External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. We view Leapmotor’s 4Q25 earnings as largely in line and management guidance upbeat.</li><li>We believe the upcoming two D-series models could be key to its margins and valuation, although A-series may contribute more sales volume.</li><li>We maintain our FY26E sales volume forecast of 0.9mn units. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. We view Leapmotor’s 4Q25 earnings as largely in line and management guidance upbeat.We believe the upcoming two D-series models could be key to its margins and valuation, although A-series may contribute more sales volume.We maintain our FY26E sales volume forecast of 0.9mn units. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leapmotor (9863 HK) - Eyes on New Models, Especially D19

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: Shein Heads for Hong Kong IPO as Growth Slows, Regulatory Pressure Mounts In the sprawling industrial districts of Guangzhou, thousands of garment factories operate around the clock, churning out polyester dresses, denim jeans and other viral fashion items destined for consumers around the globe.</li><li>Shein Seeks Up to $1.8 Billion in Hong Kong IPO at $27 Billion Valuation Chinese fast-fashion retailer Shein launched its Hong Kong initial public offering on Monday, seeking to raise as much as HK$13.9 billion ($1.8 billion) at a valuation of about $27 billion.</li><li>China Signals No ‘Bazooka’ Stimulus in Key State Media Commentaries China’s flagship state newspaper has used a prominent pseudonymous commentary series to defend the country’s slowing economic growth and signal that Beijing will resist large-scale stimulus.</li></ul>

In Depth: Shein Heads for Hong Kong IPO as Growth Slows, Regulatory Pressure Mounts In the sprawling industrial districts of Guangzhou, thousands of garment factories operate around the clock, churning out polyester dresses, denim jeans and other viral fashion items destined for consumers around the globe.Shein Seeks Up to $1.8 Billion in Hong Kong IPO at $27 Billion Valuation Chinese fast-fashion retailer Shein launched its Hong Kong initial public offering on Monday, seeking to raise as much as HK$13.9 billion ($1.8 billion) at a valuation of about $27 billion.China Signals No ‘Bazooka’ Stimulus in Key State Media Commentaries China’s flagship state newspaper has used a prominent pseudonymous commentary series to defend the country’s slowing economic growth and signal that Beijing will resist large-scale stimulus.

CX Daily: Shein Heads for Hong Kong IPO as Growth Slows, Regulatory Pressure Mounts 

<ul><li>In Depth: Game Studios Have Bought Into AI, but Players Still Aren’t Sold In early August, sweltering heat in Shanghai did little to keep visitors away from ChinaJoy, China’s largest gaming expo.</li><li>Crowds packed the halls, queuing for demos, collecting merchandise and posing with cosplayers.</li><li>Most were in their 20s.</li></ul>

In Depth: Game Studios Have Bought Into AI, but Players Still Aren’t Sold In early August, sweltering heat in Shanghai did little to keep visitors away from ChinaJoy, China’s largest gaming expo.Crowds packed the halls, queuing for demos, collecting merchandise and posing with cosplayers.Most were in their 20s.

CX Daily: Game Studios Have Bought Into AI, but Players Still Aren’t Sold 

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 4.7% and that results in a round-trip trade of HK$27.5bn (US$3.5bn). There is between 8.7-9.8 days of ADV to trade in the two stocks.</li>
<li>Capping and float changes results in chunky flows to some other stocks and there could be big price moves over the next week.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK) will replace ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 4.7% and that results in a round-trip trade of HK$27.5bn (US$3.5bn). There is between 8.7-9.8 days of ADV to trade in the two stocks.
Capping and float changes results in chunky flows to some other stocks and there could be big price moves over the next week.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Leapmotor (9863 HK) To Replace ASMPT (522 HK) As Trade Hits US$3.5bn

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. We view Leapmotor’s 3Q25 vehicle gross margin of 13.3% as resilient, although its net profit of RMB150mn missed our expectation due to lowerthan-expected other revenue.</li><li>We believe Leapmotor could accomplish both of its sales volume and net profit targets in FY25E, and expect its strong sales momentum to continue throughout FY26E.</li><li>We project its overseas sales volume to more than double YoY in FY26E while domestic sales could be fuelled by two A-series and two D-series models. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. We view Leapmotor’s 3Q25 vehicle gross margin of 13.3% as resilient, although its net profit of RMB150mn missed our expectation due to lowerthan-expected other revenue.We believe Leapmotor could accomplish both of its sales volume and net profit targets in FY25E, and expect its strong sales momentum to continue throughout FY26E.We project its overseas sales volume to more than double YoY in FY26E while domestic sales could be fuelled by two A-series and two D-series models. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leapmotor (9863 HK) - 4Q25 NP to Be More Resilient; D19 Key to FY26E

China

Leapmotor is a Chinese automobile manufacturer specializing in the research, development, production, and sales of intelligent electric vehicles (EVs), including sedans, SUVs, and microcars. The company also develops core EV components such as intelligent driving systems, electric drive assemblies, and battery systems. Founded in December 2015, Leapmotor is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

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Leapmotor (9863 HK)