HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Surging by 19.4% since the trough on 19-Apr, the HSI is now only 3.2% shy away from the psychological resistance of 20,000. We look at some potential profit-taking names. </li>
<li>Heavy-Weights like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> are among the best-performing ones YTD and since the trough. Hence they are more exposed, particularly for Meituan.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> are another two on the list. Their valuations are no longer inexpensive relative to 3-year earnings CAGR.</li>
</ul>


Surging by 19.4% since the trough on 19-Apr, the HSI is now only 3.2% shy away from the psychological resistance of 20,000. We look at some potential profit-taking names. 
Heavy-Weights like Meituan (3690 HK) and Tencent (700 HK) are among the best-performing ones YTD and since the trough. Hence they are more exposed, particularly for Meituan.

Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) and ENN Energy (2688 HK) are another two on the list. Their valuations are no longer inexpensive relative to 3-year earnings CAGR.


HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>9926 HK/1801 HK/ BGNE US/9995 HK: US Biosecure Act extended Chinese CXO collaboration until 2032  (+/+/+/+)</li>
<li>BGNE US :BeiGene’s performance in the first quarter of 2024 exceeded expectations, especially benefiting from overseas BRUKINSA(/)</li>
<li>ZLAB US:Zai Lab's revenue and profit in the first quarter of 2024 exceeded expectations, mainly due to Efgartigimod.(/)</li>
</ul>


9926 HK/1801 HK/ BGNE US/9995 HK: US Biosecure Act extended Chinese CXO collaboration until 2032  (+/+/+/+)
BGNE US :BeiGene’s performance in the first quarter of 2024 exceeded expectations, especially benefiting from overseas BRUKINSA(/)
ZLAB US:Zai Lab's revenue and profit in the first quarter of 2024 exceeded expectations, mainly due to Efgartigimod.(/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:9926 HK/1801HK/ BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/NIO/LI/1211HK/BEKE/1810HK/3888HK/981HK/MSFT/INTC

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US : The international hotel management group maintains a cautious attitude towards China throughout the year.（-/-）</li>
<li>1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/1810HK:EV sales solid in the 5th week of April 2024, NIO continues to benefit from SU7 overflow, BYD continues to be strong, and Xiaomi deliveries decline for three consecutive weeks.(+/+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>300274 SZ / 300750 SZ/ 1211 HK : Tesla's Shanghai energy storage gigafactory was approved, mainly producing energy storage for export, benefiting China's supply chain.(+/+/ -)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US : The international hotel management group maintains a cautious attitude towards China throughout the year.（-/-）
1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/1810HK:EV sales solid in the 5th week of April 2024, NIO continues to benefit from SU7 overflow, BYD continues to be strong, and Xiaomi deliveries decline for three consecutive weeks.(+/+/+/-/-)
300274 SZ / 300750 SZ/ 1211 HK : Tesla's Shanghai energy storage gigafactory was approved, mainly producing energy storage for export, benefiting China's supply chain.(+/+/ -)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: April existing home sales on track of recovery, while new home lukewarm, and high tier cities policy easing bodes well for Beike.(+)</li>
<li>LI US : LI L6 sales momentum accelerates during May Day holiday.(/)</li>
<li>NIO US/ LI US / 1211 HK :  New energy vehicle sales growth rebounded in the fourth week of April 2024, with Nio, LI and Zeekr regaining market shares （/////）</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: April existing home sales on track of recovery, while new home lukewarm, and high tier cities policy easing bodes well for Beike.(+)
LI US : LI L6 sales momentum accelerates during May Day holiday.(/)
NIO US/ LI US / 1211 HK :  New energy vehicle sales growth rebounded in the fourth week of April 2024, with Nio, LI and Zeekr regaining market shares （/////）


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1211 HK/1801 HK/1810 HK

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

China

Xiaomi is a Chinese multinational corporation specializing in consumer electronics and technology, primarily known for its smartphones (Mi, Redmi, POCO series) and a wide range of AIoT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) devices, including smart home products, wearables, and laptops. The company also provides internet services, including its MIUI operating system. Xiaomi was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily]:9926 HK/1801HK/ BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/NIO/LI/1211HK/BEKE/1810HK/3888HK/981HK/MSFT/INTC

US Biosecure Act extends Chinese collaboration until 2032, BeiGene and Zai Lab exceed Q1 expectations with BRUKINSA and Efgartigimod.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1211 HK/1801 HK/1810 HK

April existing home sales show signs of recovery.High tier cities easing policies.LI sales accelerate during 5.1 holiday.Nio, LI,and Zeekr see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

​HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily]:9926 HK/1801HK/ BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/NIO/LI/1211HK/BEKE/1810HK/3888HK/981HK/MSFT/INTC

​US Biosecure Act extends Chinese collaboration until 2032, BeiGene and Zai Lab exceed Q1 expectations with BRUKINSA and Efgartigimod.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

​International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1211 HK/1801 HK/1810 HK

​April existing home sales show signs of recovery.High tier cities easing policies.LI sales accelerate during 5.1 holiday.Nio, LI,and Zeekr see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

US Biosecure Act extends Chinese collaboration until 2032, BeiGene and Zai Lab exceed Q1 expectations with BRUKINSA and Efgartigimod.

International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

April existing home sales show signs of recovery.High tier cities easing policies.LI sales accelerate during 5.1 holiday.Nio, LI,and Zeekr see...