External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ZTE reported FY25 results with revenue up 10.4% YoY to RMB134bn, 7.7% below our estimate and 3.9% below Bloomberg consensus, while net profit fell 33.3% YoY to RMB5.6bn, 30% below our estimate and 24% below Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>GPM declined sharply to 30.3%, down 7.7ppts from 37.9% in FY24, mainly due to a higher mix of Enterprise &amp; Government (E&amp;G) sales.</li><li>In 4Q25, revenue rose 6.8% YoY and 15.2% QoQ to RMB33.3bn, while net profit fell 42.9% YoY but increased 11.9% QoQ to RMB296mn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZTE reported FY25 results with revenue up 10.4% YoY to RMB134bn, 7.7% below our estimate and 3.9% below Bloomberg consensus, while net profit fell 33.3% YoY to RMB5.6bn, 30% below our estimate and 24% below Bloomberg consensus.GPM declined sharply to 30.3%, down 7.7ppts from 37.9% in FY24, mainly due to a higher mix of Enterprise &amp; Government (E&amp;G) sales.In 4Q25, revenue rose 6.8% YoY and 15.2% QoQ to RMB33.3bn, while net profit fell 42.9% YoY but increased 11.9% QoQ to RMB296mn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZTE (763 HK) - Accelerating Compute Power but Decelerating Margins

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 5.79% in July, outperforming its benchmark by 0.30%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 52% to 74% since inception.</li>
<li>The portfolio's largest exposures are in the industrial, financial, and technology platform sectors. The portfolio has no exposure to the materials or energy sectors.</li>
<li>The portfolio has generated a Sharpe ratio of 1.20 since inception, compared with 0.69 for the benchmark.  The portfolio's annualized mean excess return is 19.4%.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 5.79% in July, outperforming its benchmark by 0.30%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 52% to 74% since inception.
The portfolio's largest exposures are in the industrial, financial, and technology platform sectors. The portfolio has no exposure to the materials or energy sectors.
The portfolio has generated a Sharpe ratio of 1.20 since inception, compared with 0.69 for the benchmark.  The portfolio's annualized mean excess return is 19.4%.


<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio beat the Hong Kong indexes in June and was flat to its benchmark with a loss of 6.98%.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong market experienced heavy selling in the second half of June, as both foreign and mainland investors reduced their exposure.</li>
<li>At the end of June, we sold positions in the electric utilities, technology, consumer, and property sectors. We added positions in the broker, biotech, telecom, and industrial sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio beat the Hong Kong indexes in June and was flat to its benchmark with a loss of 6.98%.
The Hong Kong market experienced heavy selling in the second half of June, as both foreign and mainland investors reduced their exposure.
At the end of June, we sold positions in the electric utilities, technology, consumer, and property sectors. We added positions in the broker, biotech, telecom, and industrial sectors.


<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57% to 75% since its inception in 10/2024.</li>
<li>The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 1.37 since its inception, with a mean excess annualized return of 21% and a beta of 1.2.  </li>
<li>At the end of May, we sold our remaining positions in the mining and materials sectors and added positions in the power, consumer and property sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57% to 75% since its inception in 10/2024.
The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 1.37 since its inception, with a mean excess annualized return of 21% and a beta of 1.2.  
At the end of May, we sold our remaining positions in the mining and materials sectors and added positions in the power, consumer and property sectors.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Transsion Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-transsion-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58740:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Transsion Holdings (2636 HK)</a>, a smart device and mobile Internet service provider, appears to provide some upside at the maximum IPO price.</li>
<li>Its earnings have recovered sharply in 1H26, and for FY25-28F, it is expected to achieve an EPS CAGR of 30.2% as it expands its market and products.</li>
<li>We value it at 12.5x FY26 PER, 10% discount to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcl-electronics-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15654:1" rel="noopener">TCL Electronics (1070 HK)</a>, implying a fair price of HK$43.73, or 12.7% upside.  </li>
</ul>


The H-share IPO of Shenzhen Transsion Holdings (2636 HK), a smart device and mobile Internet service provider, appears to provide some upside at the maximum IPO price.
Its earnings have recovered sharply in 1H26, and for FY25-28F, it is expected to achieve an EPS CAGR of 30.2% as it expands its market and products.
We value it at 12.5x FY26 PER, 10% discount to TCL Electronics (1070 HK), implying a fair price of HK$43.73, or 12.7% upside.  


Shenzhen Transsion (2636 HK) IPO: Still Some Upside

China

ZTE Corporation is a Chinese technology company specializing in telecommunications equipment, networking solutions, and mobile devices. It offers a wide range of products including wireless and wireline networks, optical transmission systems, data communication gear, and smartphones under brands like Axon and Nubia. ZTE was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.

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ZTE (763 HK)

ZTE (763 HK) - Accelerating Compute Power but Decelerating Margins

ZTE reported FY25 results with revenue up 10.4% YoY to RMB134bn, 7.7% below our estimate and 3.9% below Bloomberg consensus, while net profit fell...

CMB International

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (July 2026)

We made several adjustments to the portfolio yesterday. We sold the Baidu (9888) position since it hit our stop-loss level. We also sold the...

David Mudd

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (June 2026)

At mid-month, we note that pc makers are passing on higher chip and component costs to consumers. For this reason, we sold our positions in Lenovo...

David Mudd

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (May 2026)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%. The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57%...

David Mudd

Shenzhen Transsion (2636 HK) IPO: Still Some Upside

Shenzhen Transsion's IPO is priced for an 12.7% upside. 1H26 earnings have recovered, and the 3-year EPS CAGR will reach 30.2%. Conservative...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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