:1" rel="noopener">Albertsons Cos (ACI US)</a> spells trouble for ACT and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Nec Networks (1973 JP)'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.

Singapore Post (SPOST SP)'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. 
The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of Kroger Co (KR US) and Albertsons Cos (ACI US) spells trouble for ACT and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

<ul>
<li>Private Equity Interest: Worldline has attracted early-stage interest from private equity firms, including Bain Capital, driven by its discounted valuation and extensive market presence in Europe.</li>
<li>Market Challenges: Worldline's stock declined over 50% in 2024, with Q3 revenues dropping 1.1% organically, reflecting struggles in Merchant and Financial Services and the need to stabilize growth.</li>
<li>Valuation and Takeover Potential: Worldline’s current valuation at 4.61x EV/EBITDA offers upside potential, with a €9.00/share target implying an 18.4% return, though profitability recovery remains uncertain.</li>
</ul>


Private Equity Interest: Worldline has attracted early-stage interest from private equity firms, including Bain Capital, driven by its discounted valuation and extensive market presence in Europe.
Market Challenges: Worldline's stock declined over 50% in 2024, with Q3 revenues dropping 1.1% organically, reflecting struggles in Merchant and Financial Services and the need to stabilize growth.
Valuation and Takeover Potential: Worldline’s current valuation at 4.61x EV/EBITDA offers upside potential, with a €9.00/share target implying an 18.4% return, though profitability recovery remains uncertain.


External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Worldline (WLN FP) stock dropped over 60% after disappointing Q3 earnings and reduced guidance for 2023</li><li>Company scrapped medium-term plan through 2024, facing challenges including costly French restructuring and uncertainty about merchant revenues</li><li>Stock considered cheap at 6x multiple of EPS and EBIT in 2025, potential for shares to double or more in next 24-36 months with activist pressure and company hiring advisors. Worldline SA is second-largest merchant acquirer in Europe with focus on merchant, financial, and e-Transactional services.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Worldline (WLN FP) stock dropped over 60% after disappointing Q3 earnings and reduced guidance for 2023Company scrapped medium-term plan through 2024, facing challenges including costly French restructuring and uncertainty about merchant revenuesStock considered cheap at 6x multiple of EPS and EBIT in 2025, potential for shares to double or more in next 24-36 months with activist pressure and company hiring advisors. Worldline SA is second-largest merchant acquirer in Europe with focus on merchant, financial, and e-Transactional services.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Worldline (WLN.FP) - Friday, Feb 16, 2024

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a> has offered, Potentia, four weeks of due diligence access to “develop a significantly improved proposal.” The Board rejected Potentia’s previous A$1.60 offer on 12 December.</li>
<li>Since the rejection of the offer, the FY2023 guidance has been upgraded and peers have re-rated. Therefore, Potentia can afford to be more generous with its terms. </li>
<li>Press reports suggest that an offer of around A$1.85 per share would be supported by shareholders. We would be buyers as Tyro is undervalued at the last close price.</li>
</ul>



Tyro Payments (TYR AU) has offered, Potentia, four weeks of due diligence access to “develop a significantly improved proposal.” The Board rejected Potentia’s previous A$1.60 offer on 12 December.
Since the rejection of the offer, the FY2023 guidance has been upgraded and peers have re-rated. Therefore, Potentia can afford to be more generous with its terms. 
Press reports suggest that an offer of around A$1.85 per share would be supported by shareholders. We would be buyers as Tyro is undervalued at the last close price.


Tyro Payments (TYR AU): Bid Revived as Potentia Secures Due Diligence

France

Worldline SA creates and operates digital transaction processing platforms. The Company offers merchant services and terminals, mobility and transactional services, financial processing and software licensing. Worldline services business around the world.

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Worldline SA (WLN FP)

Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Three Is No Crowd as a Third Bid Lands at NZ$1.20

Due to the RBA’s surcharge review, Smartpay was susceptible to bids. Three bidders increase the odds of one converting to a binding proposal.

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Potential Take Private of Worldline

Worldline has attracted early-stage interest from private equity firms, including Bain Capital, driven by its discounted valuation and extensive...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Worldline (WLN.FP) - Friday, Feb 16, 2024

Company scrapped medium-term plan through 2024, facing challenges including costly French restructuring and uncertainty about merchant revenues

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Tyro Payments (TYR AU): Bid Revived as Potentia Secures Due Diligence

Since the rejection of the offer, the FY2023 guidance has been upgraded and peers have re-rated. Therefore, Potentia can afford to be more generous...

Arun George

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