US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coreweave-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44471:1" rel="noopener">CoreWeave (CRWV US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chime-financial-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45194:1" rel="noopener">Chime (CHYM US)</a> are expected inclusions in All-World and SmallCap, respectively, following lock-up expiry which increases public voting rights above 5%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/figure-technology-solutions-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45672:1" rel="noopener">Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bullish-us-llc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45521:1" rel="noopener">Bullish US (BLSH US)</a> are close to the float cap threshold due to their low IPO floats, therefore their inclusion is uncertain.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/solstice-advanced-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45953:1" rel="noopener">Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS US)</a> is projected to migrate from All-World to SmallCap following its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honeywell-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16765:1" rel="noopener">Honeywell</a> spinoff in October 2025.</li>
</ul>



CoreWeave (CRWV US) and Chime (CHYM US) are expected inclusions in All-World and SmallCap, respectively, following lock-up expiry which increases public voting rights above 5%.

Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR US) and Bullish US (BLSH US) are close to the float cap threshold due to their low IPO floats, therefore their inclusion is uncertain.

Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS US) is projected to migrate from All-World to SmallCap following its Honeywell spinoff in October 2025.


Global Index IPO Forecasts - Mar26: CoreWeave & Chime Among Candidates

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There could be 3 inclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> in March. There is 1 stock that is close on free float market cap.</li>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-fields-ltd-434088e3-4626-4b0b-a6ec-acfc202c86d8" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28563:1" rel="noopener">Gold Fields (GFI US)</a> outperforms the other stocks in the index and is classified as a Large Weight, flows will drop off significantly.</li>
<li>The capping changes and the 3 adds will lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 6.6% and a round-trip trade of US$4.68bn.</li>
</ul>


There could be 3 inclusions for the VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) in March. There is 1 stock that is close on free float market cap.
If Gold Fields (GFI US) outperforms the other stocks in the index and is classified as a Large Weight, flows will drop off significantly.
The capping changes and the 3 adds will lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 6.6% and a round-trip trade of US$4.68bn.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) March Rebalance: 3 Adds and US$4.7bn Trade for Now

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. It is rebalanced with constituent changes possible quarterly.</li>
<li>We expect three ADDs for March 2026, with a one-way flow of US$2.8bn.</li>
<li>Things are moving very quickly within the gold sector. That means the expected flows can turn on a dime because of the peculiarities of the construction of this index. </li>
</ul>


The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. It is rebalanced with constituent changes possible quarterly.
We expect three ADDs for March 2026, with a one-way flow of US$2.8bn.
Things are moving very quickly within the gold sector. That means the expected flows can turn on a dime because of the peculiarities of the construction of this index. 


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26: 3 ADDs Likely, US$2.8bn One-Way Flow

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HK$120bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity last two weeks, and net buying of HK$59bn. Tencent very strongly bought. China Mobile sell streak ended with strong buying last Tues-Fri.</li>
<li>There are upcoming index rebals for HK/China. Our predictions for the M Global rebal announced tonight are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-predictions-for-the-major-global-index-rebal-in-feb-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and we have <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-hscei-mar26-one-index-change-likely-announcement-soon" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-hsiii-mar26-announcement-next-week-4-changes-likely" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HSIII</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-hstech-mar26-no-changes-likely-us-860mn-one-way-announcement-next-week" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> as well as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-star-50-100-mar26-us-3-8bn-total-one-way-flows-some-signs-of-pre-positioning" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Star50/100</a> coming too.</li>
<li>The data tables below update daily in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free for all SK readers. Recently used are now sticky.</li>
</ul>


HK$120bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity last two weeks, and net buying of HK$59bn. Tencent very strongly bought. China Mobile sell streak ended with strong buying last Tues-Fri.
There are upcoming index rebals for HK/China. Our predictions for the M Global rebal announced tonight are here and we have HSCEI, HSIII, HSTECH as well as Star50/100 coming too.
The data tables below update daily in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free for all SK readers. Recently used are now sticky.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2Wks To 6Feb26) -  Tencent Bought Bigly, China Mobile Sell Streak Ends

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 6th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, Pop Mart Intl, Ke, ICBC, Zijin Gold International, Zijin Mining, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Zhaojin Mining Industry.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 6th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, Pop Mart Intl, Ke, ICBC, Zijin Gold International, Zijin Mining, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Zhaojin Mining Industry.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Feb 6th): Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, Pop Mart Intl, Ke, ICBC

Hong Kong

Zijin Gold International Company Limited is a Hong Kong-based subsidiary of Zijin Mining Group, primarily engaged in the exploration, mining, processing, and sale of gold and other mineral resources. Its main products include gold bullion, gold alloy, and gold concentrate, with a focus on developing high-quality global gold assets. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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Zijin Gold International (2259 HK)

Global Index IPO Forecasts - Mar26: CoreWeave & Chime Among Candidates

CoreWeave and Chime are expected to be included in All‑World and SmallCap in March 2026, respectively, following their lock‑up expiries, which...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) March Rebalance: 3 Adds and US$4.7bn Trade for Now

There could be 3 adds for the index in March. Coincidentally, all 3 are potential ASX100 adds. Gold Fields is one to watch out for since...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26: 3 ADDs Likely, US$2.8bn One-Way Flow

As of now, the Global Gold Miners index in March could see 3 ADDs. One name could also move into the "Large" category. Interestingly, if it self...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2Wks To 6Feb26) - Tencent Bought Bigly, China Mobile Sell Streak Ends

A soft week then a big week in HK Southbound. ETF flows abated in the week to 30 Jan, then Tech BOOMED in the week to 6 Feb. Tencent saw huge...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Feb 6th): Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, Pop Mart Intl, Ke, ICBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), SMIC (981 HK), Pop...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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