Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 155 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 72.7% as of Jun 13th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -5.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, health care and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Tigermed, Bank Of Chongqing, Sinopec Oilfield Service, Livzon Pharmaceutical, COSCO Shipping Energy.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 155 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 72.7% as of Jun 13th.
The average A-H premium changed by -5.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, health care and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Tigermed, Bank Of Chongqing, Sinopec Oilfield Service, Livzon Pharmaceutical, COSCO Shipping Energy.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 13th): Tigermed, Bank Of Chongqing, Sinopec Oilfield Service

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hino-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2144:1" rel="noopener">Hino (7205 JP)</a> a short or a long at ¥366/share? Suggest short, but also selling more as the stock goes up, and buying back the short on big dips.</li>
<li>A Bloomberg op-ed piece concludes it is time to move on from "from an archaic currency regime". That conclusion on the Hong Kong peg appears presumptuous. And uninformed.</li>
<li>A spin-off makes sense as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin (2899 HK)</a> capitalises on the upward cycle in gold prices. However,  Zijin is trading at a single-digit NAV discount. Before any holding company discount.</li>
</ul>


Is Hino (7205 JP) a short or a long at ¥366/share? Suggest short, but also selling more as the stock goes up, and buying back the short on big dips.
A Bloomberg op-ed piece concludes it is time to move on from "from an archaic currency regime". That conclusion on the Hong Kong peg appears presumptuous. And uninformed.
A spin-off makes sense as Zijin (2899 HK) capitalises on the upward cycle in gold prices. However,  Zijin is trading at a single-digit NAV discount. Before any holding company discount.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Hino Motors, Hong Kong's Peg, Zijin Mining, MINISO

Materials| Industrials |Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>EBITDA margin is expected to expand to 19% by FY27, with EPS rising from CNY 0.51 to CNY 1.10, supported by operational efficiencies and a favorable gold price environment.</li>
<li>Shandong Gold aims for 70–80 tonnes of self-mined gold by 2027, with FY25–FY27 revenue projected to reach CNY118.8 billion at $3,400/oz gold price, driven by volume growth &amp; higher prices.</li>
<li>Commodity price volatility, geopolitical risks in international ventures (Argentina, Greece), and state ownership influence pose challenges to margins and shareholder value.</li>
</ul>


EBITDA margin is expected to expand to 19% by FY27, with EPS rising from CNY 0.51 to CNY 1.10, supported by operational efficiencies and a favorable gold price environment.
Shandong Gold aims for 70–80 tonnes of self-mined gold by 2027, with FY25–FY27 revenue projected to reach CNY118.8 billion at $3,400/oz gold price, driven by volume growth &amp; higher prices.
Commodity price volatility, geopolitical risks in international ventures (Argentina, Greece), and state ownership influence pose challenges to margins and shareholder value.


Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. (600547.SS, 1787.HK) - Scaling Production and Enhancing Margins

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Fast and furious moves up in silver, PGM and related metals</li>
<li>Sectors we have highlighted as inflation beneficiaries starting to attract capital</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Fast and furious moves up in silver, PGM and related metals
Sectors we have highlighted as inflation beneficiaries starting to attract capital


Overview # 28 – Capital Flows into Hard Assets Continue

<ul>
<li>A 4–6 month Kakula disruption could reduce Zijin’s 2025 copper output by 4–8%, cutting EBITDA by ~7–11%.</li>
<li>Ramp-Ups at Julong and Čukaru Peki can offset ~60–70% of the lost volume and partially protect margins.</li>
<li>Lithium is expected to grow from 8% to 20% of EBITDA by 2028, driven by 300kt LCE capacity from low-cost brine assets.</li>
</ul>


A 4–6 month Kakula disruption could reduce Zijin’s 2025 copper output by 4–8%, cutting EBITDA by ~7–11%.
Ramp-Ups at Julong and Čukaru Peki can offset ~60–70% of the lost volume and partially protect margins.
Lithium is expected to grow from 8% to 20% of EBITDA by 2028, driven by 300kt LCE capacity from low-cost brine assets.


Zijin Mining (601899 CH / 2899 HK): Evaluating the Impact of Kakula Suspension

China

Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, explores, mines, produces, refines, and sells gold and other mineral resources in China.

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Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 13th): Tigermed, Bank Of Chongqing, Sinopec Oilfield Service

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tigermed, Bank Of Chongqing, Sinopec Oilfield Service,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Hino Motors, Hong Kong's Peg, Zijin Mining, MINISO

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. (600547.SS, 1787.HK) - Scaling Production and Enhancing Margins

Shandong Gold forecasts significant growth in revenue and EPS by 2027, but faces challenges from commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks.

Rahul Jain

Overview # 28 – Capital Flows into Hard Assets Continue

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the continued move up in inflation beneficiaries

Rikki Malik

Zijin Mining (601899 CH / 2899 HK): Evaluating the Impact of Kakula Suspension

Potential Kakula disruption could impact Zijin's copper output and EBITDA, but ramp-ups at other sites and growth in lithium could partially...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 13th): Tigermed, Bank Of Chongqing, Sinopec Oilfield Service

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tigermed, Bank Of Chongqing, Sinopec Oilfield Service,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Hino Motors, Hong Kong's Peg, Zijin Mining, MINISO

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. (600547.SS, 1787.HK) - Scaling Production and Enhancing Margins

​Shandong Gold forecasts significant growth in revenue and EPS by 2027, but faces challenges from commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks.

Rahul Jain

Overview # 28 – Capital Flows into Hard Assets Continue

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the continued move up in inflation beneficiaries

Rikki Malik

Zijin Mining (601899 CH / 2899 HK): Evaluating the Impact of Kakula Suspension

​Potential Kakula disruption could impact Zijin's copper output and EBITDA, but ramp-ups at other sites and growth in lithium could partially...

Rahul Jain

Shandong Gold forecasts significant growth in revenue and EPS by 2027, but faces challenges from commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks.

Potential Kakula disruption could impact Zijin's copper output and EBITDA, but ramp-ups at other sites and growth in lithium could partially...