HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd-8806deaf-04c9-4411-b1ee-92e813b9c5e0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45955:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK)</a> has rallied 15.3% after its IPO, and 3Q25 earnings are in a consistent trend. We do not expect a significant change in earnings forecasts. </li>
<li>The mere 0.1% discount to its A-share looks rich. The FY26F PER of 17.7x is also significantly higher than its peers, reflecting most of its strengths.</li>
<li>Even if it re-rates to a similar premium as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)</a>, the upside is only 5.8%. The risks clearly outweigh the return.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK) has rallied 15.3% after its IPO, and 3Q25 earnings are in a consistent trend. We do not expect a significant change in earnings forecasts. 
The mere 0.1% discount to its A-share looks rich. The FY26F PER of 17.7x is also significantly higher than its peers, reflecting most of its strengths.
Even if it re-rates to a similar premium as Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK), the upside is only 5.8%. The risks clearly outweigh the return.


Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sany Heavy Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a>, raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and valuation in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing.
Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
We have looked at the past performance and valuation in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading - Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a> priced its H Share at HK$21.30 to raise HK$13,453 million (US$1.7 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sany-heavy-industry-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:205839" rel="noopener">SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sany-heavy-industry-h-share-listing-6031-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:206617" rel="noopener">SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Sany's international oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH) priced its H Share at HK$21.30 to raise HK$13,453 million (US$1.7 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case and SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Sany's international oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains reasonable.


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.9% as of Oct 24th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, information technology, industrials and offset by energy, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.9% as of Oct 24th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, information technology, industrials and offset by energy, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a>, the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.6 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sany-heavy-industry-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:205839" rel="noopener">SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a>. 
</li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 17.2% to 13.1% (based on the 17 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.6 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 

The proposed AH discount of 17.2% to 13.1% (based on the 17 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights

China

Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd.manufactures and markets construction machinery.  The Company's products include concrete machinery, cranes, road machinery, drilling equipment, and other heavy construction equipment.  Zoomlion also produces environmental machinery and satellite navigation products.

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Zoomlion Heavy Industry S A (000157 CH)

Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?

Sany Heavy Industry's strong IPO performance and consistent earnings trend are still unable to justify its current valuation. It is not cheap on...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading - Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight

Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?

​Sany Heavy Industry's strong IPO performance and consistent earnings trend are still unable to justify its current valuation. It is not cheap on...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading - Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight

Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut

Sany Heavy raised US$1.7 billion in gross proceeds. Sany's international oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings....

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights

The proposed AH discount of 17.2% to 13.1% (based on the 17 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.

Arun George

Sany Heavy Industry's strong IPO performance and consistent earnings trend are still unable to justify its current valuation. It is not cheap on...