External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We believe Yum China SSSG might still be negative in 4Q24E (despite a positive foot traffic growth), but thanks to its soft raw material inflation and efficiency gains across store and headquarters levels, we do expect net profit growth to be decent in 4Q24E.</li><li>Moreover, supported by the slightly more optimistic FY25E outlook, generous cash return programme and attractive valuation, we maintain BUY.</li><li>Sales trend may still be mildly under pressure in 4Q24E. We expect Yum China’s SSSG in 4Q24E to be at around -3%, similar to that in 3Q24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We believe Yum China SSSG might still be negative in 4Q24E (despite a positive foot traffic growth), but thanks to its soft raw material inflation and efficiency gains across store and headquarters levels, we do expect net profit growth to be decent in 4Q24E.Moreover, supported by the slightly more optimistic FY25E outlook, generous cash return programme and attractive valuation, we maintain BUY.Sales trend may still be mildly under pressure in 4Q24E. We expect Yum China’s SSSG in 4Q24E to be at around -3%, similar to that in 3Q24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yum China (YUMC US) - Improving Outlook and Decent Cash Returns

<ul><li>Sales growth was indeed a miss in 2Q24, but the net profit was a significant beat.</li><li>For 2H24E, we are still very cautious about the demand and so as the level of competition.</li><li>However, thanks to various efforts like Project Fresh Eye, Project Red Eye, rationalizing number of SKUs, more direct sourcing, and rampup of more profitable store formats (e.g. K-coffee and Pizza Hut’s WOW model) etc., we are confident on a turnaround in 4Q24E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sales growth was indeed a miss in 2Q24, but the net profit was a significant beat.For 2H24E, we are still very cautious about the demand and so as the level of competition.However, thanks to various efforts like Project Fresh Eye, Project Red Eye, rationalizing number of SKUs, more direct sourcing, and rampup of more profitable store formats (e.g. K-coffee and Pizza Hut’s WOW model) etc., we are confident on a turnaround in 4Q24E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yum China (YUMC US) - The Best-In-Class Costs Management in 2Q24

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Upgrade our rating to OUTPERFORM on the consumer discretionary sector.</li><li>The foot traffic of the 2024 10-1 National Day holidays was strong (recovery rate has improved vs Mid-autumn and Dragon Boat Festival) but the spending power remained fairly week.</li><li>Even though the retail sales growth was still under pressure, a sequential improvement was observed compared with Sep 2024, and this should be able to support the further re-rating of the sector valuation. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Upgrade our rating to OUTPERFORM on the consumer discretionary sector.The foot traffic of the 2024 10-1 National Day holidays was strong (recovery rate has improved vs Mid-autumn and Dragon Boat Festival) but the spending power remained fairly week.Even though the retail sales growth was still under pressure, a sequential improvement was observed compared with Sep 2024, and this should be able to support the further re-rating of the sector valuation. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary - Sequential Improvement May Support Re-Rating

<ul><li>We do concur with management’s cautious view for 1Q24E (targeting a flattish core OP).</li><li>However, we think the trend is constructive and HSD sales and OP growth is still achievable in FY24E. </li><li>Pair trade is also recommended.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We do concur with management’s cautious view for 1Q24E (targeting a flattish core OP).However, we think the trend is constructive and HSD sales and OP growth is still achievable in FY24E. Pair trade is also recommended.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yum China (9987 HK) – Impressive Cash Return but a Prudent 1Q24E

<ul><li>During the 2023 YUMC Investor Day in Xian (last time was in Shanghai in 2019), its management raised the FY23E target and gave a time frame for its mid-term target of 20,000 stores in China (by FY26E).</li><li>We believe such acceleration in growth during FY24E-26E is based on YUMC’s years of refinement in unit economics and a confident answer to the speeding up in industry consolidation.</li><li>Hence, we maintain BUY and lift TP to US$ 78.66, based on 27x FY24E P/E (unchanged).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

During the 2023 YUMC Investor Day in Xian (last time was in Shanghai in 2019), its management raised the FY23E target and gave a time frame for its mid-term target of 20,000 stores in China (by FY26E).We believe such acceleration in growth during FY24E-26E is based on YUMC’s years of refinement in unit economics and a confident answer to the speeding up in industry consolidation.Hence, we maintain BUY and lift TP to US$ 78.66, based on 27x FY24E P/E (unchanged).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yum China (YUMC US) – Key Takeaways from YUMC 2023 Investor Day

China

Yum China Holdings, Inc. operates chain restaurants. The Company offers pizza, entrees, pasta, rice dishes, appetizers, soups, vegetables, beverages, and desserts. Yum China Holding conducts its business worldwide.

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Yum China Holdings (YUMC US)

Yum China (YUMC US) - Improving Outlook and Decent Cash Returns

Sales trend may still be mildly under pressure in 4Q24E. We expect Yum China’s SSSG in 4Q24E to be at around -3%, similar to that in 3Q24.

CMB International

Yum China (YUMC US) - The Best-In-Class Costs Management in 2Q24

Sales growth was indeed a miss in 2Q24, but the net profit was a significant beat. For 2H24E, we are still very cautious about the demand and so as...

CMB International

Consumer Discretionary - Sequential Improvement May Support Re-Rating

Upgrade our rating to OUTPERFORM on the consumer discretionary sector. The foot traffic of the 2024 10-1 National Day holidays was strong

CMB International

Yum China (9987 HK) – Impressive Cash Return but a Prudent 1Q24E

The 4Q23 beat and massive jump in cash returns are impressive. However, as the base is still tough for 1Q24E, we believe investors can still...

CMB International

Yum China (YUMC US) – Key Takeaways from YUMC 2023 Investor Day

During the 2023 YUMC Investor Day in Xian (last time was in Shanghai in 2019), its management raised the FY23E target and gave a time frame for its...

CMB International

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