Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-business-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40379:1" rel="noopener">Japan Business Systems (5036 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orion-breweries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45701:1" rel="noopener">Orion Breweries (409A JP)</a> were included in the TOPIX index at the end of October 2025. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-eyewear-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40217:1" rel="noopener">Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fit-easy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45319:1" rel="noopener">FIT EASY (212A JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a> will be included in the TOPIX index at the end of November 2025.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.

Japan Business Systems (5036 JP) and Orion Breweries (409A JP) were included in the TOPIX index at the end of October 2025. 

Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP), FIT EASY (212A JP), and Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) will be included in the TOPIX index at the end of November 2025.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Nov 2025)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota (7203 JP)</a> having sold some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmonic-drive-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10238:1" rel="noopener">Harmonic Drive</a> this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


With Toyota (7203 JP) having sold some of its stake in Denso, KDDI and Harmonic Drive this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.
Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Inflation, having peaked at 4.3% in January 2023, has been on a downward trend throughout the year, with figures dropping to 2.8% in November and further to 2.6% by December.</li>
<li>In this insight, we analyze the recent quarterly performance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yakult-honsha-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17153:1" rel="noopener">Yakult Honsha (2267 JP)</a>, Nissin, and Seven &amp; I, Japanese Consumer Staples companies discussed in our prior Smartkarma Original.</li>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissin-foods-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12548:1" rel="noopener">Nissin Foods Holdings (2897 JP)</a> showcased excellent performance, Yakult and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> faced struggles in their recent quarters.</li>
</ul>


Inflation, having peaked at 4.3% in January 2023, has been on a downward trend throughout the year, with figures dropping to 2.8% in November and further to 2.6% by December.
In this insight, we analyze the recent quarterly performance of Yakult Honsha (2267 JP), Nissin, and Seven &amp; I, Japanese Consumer Staples companies discussed in our prior Smartkarma Original.
While Nissin Foods Holdings (2897 JP) showcased excellent performance, Yakult and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) faced struggles in their recent quarters.


Japan Consumer Staples Update: Inflation Looks a Blessing in Disguise for Those with Pricing Power

<ul>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamazaki-baking-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7658:1" rel="noopener">Yamazaki Baking (2212 JP)</a>'s recent surge has been impressive, consensus expectations are high for the upcoming quarter, despite yet another price hike in July 2023.</li>
<li>From a valuation perspective, we expect limited upside potential even if Yamazaki Baking surpasses consensus expectations.</li>
<li>Therefore, we believe that the risk-reward profile for maintaining a long position in Yamazaki Baking is currently not particularly attractive.</li>
</ul>


While Yamazaki Baking (2212 JP)'s recent surge has been impressive, consensus expectations are high for the upcoming quarter, despite yet another price hike in July 2023.
From a valuation perspective, we expect limited upside potential even if Yamazaki Baking surpasses consensus expectations.
Therefore, we believe that the risk-reward profile for maintaining a long position in Yamazaki Baking is currently not particularly attractive.


Yamazaki Baking: Breads & Buns Buonce But Valuation Is a Stalemate

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 14th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,683m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Disco, Sony, Kasumigaseki Capital, Fujikura, Softbank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 14th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,683m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Disco, Sony, Kasumigaseki Capital, Fujikura, Softbank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 14th): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio

Japan

YAKULT HONSHA CO., LTD produces and sells fermented milk products, soft drinks and food products.  The Company also manufactures pharmaceutical and cosmetic products.  Through its subsidiary, the professional baseball team, Tokyo Yakult Swallows is owned and managed.

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Yakult Honsha (2267 JP)

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Nov 2025)

There are currently 140 names that satisfy all 5 key Segment Transfer requirements based on current data. Another 137 names can satisfy 4 out of 5...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Consumer Staples Update: Inflation Looks a Blessing in Disguise for Those with Pricing Power

Inflation in Japan has been on a decline over the year, reaching 2.6% in December 2023 after peaking at 4.3% twelve months prior.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Yamazaki Baking: Breads & Buns Buonce But Valuation Is a Stalemate

Yamazaki Baking's surging stock faces high expectations in 3Q23. With limited valuation upside, the risk-reward balance has tilted unfavorably for...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 14th): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), Sanrio...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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