Founder, Market Thinker

Mark Tinker

Founder

Market Thinker

Mark Tinker has over 35 years experience as an investor, market strategist and economist. Having spent more than 20 years as a sell side strategist and being top rated on numerous occasions and surveys he moved to investment management in 2006 to run global equity portfolios in London and subsequently moved to Hong Kong in 2013 to help establish an Investment Management business for a top 20 international asset manager. He first started writing investment weeklies for his employers in 1989, developing a style characterised under the title Market Thinking and has been a regular commentator and presenter on CNBC, Bloomberg and other business channels, where his approach of rationalising market behaviour rather than making short term predictions on high frequency market data provides a welcome balance to his client audience.

Making Sense of the Narrative

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Every year, for as long as we can remember, we have written a weekly or a monthly note with some variation of the ‘Sell in May’ trope, so we see no reason to break the habit this year.</li><li>The chart (courtesy of Nick Glydon and team at Redburn Atlantic) shows the steady uptrend in searches for the expression every April over the last 14 years and while obviously there is a ‘usage factor’, it is certainly on a lot of traders’ minds at the moment.</li><li>The historic rationale for the expression comes from the leveraged trading end of the spectrum and tended to reflect the fall in speculative activity in the commodities markets over the summer months and while the speculators have moved heavily into other markets since those days, the seasonal drop off in activity as the head traders head to the beach remains a factor - the juniors tend to flatten the books and keep things ticking over.</li></ul>

Every year, for as long as we can remember, we have written a weekly or a monthly note with some variation of the ‘Sell in May’ trope, so we see no reason to break the habit this year.The chart (courtesy of Nick Glydon and team at Redburn Atlantic) shows the steady uptrend in searches for the expression every April over the last 14 years and while obviously there is a ‘usage factor’, it is certainly on a lot of traders’ minds at the moment.The historic rationale for the expression comes from the leveraged trading end of the spectrum and tended to reflect the fall in speculative activity in the commodities markets over the summer months and while the speculators have moved heavily into other markets since those days, the seasonal drop off in activity as the head traders head to the beach remains a factor - the juniors tend to flatten the books and keep things ticking over.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May 2024.</li><li>Total sales volume combined rose 43% YoY (ranging from -31% to +546%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -14% to +32%).</li><li>Li Auto, Xpeng miss, NIO beat. It appears to us that the weak sales of the Mega has spread into Li Auto’s other models.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May 2024.Total sales volume combined rose 43% YoY (ranging from -31% to +546%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -14% to +32%).Li Auto, Xpeng miss, NIO beat. It appears to us that the weak sales of the Mega has spread into Li Auto’s other models.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Apr NEV sales beat; Price war continues

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>300274 SZ/601012 CH: A fire broke out in JinkoSolar’s Shanxi factory may benefit the entire supply chain.(///)</li>
<li>1810 HK /XPEV US/LI US : Tesla passed all 4 national automotive data security requirements, Musk made a surprise visit to China and was received by Li Qiang （/////）</li>
<li>1810 HK: Pony.ai formed JV with Toyota to prepare for robotaxi（/）</li>
</ul>


300274 SZ/601012 CH: A fire broke out in JinkoSolar’s Shanxi factory may benefit the entire supply chain.(///)
1810 HK /XPEV US/LI US : Tesla passed all 4 national automotive data security requirements, Musk made a surprise visit to China and was received by Li Qiang （/////）
1810 HK: Pony.ai formed JV with Toyota to prepare for robotaxi（/）


[Blue Lotus Daily]:300274 SZ/601012 CH/1810 HK /XPEV US/LI US/300750 SZ/1211 HK/BZ US/Huawei

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Kuaishou, XPENG, XIAOMI, BIDU, LI AUTO, SMIC.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Kuaishou, XPENG, XIAOMI, BIDU, LI AUTO, SMIC.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Aug): Kuaishou, XPENG, XIAOMI, BIDU, LI AUTO, SMIC

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Kuaishou, PING AN, CHINA LIFE, XPENG, XIAOMI, BIDU, BEONE MEDICINES, LI AUTO.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Kuaishou, PING AN, CHINA LIFE, XPENG, XIAOMI, BIDU, BEONE MEDICINES, LI AUTO.


HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Aug): Kuaishou, PING AN, CHINA LIFE, XPENG, XIAOMI, BIDU, LI AUTO

China

Xiaomi is a Chinese multinational corporation specializing in consumer electronics and technology, primarily known for its smartphones (Mi, Redmi, POCO series) and a wide range of AIoT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) devices, including smart home products, wearables, and laptops. The company also provides internet services, including its MIUI operating system. Xiaomi was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Xiaomi (1810 HK)

Market Thinking May 2024

Every year, for as long as we can remember, we have written a weekly or a monthly note with some variation of the ‘Sell in May’ trope, so we see no...

Mark Tinker

Auto - Apr NEV sales beat; Price war continues

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300274 SZ/601012 CH/1810 HK /XPEV US/LI US/300750 SZ/1211 HK/BZ US/Huawei

Tesla passed automotive data security requirements, Musk visit to China，FSD is about to enter China. A fire broke out in JinkoSolar’s factory. CATL...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Aug): Kuaishou, XPENG, XIAOMI, BIDU, LI AUTO, SMIC

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Kuaishou, XPENG, XIAOMI, BIDU, LI AUTO, SMIC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Aug): Kuaishou, PING AN, CHINA LIFE, XPENG, XIAOMI, BIDU, LI AUTO

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Kuaishou, PING AN, CHINA LIFE, XPENG, XIAOMI, BIDU, BEONE MEDICINES,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)