Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia's supply outlook turned more mixed — elevated Singapore trade flows and high China output cushioned disruptions even as Taiwan and South Korea signalled tightening availability</li><li>China's high base oils output softened the impact of global disruptions domestically — but reliance on imported Group III left exposure to tighter overseas markets</li><li>Taiwan's April shipments fell to multi-month lows while May cargo flows stayed subdued — pointing to shrinking Asia export availability</li></ul>

Asia's supply outlook turned more mixed — elevated Singapore trade flows and high China output cushioned disruptions even as Taiwan and South Korea signalled tightening availabilityChina's high base oils output softened the impact of global disruptions domestically — but reliance on imported Group III left exposure to tighter overseas marketsTaiwan's April shipments fell to multi-month lows while May cargo flows stayed subdued — pointing to shrinking Asia export availability

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 15 May '26

<ul><li>Cargo of light and heavy-grade Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in recent days before heading to Indonesia, set to arrive next week.</li><li>Taiwan’s base oils exports in first-half May remained lower than during the same period in March and April.</li><li>Singapore took delivery in the past week of a large shipment from northwest Europe that set off from that market in first-half March.</li></ul>

Cargo of light and heavy-grade Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in recent days before heading to Indonesia, set to arrive next week.Taiwan’s base oils exports in first-half May remained lower than during the same period in March and April.Singapore took delivery in the past week of a large shipment from northwest Europe that set off from that market in first-half March.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 15 May

Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets, EM Spreads

Leandro Gubler

Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets

EM Spreads

Credit

<ul>
<li>
Structural Asset Transformation: YPF is successfully pivoting to a high-margin shale-weighted portfolio, driving a 53% YoY EBITDA surge and 44% reduction in lifting costs despite weaker global commodity prices.</li>
<li>
Persistent Liquidity Constraints: Despite robust market access and strategic divestments, short-term debt remains high at 197% of cash, with $2.1 billion in 2026 maturities requiring disciplined refinancing execution.</li>
<li>
Sovereign Risk Overlay: Improving credit fundamentals remain capped by Argentina’s macro volatility; investors should prioritize "belly" curve exposure (2034s) for superior convexity and protection against 2027 political cycles.</li>
</ul>



Structural Asset Transformation: YPF is successfully pivoting to a high-margin shale-weighted portfolio, driving a 53% YoY EBITDA surge and 44% reduction in lifting costs despite weaker global commodity prices.

Persistent Liquidity Constraints: Despite robust market access and strategic divestments, short-term debt remains high at 197% of cash, with $2.1 billion in 2026 maturities requiring disciplined refinancing execution.

Sovereign Risk Overlay: Improving credit fundamentals remain capped by Argentina’s macro volatility; investors should prioritize "belly" curve exposure (2034s) for superior convexity and protection against 2027 political cycles.


YPF 4Q25: Downstream Strength and Shale Scale Offset Price Headwinds

<ul>
<li>The LatAm Corporate Index widened by 4 bps to 317 bps in the week ended Wednesday, January 15, 2025. </li>
<li>YPF Priced $1.1bn Bond Due 2034 at 8.5% Yield. PEMEX Commits to Settling Supplier Debts by March</li>
<li>Moody’s Upgrades Ratings of Argentine Non-Financial Companies Following Country Ceiling Adjustment</li>
</ul>


The LatAm Corporate Index widened by 4 bps to 317 bps in the week ended Wednesday, January 15, 2025. 
YPF Priced $1.1bn Bond Due 2034 at 8.5% Yield. PEMEX Commits to Settling Supplier Debts by March
Moody’s Upgrades Ratings of Argentine Non-Financial Companies Following Country Ceiling Adjustment


<ul><li>March base oils and lubricants demand surged across Asia, Europe and the US — accelerating stockbuilding, tightening balances and deferring the supply reckoning into Q2</li><li>Japan, Thailand and Southeast Asia absorbed available supply through accelerated buying — leaving refiners with depleted inventories despite higher output and exports</li><li>Asia's March exports hit a three-year high, absorbing regional surplus and keeping markets balanced — but disruptions since late February have flipped concern from oversupply to tightening</li></ul>

March base oils and lubricants demand surged across Asia, Europe and the US — accelerating stockbuilding, tightening balances and deferring the supply reckoning into Q2Japan, Thailand and Southeast Asia absorbed available supply through accelerated buying — leaving refiners with depleted inventories despite higher output and exportsAsia's March exports hit a three-year high, absorbing regional surplus and keeping markets balanced — but disruptions since late February have flipped concern from oversupply to tightening

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 8 May '26

Argentina

YPF Sociedad Anonima is involved in the exploration, development and production of crude oil, natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas. The Company also refines, markets, and distributes oil alongside its derivatives YPF generates nearly all of its revenue inside Argentina, and has headquarters in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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YPF SA (YPF US)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 15 May '26

Asia's supply outlook turned more mixed — elevated Singapore trade flows and high China output cushioned disruptions even as Taiwan and South...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 15 May

Cargo of light and heavy-grade Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in recent days before heading to Indonesia, set to arrive next week. Taiwan’s...

Base Oil News

YPF 4Q25: Downstream Strength and Shale Scale Offset Price Headwinds

YPF’s shale pivot is driving record efficiency and deleveraging. Learn why the 2034 bonds offer the best risk-adjusted value to capture this...

Leandro Gubler

EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views

LatAm Corporate Index widens, YPF prices $1.1bn bond, PEMEX commits to settling debts, Moody's upgrades Argentine companies.

Leandro Gubler

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 8 May '26

March base oils and lubricants demand surged across Asia, Europe and the US — accelerating stockbuilding, tightening balances and deferring the...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 15 May '26

Asia's supply outlook turned more mixed — elevated Singapore trade flows and high China output cushioned disruptions even as Taiwan and South...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 15 May

Cargo of light and heavy-grade Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in recent days before heading to Indonesia, set to arrive next week. Taiwan’s...

Base Oil News

YPF 4Q25: Downstream Strength and Shale Scale Offset Price Headwinds

YPF’s shale pivot is driving record efficiency and deleveraging. Learn why the 2034 bonds offer the best risk-adjusted value to capture this...

Leandro Gubler

EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views

​LatAm Corporate Index widens, YPF prices $1.1bn bond, PEMEX commits to settling debts, Moody's upgrades Argentine companies.

Leandro Gubler

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 8 May '26

March base oils and lubricants demand surged across Asia, Europe and the US — accelerating stockbuilding, tightening balances and deferring the...

Base Oil News

LatAm Corporate Index widens, YPF prices $1.1bn bond, PEMEX commits to settling debts, Moody's upgrades Argentine companies.