Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Ownership levels in Yandex hit all-time highs in EM active portfolios</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yandex-nv-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:414:1" rel="noopener">Yandex (YNDX US)</a> overtakes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sberbank-of-russia-pjsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24142:1" rel="noopener">Sberbank Of Russia Pjsc (SBER LI)</a> as top overweight</li>
<li>Positioning and momentum levels are among the highest compared to Russian and Communication Services peers.</li>
<li>However, we still the potential for ownership levels to move higher still.</li>
</ul>Taken from our Global Emerging Markets analysis, comprising 248 active GEM funds, combined AUM $360bn.


Ownership levels in Yandex hit all-time highs in EM active portfolios

Yandex (YNDX US) overtakes Sberbank Of Russia Pjsc (SBER LI) as top overweight
Positioning and momentum levels are among the highest compared to Russian and Communication Services peers.
However, we still the potential for ownership levels to move higher still.
Taken from our Global Emerging Markets analysis, comprising 248 active GEM funds, combined AUM $360bn.

<ul>
<li>Ownership levels in Magnit are depressed. Today's average weights and funds held % are at multi-year lows.</li>
<li>Recent sentiment looks positive when compared to other EM stocks, though this is partly a function of low ownership rather then any large scale buying.</li>
<li>Although lightly owned at present, it is a well known stock having being owned by 151 of the 224 in our analysis.</li>
<li>Max ever combined AUM from the funds in our analysis is ~20x the current level, most funds are at their lowest ever levels of ownership.</li>
<li>Prices are highly correlated to EM fund ownership.  Higher ownership levels are likely to drive prices higher.</li>
<li>Given Magnit's strong performance in 2020 relative to broader EM and other favoured Russian stocks, it could be appearing back on the radar of active EM managers. If it does, expect performance to follow.</li>
</ul>


Ownership levels in Magnit are depressed. Today's average weights and funds held % are at multi-year lows.
Recent sentiment looks positive when compared to other EM stocks, though this is partly a function of low ownership rather then any large scale buying.
Although lightly owned at present, it is a well known stock having being owned by 151 of the 224 in our analysis.
Max ever combined AUM from the funds in our analysis is ~20x the current level, most funds are at their lowest ever levels of ownership.
Prices are highly correlated to EM fund ownership.  Higher ownership levels are likely to drive prices higher.
Given Magnit's strong performance in 2020 relative to broader EM and other favoured Russian stocks, it could be appearing back on the radar of active EM managers. If it does, expect performance to follow.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We continue to move increasingly toward the bullish camp and we believe equities are poised for higher prices moving forward. In today’s report we outline our bullish case and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Financials, Services, Technology and Manufacturing: Credit Card Issuers, Education Services, China, Solar Energy, and Industrial Rental Equipment.

We continue to move increasingly toward the bullish camp and we believe equities are poised for higher prices moving forward. In today’s report we outline our bullish case and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Financials, Services, Technology and Manufacturing: Credit Card Issuers, Education Services, China, Solar Energy, and Industrial Rental Equipment.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Cap-Weighted Communications to Overweight

Asia Long-Short PM/Analyst

Curtis Lehnert

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27266" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27266:1">Opera Ltd (OPRA US)</a> is going for a US IPO amidst the ongoing market volatility and investors love/hate relationship with tech stocks.  As the result of a small deal size and being a browser that is only competitive in certain markets where internet infrastructure is undeveloped, this deal could get overlooked by investors.  I would encourage investors to look at the deal as a whole, weighing fundamentals with market sentiment and updates on how demand builds in the US.

Opera Ltd (OPRA US) is going for a US IPO amidst the ongoing market volatility and investors love/hate relationship with tech stocks.  As the result of a small deal size and being a browser that is only competitive in certain markets where internet infrastructure is undeveloped, this deal could get overlooked by investors.  I would encourage investors to look at the deal as a whole, weighing fundamentals with market sentiment and updates on how demand builds in the US.  

Opera IPO (OPRA US): Let the Book Be Your Guide

Macro Strategist, Saxo Capital Markets

Kay Van-Petersen

Macro Strategist

Saxo Capital Markets

Event-Driven

<ul><li>The next two weeks will have some of the most potent events of the 1H of the year</li><li>Weds Apr 29 sees the Fed meeting &amp; 1Q US GDP, Thu Apr 30 is RBNZ &amp; BoJ, with the following Tue &amp; Fri (May 5 &amp; 8) being RBA &amp; US Non-farm payrolls&hellip;</li><li>Once again, with an RBA cut imminent &amp; the Fed set to hike in 2H, AUD above 0.7750 is a screaming short as you have catalysts on both sides of the cross</li></ul>

The next two weeks will have some of the most potent events of the 1H of the yearWeds Apr 29 sees the Fed meeting &amp; 1Q US GDP, Thu Apr 30 is RBNZ &amp; BoJ, with the following Tue &amp; Fri (May 5 &amp; 8) being RBA &amp; US Non-farm payrolls&hellip;Once again, with an RBA cut imminent &amp; the Fed set to hike in 2H, AUD above 0.7750 is a screaming short as you have catalysts on both sides of the cross

THE MACRO TAKE: NEXT 2WKS ARE HIGH OCTANE! FED, US 1Q GDP, RBNZ, BoJ, RBA & US NFP    

Netherlands

Yandex NV operates an Internet website in Russia.  The Company's website offers an Internet search engine, news, shopping information, blogs, photographs and videos.  Yandex earns its revenues from online advertising.

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Yandex (YNDX US)

Yandex: Moves to Top Russia Overweight

Ownership levels in Yandex hit all-time highs in EM active portfolios Yandex (YNDX US) overtakes Sberbank Of Russia Pjsc (SBER LI) as top...

Steven Holden

Magnit PJSC : Mind the Gap.

Ownership levels in Magnit are depressed. Today's average weights and funds held % are at multi-year lows. Recent sentiment looks positive when...

Steven Holden

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Cap-Weighted Communications to Overweight

We continue to move increasingly toward the bullish camp and we believe equities are poised for higher prices moving forward. In today’s report we...

Vermilion Research

Opera IPO (OPRA US): Let the Book Be Your Guide

Opera Ltd (OPRA US) is going for a US IPO amidst the ongoing market volatility and investors love/hate relationship with tech stocks. As the...

Curtis Lehnert

THE MACRO TAKE: NEXT 2WKS ARE HIGH OCTANE! FED, US 1Q GDP, RBNZ, BoJ, RBA & US NFP

The next two weeks will have some of the most potent events of the 1H of the year Weds Apr 29 sees the Fed meeting & 1Q US GDP, Thu Apr 30 is...

Kay Van-Petersen

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