Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.</li>
<li>There have been multiple changes to our expected ADDs/DELs list since <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-csi-300-500-dec-24-a-long-short-basket-trade-idea-with-high-momentum" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our last insight</a>.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.
There have been multiple changes to our expected ADDs/DELs list since our last insight.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Positive Start to the Trade; Some Changes to Expectations

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There could be 18 changes at the December rebalance with the Industrials sector gaining 3 index spots and the Information Technology sector losing 5 spots.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 3.3% at the rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 22.07bn (US$3bn). There are a lot of stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes. There were ETF inflows last week amid a short selling crackdown as the Third Plenum kicks off.</li>
</ul>


There could be 18 changes at the December rebalance with the Industrials sector gaining 3 index spots and the Information Technology sector losing 5 spots.
We estimate one-way turnover of 3.3% at the rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 22.07bn (US$3bn). There are a lot of stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes. There were ETF inflows last week amid a short selling crackdown as the Third Plenum kicks off.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 18 Changes in Dec; Third Plenum; ETF Inflows; Short Sell Crackdown

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, Tata Technologies and IREDA continued the India IPO juggernaut. </li>
<li>On the placements front, there seems to be no stopping Japan flows.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Tata Technologies and IREDA continued the India IPO juggernaut. 
On the placements front, there seems to be no stopping Japan flows.


ECM Weekly (3rd Dec 2023) - Denso, Toyota, Zensho, Asahi, Kotak, Zomato, Zeekr, Tatatech, IREDA

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-lead-intelligent-equipmen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27971:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing.</li>
<li>As per media reports, Wuxi Lead was said to be looking to raise US$495m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval to sell up to 78.3m shares.</li>
<li>Given the decline in its share price over the year, the eventual deal size could come to around US$300m as of its current last close.</li>
</ul>



Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing.
As per media reports, Wuxi Lead was said to be looking to raise US$495m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval to sell up to 78.3m shares.
Given the decline in its share price over the year, the eventual deal size could come to around US$300m as of its current last close.


Wuxi Lead GDR Listing - Early Look - Another One in the Pipeline, Will Be Net Cash Post-Deal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be $5.3bn in September and consumer discretionary, and health care sectors led the inflows.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into BYD, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuxi Apptec and outflows from CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate the outflows to be $5.3bn in September and consumer discretionary, and health care sectors led the inflows.
We highlight inflows into BYD, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuxi Apptec and outflows from CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows Monthly (September): $5.3bn of Outflows

China

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment Co Ltd is a manufacturer of high-tech equiptments. The company designs and manufactures electronic capacitors, solar energy equipments and lithium batteries equipments.

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)

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Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 24: Positive Start to the Trade; Some Changes to Expectations

The CSI 300 rebalance could see 16 ADDs/DELs causing one-way flows of US$2.4bn while the CSI 500 rebalance could see 50 ADDs/DELs resulting in one...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 18 Changes in Dec; Third Plenum; ETF Inflows; Short Sell Crackdown

There could be 18 changes in December. The adds have outperformed the deletes but near-term performance has been meh. There were ETF inflows last...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (3rd Dec 2023) - Denso, Toyota, Zensho, Asahi, Kotak, Zomato, Zeekr, Tatatech, IREDA

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Wuxi Lead GDR Listing - Early Look - Another One in the Pipeline, Will Be Net Cash Post-Deal

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing, having secured approval to...

Clarence Chu

Northbound Flows Monthly (September): $5.3bn of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for September and highlight flows for BYD, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuxi Apptec, CATL, Moutai and Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Positive Start to the Trade; Some Changes to Expectations

The CSI 300 rebalance could see 16 ADDs/DELs causing one-way flows of US$2.4bn while the CSI 500 rebalance could see 50 ADDs/DELs resulting in one...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 18 Changes in Dec; Third Plenum; ETF Inflows; Short Sell Crackdown

There could be 18 changes in December. The adds have outperformed the deletes but near-term performance has been meh. There were ETF inflows last...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (3rd Dec 2023) - Denso, Toyota, Zensho, Asahi, Kotak, Zomato, Zeekr, Tatatech, IREDA

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Wuxi Lead GDR Listing - Early Look - Another One in the Pipeline, Will Be Net Cash Post-Deal

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing, having secured approval to...

Clarence Chu

Northbound Flows Monthly (September): $5.3bn of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for September and highlight flows for BYD, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuxi Apptec, CATL, Moutai and Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 24: Positive Start to the Trade; Some Changes to Expectations