Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Cover Story: U.S.-Israel War With Iran Drifts Toward Attrition</li><li>China’s State Financial Managers Face Deep Pay Cuts as Reform Bites</li><li>Analysis: Could Global Oil Shock Trigger Imported Stagflation in China?</li></ul>

Cover Story: U.S.-Israel War With Iran Drifts Toward AttritionChina’s State Financial Managers Face Deep Pay Cuts as Reform BitesAnalysis: Could Global Oil Shock Trigger Imported Stagflation in China?

CX Daily: U.S.-Israel War With Iran Drifts Toward Attrition 

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Feb 2026 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that Feb discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jan 2026 retail sales volume for each model, as Feb 2026 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>On the surface, China’s industrywide average discounts remained flat in Feb 2026 vs. Jan 2026 and Dec 2025 based on our calculations, as narrower discounts for German brands offset wider discounts for other brands. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Feb 2026 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that Feb discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jan 2026 retail sales volume for each model, as Feb 2026 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.On the surface, China’s industrywide average discounts remained flat in Feb 2026 vs. Jan 2026 and Dec 2025 based on our calculations, as narrower discounts for German brands offset wider discounts for other brands. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 1Q26 carmakers’ margins under pressure amid rising discounts

<ul><li>We maintain our China PV sales volume growth forecasts for 2026 on both retail and wholesale basis after weaker-than-expected Nov and Dec sales.</li><li>We revise down our 2026 NEV sales volume slightly, as the new trade-in subsidies have stringent requirements.</li><li>We are of the view that weaker-than-expected 4Q25 sales volume may result in earnings miss for some automakers. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We maintain our China PV sales volume growth forecasts for 2026 on both retail and wholesale basis after weaker-than-expected Nov and Dec sales.We revise down our 2026 NEV sales volume slightly, as the new trade-in subsidies have stringent requirements.We are of the view that weaker-than-expected 4Q25 sales volume may result in earnings miss for some automakers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Weak 4Q25 sales may lead to earning miss

<ul><li>Both passenger vehicle (PV) retail sales and wholesale volumes in China are likely to hit new highs in 2025E.</li><li>That, along with trade-in subsidy and purchase-tax saving phase-out, could make 2026 interesting and complex.</li><li>Resilient industry growth despite subsidy cuts. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Both passenger vehicle (PV) retail sales and wholesale volumes in China are likely to hit new highs in 2025E.That, along with trade-in subsidy and purchase-tax saving phase-out, could make 2026 interesting and complex.Resilient industry growth despite subsidy cuts. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 2026 Outlook: Second half of the NEV match

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO, SENSETIME, NIO.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO, SENSETIME, NIO.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO

China

XPeng designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicles, integrating advanced technologies like autonomous driving and intelligent operating systems. Its product lineup includes a range of smart electric sedans, SUVs, and MPVs. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

CX Daily: U.S.-Israel War With Iran Drifts Toward Attrition

Cover Story: U.S.-Israel War With Iran Drifts Toward Attrition China’s State Financial Managers Face Deep Pay Cuts as Reform Bites Analysis: Could...

Caixin Global

Auto - 1Q26 carmakers’ margins under pressure amid rising discounts

Note that Feb discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jan 2026 retail sales volume for each model, as Feb 2026...

CMB International

Auto - Weak 4Q25 sales may lead to earning miss

We maintain our China PV sales volume growth forecasts for 2026 on both retail and wholesale basis after weaker-than-expected Nov and Dec sales.

CMB International

Auto - 2026 Outlook: Second half of the NEV match

Resilient industry growth despite subsidy cuts. We project China’s PV retail sales volume to be largely flat YoY and wholesale volume to rise 2.9%...

CMB International

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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