External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We maintain our China PV sales volume growth forecasts for 2026 on both retail and wholesale basis after weaker-than-expected Nov and Dec sales.</li><li>We revise down our 2026 NEV sales volume slightly, as the new trade-in subsidies have stringent requirements.</li><li>We are of the view that weaker-than-expected 4Q25 sales volume may result in earnings miss for some automakers. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We maintain our China PV sales volume growth forecasts for 2026 on both retail and wholesale basis after weaker-than-expected Nov and Dec sales.We revise down our 2026 NEV sales volume slightly, as the new trade-in subsidies have stringent requirements.We are of the view that weaker-than-expected 4Q25 sales volume may result in earnings miss for some automakers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Weak 4Q25 sales may lead to earning miss

<ul><li>Both passenger vehicle (PV) retail sales and wholesale volumes in China are likely to hit new highs in 2025E.</li><li>That, along with trade-in subsidy and purchase-tax saving phase-out, could make 2026 interesting and complex.</li><li>Resilient industry growth despite subsidy cuts. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Both passenger vehicle (PV) retail sales and wholesale volumes in China are likely to hit new highs in 2025E.That, along with trade-in subsidy and purchase-tax saving phase-out, could make 2026 interesting and complex.Resilient industry growth despite subsidy cuts. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 2026 Outlook: Second half of the NEV match

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO, SENSETIME, NIO.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO, SENSETIME, NIO.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.


HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Sep): ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Overseas revenue is 60-100% more profitable, and interestingly, it has reached more than 50% of BYD's total revenue for the first time. </li>
<li>The recent recall is not significant enough to dent the group's overall business. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-company-limited-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD Company (1211 HK)</a> has one of the highest overseas sales contributions compared to the peers. </li>
<li>The lower valuation, combined with a stronger operation including higher overall margin thanks to the growing overseas business, presents an opportunity to own BYD. </li>
</ul>


Overseas revenue is 60-100% more profitable, and interestingly, it has reached more than 50% of BYD's total revenue for the first time. 
The recent recall is not significant enough to dent the group's overall business. BYD Company (1211 HK) has one of the highest overseas sales contributions compared to the peers. 
The lower valuation, combined with a stronger operation including higher overall margin thanks to the growing overseas business, presents an opportunity to own BYD. 


China

XPeng designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicles, integrating advanced technologies like autonomous driving and intelligent operating systems. Its product lineup includes a range of smart electric sedans, SUVs, and MPVs. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

Auto - Weak 4Q25 sales may lead to earning miss

We maintain our China PV sales volume growth forecasts for 2026 on both retail and wholesale basis after weaker-than-expected Nov and Dec sales.

CMB International

Auto - 2026 Outlook: Second half of the NEV match

Resilient industry growth despite subsidy cuts. We project China’s PV retail sales volume to be largely flat YoY and wholesale volume to rise 2.9%...

CMB International

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Sep): ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

BYD (1211): Mid-Term Value Opportunity

The recent recall is manageable, while overseas business keeps on growing with a much higher operating margin as well. The weaker share price...

Henry Soediarko

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