Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The bigger question for investors is whether <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso Corp (6902 JP)</a> will keep up with global auto market needs or will they suffer as Toyota may suffer?</li>
<li>The FSS may put the breaks on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-zinc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17944:1" rel="noopener">Korea Zinc (010130 KS)</a>'s massive capital raise. </li>
<li>Murakami-San has won <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>. The company has decided to up its dividend payout and future dividend payout ratio and buy back a boatload of shares. </li>
</ul>


The bigger question for investors is whether Denso Corp (6902 JP) will keep up with global auto market needs or will they suffer as Toyota may suffer?
The FSS may put the breaks on Korea Zinc (010130 KS)'s massive capital raise. 
Murakami-San has won Exedy Corp (7278 JP). The company has decided to up its dividend payout and future dividend payout ratio and buy back a boatload of shares. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Denso/Toyota, Korea Zinc, Exedy, Good Drinks, Shinsegae

<ul>
<li>For the month of October 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in October was ~26%. The average premium YTD is ~42%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of October 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in October was ~26%. The average premium YTD is ~42%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2024: Arcadium, T Gaia, Elematec, NEC Network, MPHB, Sigma Health, Fuji Soft

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Today's FSS briefing warned Choi, favoring MBK. It looks likely Korea Zinc will retract the rights offering, or we might see a rare showdown with the FSS.</li>
<li>Will Korea Zinc's stock rally? Uncertain. The recent price jump was driven mainly by short squeezes. Volatility seems unlikely now with many shorts cleared out.</li>
<li>We should watch the shareholder vote, as open market buying continues, keeping Korea Zinc's stock tight. We should expect potential swings due to passive outflows.</li>
</ul>


Today's FSS briefing warned Choi, favoring MBK. It looks likely Korea Zinc will retract the rights offering, or we might see a rare showdown with the FSS.
Will Korea Zinc's stock rally? Uncertain. The recent price jump was driven mainly by short squeezes. Volatility seems unlikely now with many shorts cleared out.
We should watch the shareholder vote, as open market buying continues, keeping Korea Zinc's stock tight. We should expect potential swings due to passive outflows.


FSS Briefing on Korea Zinc: Likely to Retract Rights Offering; Set up Trades for Passive Outflows

<ul>
<li>A unique clause caps any single subscriber, including related parties, to 3% of the total issuance, or 111,979 shares, limiting MBK and Choi’s camp.</li>
<li>While there are legal risks regarding breach of duty, the capital raise is solid and unlikely to face immediate shutdown despite potential court challenges from MBK.</li>
<li>There are trading opportunities as 20% of shares are newly issued, potentially opening the door for MBK's tender offer and attracting new shareholders, including arb hunters.</li>
</ul>


A unique clause caps any single subscriber, including related parties, to 3% of the total issuance, or 111,979 shares, limiting MBK and Choi’s camp.
While there are legal risks regarding breach of duty, the capital raise is solid and unlikely to face immediate shutdown despite potential court challenges from MBK.
There are trading opportunities as 20% of shares are newly issued, potentially opening the door for MBK's tender offer and attracting new shareholders, including arb hunters.


Breaking Down the Details of Korea Zinc’s Shocking Capital Raise

<ul>
<li>There's still 13.67% of neutral votes up for grabs, sparking market chatter about a fresh tender. But Choi is focusing on reviving voting rights for treasury shares.</li>
<li>MBK stated today that Korea Zinc's 9.85% treasury shares might not be canceled and could be sold to employee stock ownership plans (ESOPs).</li>
<li>MBK may ramp up open market buying sooner and more aggressively than expected, likely already impacting Korea Zinc's stock price starting today.</li>
</ul>


There's still 13.67% of neutral votes up for grabs, sparking market chatter about a fresh tender. But Choi is focusing on reviving voting rights for treasury shares.
MBK stated today that Korea Zinc's 9.85% treasury shares might not be canceled and could be sold to employee stock ownership plans (ESOPs).
MBK may ramp up open market buying sooner and more aggressively than expected, likely already impacting Korea Zinc's stock price starting today.


Korea Zinc's Buyback Results and Price Actions from Potential Sale of 9.85% Treasury to ESOP

South Korea

Young Poong Precision Corporation manufactures centrifugal pumps, valves, and anti-corrosion equipment.  The Company also manufactures mold products, and retails various machine parts and motors.

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Young Poong Precision (036560 KS)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Denso/Toyota, Korea Zinc, Exedy, Good Drinks, Shinsegae

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2024: Arcadium, T Gaia, Elematec, NEC Network, MPHB, Sigma Health, Fuji Soft

For the month of Oct, 10 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$9bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

FSS Briefing on Korea Zinc: Likely to Retract Rights Offering; Set up Trades for Passive Outflows

This post covers today’s FSS briefing on the Korea Zinc rights offering and explores the reasons behind the likely cancellation. It also highlights...

Sanghyun Park

Breaking Down the Details of Korea Zinc’s Shocking Capital Raise

This post dives into the details of Korea Zinc’s shocking capital raise announced this morning and breaks down what it all means from a trading...

Sanghyun Park

Korea Zinc's Buyback Results and Price Actions from Potential Sale of 9.85% Treasury to ESOP

This post covers Korea Zinc's buyback tender results and touches on stock price actions likely driven by the potential sale of the 9.85% treasury...

Sanghyun Park

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