Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 25 inclusions, including many new listings, to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) in September. Another 6 stocks are close adds on liquidity and market cap.</li>
<li>We see 19 potential deletes and 2 close deletes on market cap, 5 potential deletes on prolonged trading suspension, and 2 close deletes on liquidity.</li>
<li>There are 8 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There could be 25 inclusions, including many new listings, to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) in September. Another 6 stocks are close adds on liquidity and market cap.
We see 19 potential deletes and 2 close deletes on market cap, 5 potential deletes on prolonged trading suspension, and 2 close deletes on liquidity.
There are 8 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: The Final List for September

<ul>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ150 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and a bunch of other onshore China indices were implemented last week.</li>
<li>The coming week has a lot of rebalance implementations on Friday with the S&amp;P/ASX family and the MVIS family, among others.</li>
<li>AUM for the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF (0050 TT) has continued to increase with big inflows in the last week.</li>
</ul>


The changes for the KOSPI2 INDEX, KOSDAQ150 Index, CSI300 Index, STAR50 INDEX and a bunch of other onshore China indices were implemented last week.
The coming week has a lot of rebalance implementations on Friday with the S&amp;P/ASX family and the MVIS family, among others.
AUM for the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF (0050 TT) has continued to increase with big inflows in the last week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, GDXJ, KRX New Deal, AMFI, Amman Mineral, Infratil

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fenbi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36640:1" rel="noopener">Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK)</a> was added to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the close Friday and will be added to Southbound Stock Connect from open of trading today.</li>
<li>We see 22 potential adds, 19 potential deletes, couple of close deletes, 5 deletes on prolonged suspension and 4 close liquidity deletes for the HSCI in September.</li>
<li>There are 11 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>



Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK) was added to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the close Friday and will be added to Southbound Stock Connect from open of trading today.
We see 22 potential adds, 19 potential deletes, couple of close deletes, 5 deletes on prolonged suspension and 4 close liquidity deletes for the HSCI in September.
There are 11 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

<ul>
<li>There is only one new listing as a potential inclusion to the HSCI in June. If added to the HSCI, it will also be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>There are 18 potential inclusions and 19 potential deletions for the HSCI in September. There are a few close adds and there could be another 5 deletions on Prolonged Suspension.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings. With all the stocks becoming sell-only, there could be unwinding of some positions over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There is only one new listing as a potential inclusion to the HSCI in June. If added to the HSCI, it will also be added to Southbound Stock Connect.
There are 18 potential inclusions and 19 potential deletions for the HSCI in September. There are a few close adds and there could be another 5 deletions on Prolonged Suspension.
A lot of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings. With all the stocks becoming sell-only, there could be unwinding of some positions over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June & September

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 2nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Meituan, Country Garden, China Mobile and outflows from Longfor, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 2nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Meituan, Country Garden, China Mobile and outflows from Longfor, Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 2nd): Meituan, Country Garden, China Mobile, Longfor, Tencent

Hong Kong

Zhongliang is principally engaged in real estate development and leasing, focusing on residential and mixed-use commercial properties in Mainland China. The company also provides management consulting services. It was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shanghai, People's Republic of China.

Price Gauge
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Zhongliang (2772 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: The Final List for September

There could be nearly 50 adds/deletes for the HSCI in September. That will trigger changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and increase flows...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, GDXJ, KRX New Deal, AMFI, Amman Mineral, Infratil

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

A month out from review cutoff, there are 22 potential adds and 19 potential deletes for the HSCI in Sep. Most stocks will then be added to or...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June & September

For the HSCI, there could be 1 add in June and 18 adds/19 deletes in Sep. There are some close adds and 5 potential deletes on prolonged...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 2nd): Meituan, Country Garden, China Mobile, Longfor, Tencent

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Meituan, Country Garden, China Mobile, Longfor, Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)