HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics (2692 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-zhaowei-machinery-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46000:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (2692 HK)</a>'s IPO does not look attractive, as valuations are not cheap relative to peers, despite a steep 45.6% discount to A-share. </li>
<li>At the maximum IPO price of HK$73.68, Zhaowei will trade on a PER of 50.1x for FY26F and 40.8x for FY27F. Global peers are, on average, just 16.9x.</li>
<li>Even if we park its HA discount alongside its close peer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-sanhua-intelligent-controls-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45277:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK)</a>, it will only mean 6.5% upside from the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (2692 HK)'s IPO does not look attractive, as valuations are not cheap relative to peers, despite a steep 45.6% discount to A-share. 
At the maximum IPO price of HK$73.68, Zhaowei will trade on a PER of 50.1x for FY26F and 40.8x for FY27F. Global peers are, on average, just 16.9x.
Even if we park its HA discount alongside its close peer, Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK), it will only mean 6.5% upside from the IPO price.


Shenzhen Zhaowei (2692 HK) IPO: Limited Near-Term Upside

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 176 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 66.6% as of Feb 27th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 176 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 66.6% as of Feb 27th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 27th): YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-zhaowei-machinery-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46000:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (003021 CH)</a>, aims to raise around US$254m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery &amp; Electronic (SZME) is a provider of integrated micro transmission and drive system solutions ranking first in China and fourth globally by revenue, according to F&amp;S.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the pricing.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (003021 CH), aims to raise around US$254m in its H-share listing.
Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery &amp; Electronic (SZME) is a provider of integrated micro transmission and drive system solutions ranking first in China and fourth globally by revenue, according to F&amp;S.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the pricing.


Aequitas: Shenzhen Zhaowei A/H Listing - Hoping to Catch the Robotics Wave

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> ETF in March.</li>
<li>We estimate passive trackers will need to buy 0.6-0.8x ADV in the adds and need to sell between 0.4-1.2x ADV in the deletes.</li>
<li>Short interest is highest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zte-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6922:1" rel="noopener">ZTE Corp (763 HK)</a> (as a percentage of float) and in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-minsheng-banking-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8983:1" rel="noopener">China Minsheng Banking H (1988 HK)</a> (in terms of days of ADV to cover).</li>
</ul>


There could be 2 constituent changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) ETF in March.
We estimate passive trackers will need to buy 0.6-0.8x ADV in the adds and need to sell between 0.4-1.2x ADV in the deletes.
Short interest is highest in ZTE Corp (763 HK) (as a percentage of float) and in China Minsheng Banking H (1988 HK) (in terms of days of ADV to cover).


FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in March

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen / Equity Capital Markets

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-lead-intelligent-equipmen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27971:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)</a>,  raised around US$725m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH),  raised around US$725m in its H-share listing.
WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Aequitas: Wuxi Lead A/H Trading - Weak Retail, Okish Institutional Demand

China

Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures, and sells refrigeration and air-conditioning electrical parts and auto parts. The company specializes in environmentally friendly thermal management solutions, developing HVAC systems, home appliance equipment, and thermal management solutions for new energy vehicles. It was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Shaoxing, China.

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Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK)

Shenzhen Zhaowei (2692 HK) IPO: Limited Near-Term Upside

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery's IPO is not particularly attractive at HK$73.68 due to high valuations compared to peers, despite a significant 45.6%...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 27th): YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Shenzhen Zhaowei A/H Listing - Hoping to Catch the Robotics Wave

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (003021 CH), aims to raise around US$254m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about pricing.

Sumeet Singh

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in March

There could be 2 constituent changes for the FXI ETF in March. Passive trackers will need to buy 0.6-0.8x ADV in the adds and sell between 0.4-1.2x...

Brian Freitas

Aequitas: Wuxi Lead A/H Trading - Weak Retail, Okish Institutional Demand

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH), raised around US$725m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shenzhen Zhaowei (2692 HK) IPO: Limited Near-Term Upside

​Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery's IPO is not particularly attractive at HK$73.68 due to high valuations compared to peers, despite a significant 45.6%...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 27th): YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Shenzhen Zhaowei A/H Listing - Hoping to Catch the Robotics Wave

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (003021 CH), aims to raise around US$254m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about pricing.

Sumeet Singh

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in March

There could be 2 constituent changes for the FXI ETF in March. Passive trackers will need to buy 0.6-0.8x ADV in the adds and sell between 0.4-1.2x...

Brian Freitas

Aequitas: Wuxi Lead A/H Trading - Weak Retail, Okish Institutional Demand

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH), raised around US$725m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery's IPO is not particularly attractive at HK$73.68 due to high valuations compared to peers, despite a significant 45.6%...