Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 0.46 % in February resulting in a 2.99% underperformance to its benchmark. The portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by 53% to 75% since inception 10/1/24.</li>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha has generated 63% of its return from alpha and has a Sharpe ratio of 1.71 since inception. The portfolio's annualized mean excess return is 24%.</li>
<li>At the end of February, we reduced positions in the technology sector and added positions in the energy and building materials sectors.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 0.46 % in February resulting in a 2.99% underperformance to its benchmark. The portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by 53% to 75% since inception 10/1/24.
Hong Kong Alpha has generated 63% of its return from alpha and has a Sharpe ratio of 1.71 since inception. The portfolio's annualized mean excess return is 24%.
At the end of February, we reduced positions in the technology sector and added positions in the energy and building materials sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (February 2026)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 2nd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were HSBC (5 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 2nd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were HSBC (5 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 2nd): HSBC, Tencent, Bidu

<ul>
<li>The materials, healthcare, and tech sectors are leading the Hong Kong market out of its consolidation pattern, with January shaping up to be one of the best in years.</li>
<li>China and Hong Kong ETF flows were the strongest in Asia during 2025 posting significant inflows throughout the year although Korea had the most significant increase at 600%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a> share price plunged after it announced an investigation into its monopolistic business practices. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> shares jumped after the founder returned as CEO.
</li>
</ul>


The materials, healthcare, and tech sectors are leading the Hong Kong market out of its consolidation pattern, with January shaping up to be one of the best in years.
China and Hong Kong ETF flows were the strongest in Asia during 2025 posting significant inflows throughout the year although Korea had the most significant increase at 600%.

Trip.com Group (9961 HK) share price plunged after it announced an investigation into its monopolistic business practices. Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) shares jumped after the founder returned as CEO.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 14)

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

<ul>
<li>In H1, Asia climbed several walls of worry. Valuations are slightly higher than long-term average. H2 could be more modest, as export driven growth moderates and trade agreements become contentious.</li>
<li>Our end-2025 targets are: MXASJ 850, SHCOMP 3760, Sensex 85000, HSI 26000, KOSPI 3400, TWSE 23500, Strait Times 4200, JCI 7450, SET 1150. Overweights on Korea, HK/China, India, continue.</li>
<li>Asian currencies should continue to appreciate, driving more FII flows. Benign inflation and headroom for monetary easing are key tailwinds. We expect two rate cuts by the Fed in 2025.</li>
</ul>


In H1, Asia climbed several walls of worry. Valuations are slightly higher than long-term average. H2 could be more modest, as export driven growth moderates and trade agreements become contentious.
Our end-2025 targets are: MXASJ 850, SHCOMP 3760, Sensex 85000, HSI 26000, KOSPI 3400, TWSE 23500, Strait Times 4200, JCI 7450, SET 1150. Overweights on Korea, HK/China, India, continue.
Asian currencies should continue to appreciate, driving more FII flows. Benign inflation and headroom for monetary easing are key tailwinds. We expect two rate cuts by the Fed in 2025.


H2 '25 Outlook: Modest H2 After Strong H1. Themes: Trade, Consumption, Tech Spending, Yields

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 25th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), Bidu (9888 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 25th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), Bidu (9888 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 25th): Tencent, Bidu, Xiaomi, Bosideng

China

Yum China operates and franchises a diverse portfolio of restaurant brands across the People's Republic of China, including KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang. The company also provides online food delivery services. Yum China Holdings, Inc. was spun off from Yum! Brands in 2016 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Yum China (9987 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (February 2026)

The war, which launched at the beginning of the month, is now into its second week and its economic effects are being reflected in global markets....

David Mudd

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 2nd): HSBC, Tencent, Bidu

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were HSBC (5 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 14)

Trip.com Group (9961 HK) price plunged after it announced an investigation into its monopolistic business practices. Haidilao International Holding...

David Mudd

H2 '25 Outlook: Modest H2 After Strong H1. Themes: Trade, Consumption, Tech Spending, Yields

As we approach the last quarter of 2025, most Asian market indices are higher than our end-25 targets, except India. Of our focus investment themes...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 25th): Tencent, Bidu, Xiaomi, Bosideng

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)