IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a> has entered a scheme implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a> at A$68.50 per share, a 33.6% premium to the undisturbed price (14 February).</li>
<li>The offer will close in 2H, requiring several approvals - FIRB, CFIUS, HSR Act clearance, German Ministry FDI, German Federal Cartel Office clearance, and Turkish Competition Authority.</li>
<li>The offer price is attractive and 31% above the all-time high, lowering the chance of a competing proposal. At the last close, the gross spread is 3.8%.</li>
</ul>



Altium Ltd (ALU AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) at A$68.50 per share, a 33.6% premium to the undisturbed price (14 February).
The offer will close in 2H, requiring several approvals - FIRB, CFIUS, HSR Act clearance, German Ministry FDI, German Federal Cartel Office clearance, and Turkish Competition Authority.
The offer price is attractive and 31% above the all-time high, lowering the chance of a competing proposal. At the last close, the gross spread is 3.8%.


Altium (ALU AU): Renesas (6723 JP) Binding A$68.50 Offer

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 1st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Car, CSL, Brambles, Aristocrat Leisu, Wesfarmers, BHP, Xero, Agl Energy, ANZ.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 1st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Car, CSL, Brambles, Aristocrat Leisu, Wesfarmers, BHP, Xero, Agl Energy, ANZ.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 1st): Car, CSL, Brambles, Aristocrat Leisu, Wesfarmers, BHP, Xero

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 24th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Commonw Bk Austr, Pilbara Minerals, Rio Tinto, Xero, NAB, Pro Medicus.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 24th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Commonw Bk Austr, Pilbara Minerals, Rio Tinto, Xero, NAB, Pro Medicus.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 24th): CommBank, Pilbara Minerals, Rio Tinto, Xero, NAB, Pro Medicus

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BILL Holdings is a cloud-based provider of SaaS, payments, spend and expense management products, which automate accounts payable (AP) and accounts receivable (AR) transactions</li>
<li>The company has successfully completed its IPO in 2019 and raised $200M+ in net proceeds. Today, BILL Holdings includes subsidiaries such as Bill.com, DivvyPay, Invoice2go, Cimrid and Finmark Financial.</li>
<li>My bear case assumes a ~5% ten-year revenue CAGR from FY24 through FY34, maximum competitive pressure, high customer churn, headwind to float revenue and volatile transactional revenue.</li>
</ul>


BILL Holdings is a cloud-based provider of SaaS, payments, spend and expense management products, which automate accounts payable (AP) and accounts receivable (AR) transactions
The company has successfully completed its IPO in 2019 and raised $200M+ in net proceeds. Today, BILL Holdings includes subsidiaries such as Bill.com, DivvyPay, Invoice2go, Cimrid and Finmark Financial.
My bear case assumes a ~5% ten-year revenue CAGR from FY24 through FY34, maximum competitive pressure, high customer churn, headwind to float revenue and volatile transactional revenue.


2024 High Conviction: BILL Holdings – Hyper Growth Through M&A Deals Is Over While SMBs Struggle

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ventia-services-group-pty-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34917:1" rel="noopener">Ventia (VNT AU)</a> (VSG)’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, aim to raise around US$174m via selling 11.7% of the company.</li>
<li>The two investors have pared their stake thrice this year and this will be the final cleanup sale. All the past deals have done ok.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Ventia (VNT AU) (VSG)’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, aim to raise around US$174m via selling 11.7% of the company.
The two investors have pared their stake thrice this year and this will be the final cleanup sale. All the past deals have done ok.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.


Ventia Services Group Placement- Coming Ahead of Lockup but Is Well Flagged, past Deals Have Done Ok

New Zealand

Xero Limited offers an online accounting system.  The software features bank transaction importing, a cashbook, a general ledger, invoicing, accounts receivable, accounts payable, financial reporting, and management of expense claims.

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Xero Ltd (XRO AU)

Altium (ALU AU): Renesas (6723 JP) Binding A$68.50 Offer

The offer price is attractive and 31% above the all-time high, lowering the chance of a competing proposal. At the last close, the gross spread is...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 1st): Car, CSL, Brambles, Aristocrat Leisu, Wesfarmers, BHP, Xero

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Car, CSL, Brambles, Aristocrat Leisu, Wesfarmers,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 24th): CommBank, Pilbara Minerals, Rio Tinto, Xero, NAB, Pro Medicus

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CommBank, Pilbara Minerals, Rio Tinto, Xero, NAB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2024 High Conviction: BILL Holdings – Hyper Growth Through M&A Deals Is Over While SMBs Struggle

BILL Holdings shares have underperformed the Nasdaq, with shares down ~40% over the year. My $25 PT is based on ~2x FY25 EV/Rev, the lower-end of...

Andrei Zakharov

Ventia Services Group Placement- Coming Ahead of Lockup but Is Well Flagged, past Deals Have Done Ok

Ventia (VNT AU) (VSG)’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, aim to raise around US$174m via selling 11.7% of the...

Sumeet Singh

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