External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Yum China's stock price has decreased from $34 per share in 2017 to $30 per share currently, with an $8.7 billion enterprise value</li><li>Despite challenges like Covid and macro weaknesses in China, Yum China has shown growth in sales, EPS, and units since 2017</li><li>The stock peaked at $70 in 2021 but has struggled recently due to weak business performance, leading the author to believe the company is undervalued at 10x PE ex-cash with potential for significant returns to shareholders in the next three years</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Yum China's stock price has decreased from $34 per share in 2017 to $30 per share currently, with an $8.7 billion enterprise valueDespite challenges like Covid and macro weaknesses in China, Yum China has shown growth in sales, EPS, and units since 2017The stock peaked at $70 in 2021 but has struggled recently due to weak business performance, leading the author to believe the company is undervalued at 10x PE ex-cash with potential for significant returns to shareholders in the next three yearsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) - Wednesday, Jul 31, 2024

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Upgrade our rating to OUTPERFORM on the consumer discretionary sector.</li><li>The foot traffic of the 2024 10-1 National Day holidays was strong (recovery rate has improved vs Mid-autumn and Dragon Boat Festival) but the spending power remained fairly week.</li><li>Even though the retail sales growth was still under pressure, a sequential improvement was observed compared with Sep 2024, and this should be able to support the further re-rating of the sector valuation. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Upgrade our rating to OUTPERFORM on the consumer discretionary sector.The foot traffic of the 2024 10-1 National Day holidays was strong (recovery rate has improved vs Mid-autumn and Dragon Boat Festival) but the spending power remained fairly week.Even though the retail sales growth was still under pressure, a sequential improvement was observed compared with Sep 2024, and this should be able to support the further re-rating of the sector valuation. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary - Sequential Improvement May Support Re-Rating

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Although the tech sector in Hong Kong has surged over the last couple of weeks there appears to be minimal short covering in US-listed China tech names.</li>
<li>The performance of the "Magnificent 5" China tech names has led the rally as we outlined in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hong-kong-the-glass-is-half-full-time-to-buy-beta" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:134396" rel="noopener">Hong Kong: The Glass Is Half Full, Time to BUY Beta</a> .</li>
<li>The combination of of large outstanding short positions and a significant underweight of HK/China in international funds will lead to further upside in the tech sector.</li>
</ul>


Although the tech sector in Hong Kong has surged over the last couple of weeks there appears to be minimal short covering in US-listed China tech names.
The performance of the "Magnificent 5" China tech names has led the rally as we outlined in Hong Kong: The Glass Is Half Full, Time to BUY Beta .
The combination of of large outstanding short positions and a significant underweight of HK/China in international funds will lead to further upside in the tech sector.


Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong is showing strong market momentum as consumer staples, consumer discretionary, healthcare and tech surge on increased momentum.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xtep-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18118:1" rel="noopener">Xtep International (1368 HK)</a> had a good 1H24 and benefited from better consumer sentiment. Analysts are upgrading <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) on an improved outlook.</a></li>
<li>Goldman Sachs upgraded their rating on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26793:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (BILI US)</a> to a BUY with improving user MAU/DAU measures and the success of its newly launched game.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong is showing strong market momentum as consumer staples, consumer discretionary, healthcare and tech surge on increased momentum.
Xtep International (1368 HK) had a good 1H24 and benefited from better consumer sentiment. Analysts are upgrading Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) on an improved outlook.
Goldman Sachs upgraded their rating on Bilibili (9626 HK) , Bilibili (BILI US) to a BUY with improving user MAU/DAU measures and the success of its newly launched game.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 28)

Haidilao International Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong is now the top-performing major world market this year.  With a large valuation disparity, both Hong Kong's and China's markets have more upside potential.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> are benefiting from the improvement in consumer sentiment with government stimulus targeting housing payments and consumption.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-securities-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:463:1" rel="noopener">Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK)</a> surged in anticipation of increased market trading and IPOs.  Industry consolidation is also part of the improved sentiment.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong is now the top-performing major world market this year.  With a large valuation disparity, both Hong Kong's and China's markets have more upside potential.

Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) and Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) are benefiting from the improvement in consumer sentiment with government stimulus targeting housing payments and consumption.

Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK) surged in anticipation of increased market trading and IPOs.  Industry consolidation is also part of the improved sentiment.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 27)

China

Yum China Holdings, Inc. operates chain restaurants. The Company offers pizza, entrees, pasta, rice dishes, appetizers, soups, vegetables, beverages, and desserts. Yum China Holding conducts its business worldwide.

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Yum China Holdings (YUMC US)

Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) - Wednesday, Jul 31, 2024

Yum China's stock price has decreased from $34 per share in 2017 to $30 per share currently, with an $8.7 billion enterprise value

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Consumer Discretionary - Sequential Improvement May Support Re-Rating

Upgrade our rating to OUTPERFORM on the consumer discretionary sector. The foot traffic of the 2024 10-1 National Day holidays was strong

CMB International

HK/China: THE BIG SHORT (SQUEEZE)

Even though HK/China tech names have surged, short positions have not covered. The large underweight position in HK/China by international funds...

David Mudd

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 28)

Hong Kong market continues to re-rate on the back of PBOC stimulus. XTEP and Tongcheng benefit from improved consumer sentiment and earnings...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 27)

HSI is the top performing major global index heading into 4Q2024. Haidilao and Anta both benefit from improved sentiment in consumer sector. Citic...

David Mudd

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