IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zkh-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36818:1" rel="noopener">ZKH Group (ZKH US)</a>, a leading MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) procurement service platform in China, is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise US$200-300 million.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zkh-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97653" rel="noopener">ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on market share losses, slowing top-line growth, declining take rates and persistent cash burn.</li>
</ul>



ZKH Group (ZKH US), a leading MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) procurement service platform in China, is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise US$200-300 million.
In ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on market share losses, slowing top-line growth, declining take rates and persistent cash burn.


Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zkh-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36818:1" rel="noopener">ZKH Group (ZKH US)</a> is a leading MRO procurement service platform in China offering digital and fulfilment solutions for participants in the industry value chain.</li>
<li>The company has filed for an IPO to list its shares in the US and plans to raise about US$200-300m through the IPO.</li>
<li>Having analyzed the limited information available, we are indifferent on ZKH’s operating performance and would only recommend if shares are priced attractively</li>
</ul>



ZKH Group (ZKH US) is a leading MRO procurement service platform in China offering digital and fulfilment solutions for participants in the industry value chain.
The company has filed for an IPO to list its shares in the US and plans to raise about US$200-300m through the IPO.
Having analyzed the limited information available, we are indifferent on ZKH’s operating performance and would only recommend if shares are priced attractively


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zkh-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36818:1" rel="noopener">ZKH Group (ZKH US)</a> is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming US IPO.  </li>
<li>ZKH Group is a leading maintenance repair and operations (MRO) procurement service platform in China, according to CIC, providing one-stop MRO procurement and management services and digital and fulfillment solutions.</li>
<li>ZKH Group’s revenue has been primarily driven by its product sales segment during the track record period. However, its GMV growth slowed dramatically and its sales growth doesn’t appear sustainable. </li>
</ul>



ZKH Group (ZKH US) is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming US IPO.  
ZKH Group is a leading maintenance repair and operations (MRO) procurement service platform in China, according to CIC, providing one-stop MRO procurement and management services and digital and fulfillment solutions.
ZKH Group’s revenue has been primarily driven by its product sales segment during the track record period. However, its GMV growth slowed dramatically and its sales growth doesn’t appear sustainable. 


ZKH Group Pre-IPO - If Only Its Growth Was Sustainable

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zkh-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36818:1" rel="noopener">ZKH Group (ZKH US)</a>, a leading MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) procurement service platform in China, is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise US$200-300 million.</li>
<li>The ZKH platform is for enterprise customers and the GBB platform is for micro businesses. Key backers include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and Tiger Global.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, solid customer loyalty, improving gross margin, lower operating losses and a strong balance sheet.</li>
</ul>



ZKH Group (ZKH US), a leading MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) procurement service platform in China, is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise US$200-300 million.
The ZKH platform is for enterprise customers and the GBB platform is for micro businesses. Key backers include Tencent (700 HK) and Tiger Global.
The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, solid customer loyalty, improving gross margin, lower operating losses and a strong balance sheet.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-industrials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36875:1" rel="noopener">JD Industrials (2231713D CH)</a>/JDI, a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China, has filed for a US$1bn IPO. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> owns a 77.95% stake.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-industrials-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:103407" rel="noopener">JD Industrials IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on slowing SME growth, declining key accounts take rate and gross margin, unnecessary factoring and transfer of most cash for treasury management.</li>
</ul>



JD Industrials (2231713D CH)/JDI, a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China, has filed for a US$1bn IPO. JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) owns a 77.95% stake.
In JD Industrials IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on slowing SME growth, declining key accounts take rate and gross margin, unnecessary factoring and transfer of most cash for treasury management.


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ZKH Group (ZKH US)

ZKH Group IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on market share losses, slowing top-line growth, declining take rates and persistent cash burn.

Arun George

ZKH IPO: Neither Good nor Bad

ZKH is a leading MRO procurement service platform in China offering digital and fulfilment solutions. The company has filed for an IPO in the US...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

ZKH Group Pre-IPO - If Only Its Growth Was Sustainable

ZKH Group (ZKH US) is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming US IPO. ZKH Group is a leading maintenance repair and operations (MRO)...

Ethan Aw

ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, solid customer loyalty, improving gross margin, lower operating losses and a...

Arun George

JD Industrials IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on slowing SME growth, declining key accounts take rate and gross margin, unnecessary factoring and transfer...

Arun George

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