Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Youlchon Chemical's CFD balance accounts for 3.54% of SO, with approximately 2x leverage trading. It is one of the few in the top CFD balance list that can be short-sold.</li>
<li>Our primary concern should lie with the upcoming December rebalancing of the KOSPI 200 index. Youlchon Chemical finds itself perilously close to the borderline within the Materials sector.</li>
<li>When proactive flow trading targeting KOSPI 200 is set to influence prices early October, we must remain vigilant regarding the potential trades aimed at exploiting a CFD balance squeeze.</li>
</ul>


Youlchon Chemical's CFD balance accounts for 3.54% of SO, with approximately 2x leverage trading. It is one of the few in the top CFD balance list that can be short-sold.
Our primary concern should lie with the upcoming December rebalancing of the KOSPI 200 index. Youlchon Chemical finds itself perilously close to the borderline within the Materials sector.
When proactive flow trading targeting KOSPI 200 is set to influence prices early October, we must remain vigilant regarding the potential trades aimed at exploiting a CFD balance squeeze.


A Fresh Short-Selling Target in Korea: Youlchon Chemical

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/Events/Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/Events/Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

<ul>
<li>Following the spin-off, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongkuk-steel-mill-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7293:1" rel="noopener">Dongkuk Steel Mill (001230 KS)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> and replaced with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/youlchon-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2649:1" rel="noopener">Youlchon Chemical (008730 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/youlchon-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2649:1" rel="noopener">Youlchon Chemical (008730 KS)</a> just missed being added to the index at the June rebalance but will be added a couple of weeks after the regular rebalance.</li>
<li>Shorts on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongkuk-steel-mill-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7293:1" rel="noopener">Dongkuk Steel Mill (001230 KS)</a> have increased over the last month but overall short interest is way below historical levels.</li>
</ul>


Following the spin-off, Dongkuk Steel Mill (001230 KS) will be deleted from the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) and replaced with Youlchon Chemical (008730 KS). 

Youlchon Chemical (008730 KS) just missed being added to the index at the June rebalance but will be added a couple of weeks after the regular rebalance.
Shorts on Dongkuk Steel Mill (001230 KS) have increased over the last month but overall short interest is way below historical levels.


KOSPI200 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Youlchon Chem to Replace Dongkuk Steel Mill

<ul>
<li>With 4 trading days left in the review period, we see three potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang (001570 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmochemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3747:1" rel="noopener">Cosmochemical (005420 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/youlchon-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2649:1" rel="noopener">Youlchon Chemical (008730 KS)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongwon-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1783:1" rel="noopener">Dongwon Industries (006040 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwaseung-enterprise-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35611:1" rel="noopener">Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-home-shopping-network-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2357:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Home Shopping Network (057050 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>If approved by shareholders, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongkuk-steel-mill-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7293:1" rel="noopener">Dongkuk Steel Mill (001230 KS)</a> split increases the probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/youlchon-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2649:1" rel="noopener">Youlchon Chemical (008730 KS)</a> inclusion and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-home-shopping-network-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2357:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Home Shopping Network (057050 KS)</a> could avoid deletion.</li>
</ul>


With 4 trading days left in the review period, we see three potential changes for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June.

Kum Yang (001570 KS), Cosmochemical (005420 KS) and Youlchon Chemical (008730 KS) could replace Dongwon Industries (006040 KS), Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS) and Hyundai Home Shopping Network (057050 KS). 
If approved by shareholders, the Dongkuk Steel Mill (001230 KS) split increases the probability of Youlchon Chemical (008730 KS) inclusion and Hyundai Home Shopping Network (057050 KS) could avoid deletion.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Materials to Replace Consumer Stocks

<ul>
<li>Through the regular rebalancing, Kum Yang and Cosmo Chemical will be included in KOSPI 200, and Youlchon Chemical will be included as an ad-hoc change due to Dongkuk Steel's deletion.</li>
<li>We should prepare for an aggressive long position on Youlchon Chemical from a day trading perspective, targeting May 15th, the day after Dongkuk Steel's general meeting.</li>
<li>If the meeting is scheduled for the morning, we should consider entering the position in the afternoon of the 12th.</li>
</ul>


Through the regular rebalancing, Kum Yang and Cosmo Chemical will be included in KOSPI 200, and Youlchon Chemical will be included as an ad-hoc change due to Dongkuk Steel's deletion.
We should prepare for an aggressive long position on Youlchon Chemical from a day trading perspective, targeting May 15th, the day after Dongkuk Steel's general meeting.
If the meeting is scheduled for the morning, we should consider entering the position in the afternoon of the 12th.


Target May 15th for LONG Youlchon Chemical with Dongkuk Steel's Split Approval

<ul>
<li>Applying the T+3 relisting date as the effective date will again lead to noteworthy changes to the timeline of rebalancing flow trading.</li>
<li>It seems unnecessary to concentrate shorting on the trading halt day for Dongkuk Steel. We should aim for price corrections driven by passive flows on the T+2 period before effective.</li>
<li>Despite the Dongkuk Steel shareholders' approval on the 12th, Youlchon Chemical's price experienced a significant decline. The ongoing risk of major shareholder stake sales appears to have overshadowed this event.</li>
</ul>


Applying the T+3 relisting date as the effective date will again lead to noteworthy changes to the timeline of rebalancing flow trading.
It seems unnecessary to concentrate shorting on the trading halt day for Dongkuk Steel. We should aim for price corrections driven by passive flows on the T+2 period before effective.
Despite the Dongkuk Steel shareholders' approval on the 12th, Youlchon Chemical's price experienced a significant decline. The ongoing risk of major shareholder stake sales appears to have overshadowed this event.


KOSPI 200 Ad-Hoc Changes for Dongkuk Steel Spinoff: Discussing Flow Trading Timeline

South Korea

Youlchon Chemical Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures packaging materials such as single and multilayer oriented polypropylene films and corrugated cardboards for use in consumer product labeling and packaging applications.  The Company also produces laminated tubes to pack toothpaste, cosmetics, and adhesives.  In addition, Youlchon manufactures carrier tapes which carry electronic parts.

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Youlchon Chemical (008730 KS)

A Fresh Short-Selling Target in Korea: Youlchon Chemical

This post discovers and discusss how Youlchon Chemical, with a high CFD balance and a high likelihood of being excluded from KOSPI 200, could...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Youlchon Chem to Replace Dongkuk Steel Mill

Youlchon Chem will replace Dongkuk Steel Mill in the KOSPI200 on 20 June. There is between 4-6x ADV to trade on the stocks. Short interest has been...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Materials to Replace Consumer Stocks

There could be 3 changes for the KOSPI20 in June with Youlchon Chemical sitting at the cusp. The impact on the deletes will be higher and short...

Brian Freitas

Target May 15th for LONG Youlchon Chemical with Dongkuk Steel's Split Approval

This post investigates the potential ad-hoc change in KOSPI 200 due to Dongkuk Steel's split and examines the Long position entry timing for the...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 Ad-Hoc Changes for Dongkuk Steel Spinoff: Discussing Flow Trading Timeline

This post details the KOSPI 200 corporate actions for Dongkuk Steel spinoff, which involves the addition of Youlchon Chemical, and discusses the...

Sanghyun Park

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