Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Southbound is seeing lower volumes, and a long Spring Festival holiday. Net value purchased in the week after Spring Festival was lower.</li>
<li>INFO TECH and CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (and Properties) are net bought. MATERIALS and HEALTHCARE were big net sells, especially relative to value traded.</li>
<li>The data tables below update daily in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free for all SK readers. Recently used are now sticky.</li>
</ul>


Southbound is seeing lower volumes, and a long Spring Festival holiday. Net value purchased in the week after Spring Festival was lower.
INFO TECH and CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (and Properties) are net bought. MATERIALS and HEALTHCARE were big net sells, especially relative to value traded.
The data tables below update daily in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free for all SK readers. Recently used are now sticky.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Week After Spring Festival 2026) - Volatile Spreads, Gently Wider

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 176 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 66.6% as of Feb 27th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 176 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 66.6% as of Feb 27th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 27th): YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Index Company announced HSCI review results after market close on Feb 13. In our previous note, we reviewed the Sep 2025 HK Connect cycle.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide an update on the forecasted upcoming implementation action by the mainland exchanges based on implementation rules and highlight stock performance thus far.</li>
<li>Our analysis suggests that selectivity will be critical in this cycle, with differentiation driven by pre-positioning, narrative alignment, and ownership structure rather than mechanical inclusion alone.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Index Company announced HSCI review results after market close on Feb 13. In our previous note, we reviewed the Sep 2025 HK Connect cycle.
In this note, we provide an update on the forecasted upcoming implementation action by the mainland exchanges based on implementation rules and highlight stock performance thus far.
Our analysis suggests that selectivity will be critical in this cycle, with differentiation driven by pre-positioning, narrative alignment, and ownership structure rather than mechanical inclusion alone.


HK Connect March 2026: Implementation Forecast and Positioning Framework

<ul>
<li>HK$120bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity last two weeks, and net buying of HK$59bn. Tencent very strongly bought. China Mobile sell streak ended with strong buying last Tues-Fri.</li>
<li>There are upcoming index rebals for HK/China. Our predictions for the M Global rebal announced tonight are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-predictions-for-the-major-global-index-rebal-in-feb-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and we have <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-hscei-mar26-one-index-change-likely-announcement-soon" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-hsiii-mar26-announcement-next-week-4-changes-likely" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HSIII</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-hstech-mar26-no-changes-likely-us-860mn-one-way-announcement-next-week" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> as well as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-star-50-100-mar26-us-3-8bn-total-one-way-flows-some-signs-of-pre-positioning" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Star50/100</a> coming too.</li>
<li>The data tables below update daily in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free for all SK readers. Recently used are now sticky.</li>
</ul>


HK$120bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity last two weeks, and net buying of HK$59bn. Tencent very strongly bought. China Mobile sell streak ended with strong buying last Tues-Fri.
There are upcoming index rebals for HK/China. Our predictions for the M Global rebal announced tonight are here and we have HSCEI, HSIII, HSTECH as well as Star50/100 coming too.
The data tables below update daily in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free for all SK readers. Recently used are now sticky.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2Wks To 6Feb26) -  Tencent Bought Bigly, China Mobile Sell Streak Ends

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 68.0% as of Feb 6th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, information technology, industrials and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials, Cngr Advanced Material, China Suntien Green Energy, Cgn Power, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 68.0% as of Feb 6th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, information technology, industrials and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials, Cngr Advanced Material, China Suntien Green Energy, Cgn Power, BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 6th): China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials

China

Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable is a global leader in the research, development, production, and sale of optical fiber preforms, optical fibers, optical cables, and related optical communication products and solutions. The company offers a wide range of products including specialty optical fibers, submarine cables, and optical transceivers, along with system integration and communication engineering design services. Headquartered in Wuhan, Hubei, China, the company was founded in May 1988.

Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (6869 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (6869 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Week After Spring Festival 2026) - Volatile Spreads, Gently Wider

Flows were quiet in the run-up to Spring Festival, and in the week afterwards. We will have to wait and see how the first full week post CNY shapes...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 27th): YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect March 2026: Implementation Forecast and Positioning Framework

March Connect implementation is nearing: we forecast expected ADD/DELETE actions and assess how positioning, crowding, and southbound flows may...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2Wks To 6Feb26) - Tencent Bought Bigly, China Mobile Sell Streak Ends

A soft week then a big week in HK Southbound. ETF flows abated in the week to 30 Jan, then Tech BOOMED in the week to 6 Feb. Tencent saw huge...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 6th): China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Huaxin Building Materials, Cngr...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)