Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> reports Q3 2025 results on 30 October after market close. </li>
<li>
Options markets imply a ±4.7% move, notably larger than the historical ±3.0% average. The stock has shown asymmetric reactions, with fewer but stronger upside moves.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Understand how implied swings compare with history and how the earnings-linked volatility peak offers tactical opportunities around BYD’s 31 Oct weekly expiry.</li>
</ul>



Context:BYD (1211 HK) reports Q3 2025 results on 30 October after market close. 

Options markets imply a ±4.7% move, notably larger than the historical ±3.0% average. The stock has shown asymmetric reactions, with fewer but stronger upside moves.

Why Read: Understand how implied swings compare with history and how the earnings-linked volatility peak offers tactical opportunities around BYD’s 31 Oct weekly expiry.


BYD (1211 HK) Earnings on 30 Oct: Options Price in Larger-Than-Usual Move

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a>, a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.</li>
<li>In our previous note we had looked at its past performance. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.
Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.
In our previous note we had looked at its past performance. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.


Seres Group A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a>, a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.
Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Seres Group A/H Listing - Rapid Growth but Its Partner’s Sanctions Risk Might Keep Some Away

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following Trump's threats on tariffs and pull-out of meeting with Xi, the 5% collapse in the HSI futures implies a heavy sell-off in HK when the market reopens.</li>
<li>The stocks with the best YTD performance and significant strengths in the last month are the prime candidates most vulnerable to the initial collapse. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hua-hong-semiconductor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7201:1" rel="noopener">Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)</a> are badly exposed.</li>
</ul>


Following Trump's threats on tariffs and pull-out of meeting with Xi, the 5% collapse in the HSI futures implies a heavy sell-off in HK when the market reopens.
The stocks with the best YTD performance and significant strengths in the last month are the prime candidates most vulnerable to the initial collapse. 

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), and Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK) are badly exposed.


Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>China dominates the global battery market and its manufacturers are expanding production rapidly into international markets.  Players like CATL support global automakers with the most advanced battery technology.</li>
<li>Growth of renewable energy has increased demand for Energy Storage Solutions (ESS). ESS stores energy from renewable sources, stabilizes the power grid, and provides power for industrial and commercial buildings. </li>
<li>China's battery companies are benefiting from AI data center (AIDC) storage growth, which has created intense demand for specialized energy storage solutions for this sector.</li>
</ul>


China dominates the global battery market and its manufacturers are expanding production rapidly into international markets.  Players like CATL support global automakers with the most advanced battery technology.
Growth of renewable energy has increased demand for Energy Storage Solutions (ESS). ESS stores energy from renewable sources, stabilizes the power grid, and provides power for industrial and commercial buildings. 
China's battery companies are benefiting from AI data center (AIDC) storage growth, which has created intense demand for specialized energy storage solutions for this sector.


CHINA'S BATTERY SECTOR OUTLOOK: You're Either Positive or Negative!

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

BYD (1211 HK) Earnings on 30 Oct: Options Price in Larger-Than-Usual Move

Quick reminder: BYD (1211 HK) will report after market close on 30 October. When the company last reported on 29 August, the stock fell 5.2% the...

Gaudenz Schneider

Seres Group A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the recent...

Sumeet Singh

Seres Group A/H Listing - Rapid Growth but Its Partner’s Sanctions Risk Might Keep Some Away

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. The company has now filed its PHIP and...

Sumeet Singh

HK Strategy: Who Will Suffer the Most?

Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CHINA'S BATTERY SECTOR OUTLOOK: You're Either Positive or Negative!

China dominates the global battery market. Its manufacturers are expanding production into international markets. Players like CATL support global...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BYD (1211 HK) Earnings on 30 Oct: Options Price in Larger-Than-Usual Move

Quick reminder: BYD (1211 HK) will report after market close on 30 October. When the company last reported on 29 August, the stock fell 5.2% the...

Gaudenz Schneider

Seres Group A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the recent...

Sumeet Singh

Seres Group A/H Listing - Rapid Growth but Its Partner’s Sanctions Risk Might Keep Some Away

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. The company has now filed its PHIP and...

Sumeet Singh

HK Strategy: Who Will Suffer the Most?

​Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CHINA'S BATTERY SECTOR OUTLOOK: You're Either Positive or Negative!

China dominates the global battery market. Its manufacturers are expanding production into international markets. Players like CATL support global...

David Mudd

Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...