Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for F100 and four regular changes for the F250 index during the December 2025 rebal.</li>
<li>The index changes for the December 2025 rebal will be based on the close of 2nd December 2025 and announced after the close of 3rd December 2025.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for F100 and four regular changes for the F250 index during the December 2025 rebal.
The index changes for the December 2025 rebal will be based on the close of 2nd December 2025 and announced after the close of 3rd December 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec25: New ADDs Identified; Several M&A-Related Changes Likely

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shawbrook-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22139:1" rel="noopener">Shawbrook (SHAW LN)</a>, the biggest UK IPO of the year, is expected to be included in UK 250 and All-Share at a market cap of ~£2bn.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-african-resources-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23518:1" rel="noopener">Pan African Resources (PAF LN)</a> transferred its listing to the Main Market resulting in its anticipated addition to UK 250 and All-Share at a market cap of ~£1.8bn.</li>
<li>Princes Group (PRN LN) is anticipated to be included in UK 250 and All-Share following its IPO in November at a market cap of ~£1bn.</li>
</ul>



Shawbrook (SHAW LN), the biggest UK IPO of the year, is expected to be included in UK 250 and All-Share at a market cap of ~£2bn.

Pan African Resources (PAF LN) transferred its listing to the Main Market resulting in its anticipated addition to UK 250 and All-Share at a market cap of ~£1.8bn.
Princes Group (PRN LN) is anticipated to be included in UK 250 and All-Share following its IPO in November at a market cap of ~£1bn.


UK Index Dec25 Forecast: Largest UK IPO of the Year Among Inclusions

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Event-Driven

<div>
<p>Back on the 30 November, UK-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wpp-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22213:1" rel="noopener">WPP PLC (WPP LN)</a>, the world's largest advertising company, tabled a <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02315430-2A1266721?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">proposal</a> to delist 61.5%-held subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wpp-aunz-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15931:1" rel="noopener">WPP AUNZ (WPP AU)</a> at A$0.55/share, in cash, a 34.1% premium to last close, and a 69.3% premium to the six-month VWAP. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>This was an unsolicited Offer and no binding implementation agreement (BIA) had been entered into.</p>
<p>In <em><a href="https://skr.ma/JSrkm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">WPP AUNZ: Mad Men At Work</a></em>, I argued there was an air of opportunism to the Offer, and recommended buying at or below terms - on the expectation of a bump, as management argues the upside from its wide-ranging cost cuts.</p>
<h3><strong>The New News</strong></h3>
<p>WPP PLC has returned with a <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02323439-2A1270746?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A$0.70/share offer</a>, by way of  Scheme, valuing WPP AUNZ at an implied enterprise value of A$717mn. It is the intention of WPP AUNZ to enter into a BIA.</p>
<p>With that 27.3% bump, this looks done.</p>
</div>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
<div>
<p></p>
</div>


Back on the 30 November, UK-based WPP PLC (WPP LN), the world's largest advertising company, tabled a proposal to delist 61.5%-held subsidiary WPP AUNZ (WPP AU) at A$0.55/share, in cash, a 34.1% premium to last close, and a 69.3% premium to the six-month VWAP. 


This was an unsolicited Offer and no binding implementation agreement (BIA) had been entered into.
In WPP AUNZ: Mad Men At Work, I argued there was an air of opportunism to the Offer, and recommended buying at or below terms - on the expectation of a bump, as management argues the upside from its wide-ranging cost cuts.
The New News
WPP PLC has returned with a A$0.70/share offer, by way of  Scheme, valuing WPP AUNZ at an implied enterprise value of A$717mn. It is the intention of WPP AUNZ to enter into a BIA.
With that 27.3% bump, this looks done.

More below the fold.




<p>UK-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wpp-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22213:1" rel="noopener">WPP PLC (WPP LN)</a>, the world's largest advertising company, has tabled a proposal to delist 61.5%-held subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wpp-aunz-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15931:1" rel="noopener">WPP AUNZ (WPP AU)</a>.</p>
<p>The Offer price is A$0.55/share, in cash, a 34.1% premium to last close, and a 69.3% premium to the six-month VWAP. </p>
<p>WPP is assessing whether to launch the Offer by way of a Scheme or an Off-Market Takeover.</p>
<p>A fully franked dividend is up for negotiation as part of the Offer; although if paid, it will reduce the Offer price. </p>
<p>A binding implementation agreement has not yet been entered into. The independent directors of WPP AUNZ are considering the proposal.</p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
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<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/175/234/original/VfBK.gif?1606711406" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="175234"></figure>
</section>


UK-based WPP PLC (WPP LN), the world's largest advertising company, has tabled a proposal to delist 61.5%-held subsidiary WPP AUNZ (WPP AU).
The Offer price is A$0.55/share, in cash, a 34.1% premium to last close, and a 69.3% premium to the six-month VWAP. 
WPP is assessing whether to launch the Offer by way of a Scheme or an Off-Market Takeover.
A fully franked dividend is up for negotiation as part of the Offer; although if paid, it will reduce the Offer price. 
A binding implementation agreement has not yet been entered into. The independent directors of WPP AUNZ are considering the proposal.
More below the fold.





Amareos

Federico Bagiotti, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Over the past few months, the M part of the US TMT sector has not been particularly brilliant, especially in comparison to the second T, and Omnicom Group, an advertising, marketing and media communication company, has been even more disappointing than the sector as a whole.</p><p>In light of the Q4 revenue miss, we consider the outlook for Omnicom’s stock price based on the recent evolution in our crowd-sourced sentiment indicators. They suggest that the CEO’s comment about “better days ahead” in…</p>

Over the past few months, the M part of the US TMT sector has not been particularly brilliant, especially in comparison to the second T, and Omnicom Group, an advertising, marketing and media communication company, has been even more disappointing than the sector as a whole.In light of the Q4 revenue miss, we consider the outlook for Omnicom’s stock price based on the recent evolution in our crowd-sourced sentiment indicators. They suggest that the CEO’s comment about “better days ahead” in…

United Kingdom

WPP is a British multinational communications, advertising, public relations, technology, and commerce holding company. It offers a comprehensive range of services including advertising, media planning and buying, public relations, brand consulting, and digital marketing. The company is headquartered in London, England, and was founded in 1971.

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WPP (WPP LN)

UK Index Dec25 Forecast: Largest UK IPO of the Year Among Inclusions

Shawbrook’s IPO and Pan African Resources’ listing transfer are expected to result in the largest UK index additions forecasted for December 2025.

Dimitris Ioannidis

WPP AUNZ: More Mad Men At Work

This solid bump should see this deal through. Expect WPP AUNZ to trade tight to terms - I see A$0.70/share as I type - on account of shareholders...

David Blennerhassett

WPP AUNZ: Mad Men At Work

There is an air of opportunism here, however, the indicative Offer Price is okay, if looking at WPP's trading pattern ahead of COVID-19. A bump...

David Blennerhassett

Omnicom Group: Better Days Ahead?

Over the past few months, the M part of the US TMT sector has not been particularly brilliant, especially in comparison to the second T, and...

Amareos

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Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec25: New ADDs Identified; Several M&A-Related Changes Likely

The base date for the December 2025 review is Tuesday 2nd December 2025. The index changes could be publicly confirmed after market close on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

UK Index Dec25 Forecast: Largest UK IPO of the Year Among Inclusions

Shawbrook’s IPO and Pan African Resources’ listing transfer are expected to result in the largest UK index additions forecasted for December 2025.

Dimitris Ioannidis

WPP AUNZ: More Mad Men At Work

This solid bump should see this deal through. Expect WPP AUNZ to trade tight to terms - I see A$0.70/share as I type - on account of shareholders...

David Blennerhassett

WPP AUNZ: Mad Men At Work

There is an air of opportunism here, however, the indicative Offer Price is okay, if looking at WPP's trading pattern ahead of COVID-19. A bump...

David Blennerhassett

Omnicom Group: Better Days Ahead?

Over the past few months, the M part of the US TMT sector has not been particularly brilliant, especially in comparison to the second T, and...

Amareos