Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>We studied 43 HK IPO cornerstone deals from the Jan to Nov 2025 listing cohort to measure price action around the IPO+6M lock-up expiry.</li>
<li>We note that selling pressure from cornerstone selling overhang is deal-size dependent.</li>
<li>Sponsor mix further refines the screen. Pure international-sponsored deals underperformed other cohorts.</li>
</ul>


We studied 43 HK IPO cornerstone deals from the Jan to Nov 2025 listing cohort to measure price action around the IPO+6M lock-up expiry.
We note that selling pressure from cornerstone selling overhang is deal-size dependent.
Sponsor mix further refines the screen. Pure international-sponsored deals underperformed other cohorts.


HK IPO Essential Statistics: Quantifying Lock-Up Expiry Overhang

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the performance of Hong Kong Connect implementation in March 2026.</li>
<li>ADD stocks reversed their bridge window drawdown at implementation. The bounce faded by week 3 to 4.</li>
<li>DELETE stocks fell through first week, exceeding Sep 2025. Within the DELETE basket, the names where connect investors sold the most also fell the most.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the performance of Hong Kong Connect implementation in March 2026.
ADD stocks reversed their bridge window drawdown at implementation. The bounce faded by week 3 to 4.
DELETE stocks fell through first week, exceeding Sep 2025. Within the DELETE basket, the names where connect investors sold the most also fell the most.


HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 13th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, CNOOC, Jiaxin International Resourc, Lingbao Gold, Meituan, Sinopec, CCB, Zijin Mining, HKEx, China Life.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 13th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, CNOOC, Jiaxin International Resourc, Lingbao Gold, Meituan, Sinopec, CCB, Zijin Mining, HKEx, China Life.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 13th): Tencent, CNOOC, Jiaxin International Resourc, Lingbao Gold

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Index Company announced HSCI review results after market close on Feb 13. In our previous note, we reviewed the Sep 2025 HK Connect cycle.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide an update on the forecasted upcoming implementation action by the mainland exchanges based on implementation rules and highlight stock performance thus far.</li>
<li>Our analysis suggests that selectivity will be critical in this cycle, with differentiation driven by pre-positioning, narrative alignment, and ownership structure rather than mechanical inclusion alone.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Index Company announced HSCI review results after market close on Feb 13. In our previous note, we reviewed the Sep 2025 HK Connect cycle.
In this note, we provide an update on the forecasted upcoming implementation action by the mainland exchanges based on implementation rules and highlight stock performance thus far.
Our analysis suggests that selectivity will be critical in this cycle, with differentiation driven by pre-positioning, narrative alignment, and ownership structure rather than mechanical inclusion alone.


HK Connect March 2026: Implementation Forecast and Positioning Framework

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>PRC department store play <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-retail-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:470:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle (3308 HK)</a></strong> has announced a privatisation offer, by way of a Scheme, at $6.88/share, a 40.41% premium to last close. The price is final.</li>
<li>The Offeror is the Wang family, Together with concert parties, they control 80.29%. 7.18% of the remaining 19.71% of the disinterested stakeholders have given an irrevocable. </li>
<li>Apart from shareholder approval, there are no key regulatory approvals to be obtained. </li>
</ul>


PRC department store play Golden Eagle (3308 HK) has announced a privatisation offer, by way of a Scheme, at $6.88/share, a 40.41% premium to last close. The price is final.
The Offeror is the Wang family, Together with concert parties, they control 80.29%. 7.18% of the remaining 19.71% of the disinterested stakeholders have given an irrevocable. 
Apart from shareholder approval, there are no key regulatory approvals to be obtained. 


Golden Eagle (3308 HK): Wang Family Delisting Offer

Hong Kong

Yorkey Optical International (Cayman) Ltd. manufactures and sells plastic and metallic parts, components of optical and opto-electronic products, and molds and cases. Its products include components for cameras, video cameras, audio products, office machines, and various electronic devices. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.

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Yorkey Optical (2788 HK)

HK IPO Essential Statistics: Quantifying Lock-Up Expiry Overhang

HK IPO Essential Stat: We studied 43 HK IPO cornerstone deals listed in 2025 to quantify the selling pressure upon lock-up expiry.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

HK Connect Mar 2026 implementation cycle is completing. ADD reversed the WAI drawdown at implementation. DELETE continuation worked post...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 13th): Tencent, CNOOC, Jiaxin International Resourc, Lingbao Gold

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), CNOOC (883 HK), Jiaxin International...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect March 2026: Implementation Forecast and Positioning Framework

March Connect implementation is nearing: we forecast expected ADD/DELETE actions and assess how positioning, crowding, and southbound flows may...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Golden Eagle (3308 HK): Wang Family Delisting Offer

Assuming there is enough here for the deal to get up, and assuming payment around the middle of September, I'd pay up to HK$6.61/share, or ~15%...

David Blennerhassett

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