IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-industrials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36875:1" rel="noopener">JD Industrials (2231713D CH)</a>/JDI, a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China, has filed for a US$1bn IPO. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> owns a 77.95% stake.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-industrials-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:103407" rel="noopener">JD Industrials IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on slowing SME growth, declining key accounts take rate and gross margin, unnecessary factoring and transfer of most cash for treasury management.</li>
</ul>



JD Industrials (2231713D CH)/JDI, a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China, has filed for a US$1bn IPO. JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) owns a 77.95% stake.
In JD Industrials IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on slowing SME growth, declining key accounts take rate and gross margin, unnecessary factoring and transfer of most cash for treasury management.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-industrials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36875:1" rel="noopener">JD Industrials (2231713D CH)</a>/JDI, a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China, has filed for a US$1bn IPO. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> owns a 77.95% stake.</li>
<li>JDI is the largest industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV, customer coverage and SKU offerings in 2022, according to CIC.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, market share gains, robust product revenue growth underpinned by key accounts, improving underlying margin and strong cash generation.</li>
</ul>



JD Industrials (2231713D CH)/JDI, a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China, has filed for a US$1bn IPO. JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) owns a 77.95% stake.
JDI is the largest industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV, customer coverage and SKU offerings in 2022, according to CIC.
The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, market share gains, robust product revenue growth underpinned by key accounts, improving underlying margin and strong cash generation.


Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>JD Industrials is a pure trading platform for third party wholesalers.</li>
<li>The company avoids the competition with its clients and the risk of overdue account receivable.</li>
<li>JD Industrials has brand support from JD.com and logistics support form JD Logistics.</li>
</ul>


JD Industrials is a pure trading platform for third party wholesalers.
The company avoids the competition with its clients and the risk of overdue account receivable.
JD Industrials has brand support from JD.com and logistics support form JD Logistics.


JD Industrials Pre-IPO: Pure Platform for Third Parties and Strong Support from Related Parties

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP), Trial Holdings (5882 JP) and PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Estia Health (EHE AU), Healius (HLS AU), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU).


Weekly Deals Digest (26 Mar) - Toshiba, Toyo, Healius, Mincor, Rakuten Bank, SBI Sumishin, Harita

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zkh-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36818:1" rel="noopener">ZKH Group (ZKH US)</a>, a leading MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) procurement service platform in China, is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise US$200-300 million.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zkh-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97653" rel="noopener">ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on market share losses, slowing top-line growth, declining take rates and persistent cash burn.</li>
</ul>



ZKH Group (ZKH US), a leading MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) procurement service platform in China, is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise US$200-300 million.
In ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on market share losses, slowing top-line growth, declining take rates and persistent cash burn.


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ZKH Group (ZKH US)

JD Industrials IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on slowing SME growth, declining key accounts take rate and gross margin, unnecessary factoring and transfer...

Arun George

JD Industrials IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on large TAMs, market share gains, robust product revenue growth underpinned by key accounts, improving...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (26 Mar) - Toshiba, Toyo, Healius, Mincor, Rakuten Bank, SBI Sumishin, Harita

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Essential, Estia, Healius, Mincor, Nitro, Jiangnan, Toshiba, Toyo, Golden Energy) and ECM...

Arun George

ZKH Group IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on market share losses, slowing top-line growth, declining take rates and persistent cash burn.

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JD Industrials IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on slowing SME growth, declining key accounts take rate and gross margin, unnecessary factoring and transfer...

Arun George

JD Industrials IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on large TAMs, market share gains, robust product revenue growth underpinned by key accounts, improving...

Arun George

JD Industrials Pre-IPO: Pure Platform for Third Parties and Strong Support from Related Parties

JD Industrials has two advantages - JD.com’s brand and JD Logistics’s delivery network. JD Industrials also avoids the competition with its clients...

Ming Lu

Weekly Deals Digest (26 Mar) - Toshiba, Toyo, Healius, Mincor, Rakuten Bank, SBI Sumishin, Harita

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Essential, Estia, Healius, Mincor, Nitro, Jiangnan, Toshiba, Toyo, Golden Energy) and ECM...

Arun George

ZKH Group IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on market share losses, slowing top-line growth, declining take rates and persistent cash burn.

Arun George