Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Although the tech sector in Hong Kong has surged over the last couple of weeks there appears to be minimal short covering in US-listed China tech names.</li>
<li>The performance of the "Magnificent 5" China tech names has led the rally as we outlined in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hong-kong-the-glass-is-half-full-time-to-buy-beta" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:134396" rel="noopener">Hong Kong: The Glass Is Half Full, Time to BUY Beta</a> .</li>
<li>The combination of of large outstanding short positions and a significant underweight of HK/China in international funds will lead to further upside in the tech sector.</li>
</ul>


Although the tech sector in Hong Kong has surged over the last couple of weeks there appears to be minimal short covering in US-listed China tech names.
The performance of the "Magnificent 5" China tech names has led the rally as we outlined in Hong Kong: The Glass Is Half Full, Time to BUY Beta .
The combination of of large outstanding short positions and a significant underweight of HK/China in international funds will lead to further upside in the tech sector.


Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>JD US/1810 HK/BABA US:NRDC announces positive results for “old-for-new” trade-in during September (+)</li>
<li>BILI US:Bilibili's &lt;Three Kingdoms: MDTX&gt; Shows Robust Gross Billings Performance After Season 3 Update (+)</li>
<li>PDD US/BABA US/JD US: PDD reduces the minimum withdrawal threshold for funds (/)</li>
</ul>


JD US/1810 HK/BABA US:NRDC announces positive results for “old-for-new” trade-in during September (+)
BILI US:Bilibili's &lt;Three Kingdoms: MDTX&gt; Shows Robust Gross Billings Performance After Season 3 Update (+)
PDD US/BABA US/JD US: PDD reduces the minimum withdrawal threshold for funds (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA/BILI/PDD/1519HK/ZTO /SE/700HK/BIDU/20HK/3690HK

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US:Travel Volume During Mid-Autumn Holiday Slightly Increased Compared to 2019(+/+)</li>
<li>1519 HK/ZTO US: Parcel volume collection +28% yoy in prior week (+/+)</li>
<li>XPEV US/LI US:Xpeng is rumored to launch an extended-range PHEV SUV next year.(///)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US:Travel Volume During Mid-Autumn Holiday Slightly Increased Compared to 2019(+/+)
1519 HK/ZTO US: Parcel volume collection +28% yoy in prior week (+/+)
XPEV US/LI US:Xpeng is rumored to launch an extended-range PHEV SUV next year.(///)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/1519 HK/ZTO US/XPEV US/LI US/LKNCY US

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>For the last three years, SHEIN has consistently mis-handled political challenges in US, UK</li>
<li>Failure to anticipate and plan for these challenges hurt sales growth and SHEIN's valuation</li>
<li>SHEIN's stuggles speak directly to management's ability to identify risks and quickly adapt</li>
</ul>


For the last three years, SHEIN has consistently mis-handled political challenges in US, UK
Failure to anticipate and plan for these challenges hurt sales growth and SHEIN's valuation
SHEIN's stuggles speak directly to management's ability to identify risks and quickly adapt


SHEIN IPO in Hong Kong: Management Consistently Underestimated Headwinds, Harming Sales and IPO Plan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In H126 J&amp;T Global reported strong top-line growth of almost 40% Y/Y vs H125</li>
<li>Growth was broad-based, and core adj EBITDA margin also showed solid Y/Y improvement</li>
<li>Overall, a nice set of numbers from J&amp;T Global in H1, but stock isn't cheap here</li>
</ul>


In H126 J&amp;T Global reported strong top-line growth of almost 40% Y/Y vs H125
Growth was broad-based, and core adj EBITDA margin also showed solid Y/Y improvement
Overall, a nice set of numbers from J&amp;T Global in H1, but stock isn't cheap here


J&T Global Express H126 Results: Firing on All Cylinders (But Not Cheap)

China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

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ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO US)

HK/China: THE BIG SHORT (SQUEEZE)

Even though HK/China tech names have surged, short positions have not covered. The large underweight position in HK/China by international funds...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA/BILI/PDD/1519HK/ZTO /SE/700HK/BIDU/20HK/3690HK

NRDC reports successful "old-for-new" trade-in results, Bilibili's sees strong gross billings post update, PDD lowers minimum withdrawal...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/1519 HK/ZTO US/XPEV US/LI US/LKNCY US

Travel volume during Mid-Autumn holiday slightly increased compared to 2019, parcel volume collection up 28% year over year, Xpeng rumored to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SHEIN IPO in Hong Kong: Management Consistently Underestimated Headwinds, Harming Sales and IPO Plan

After the first market session in which SHEIN's share price didn't decline vs the previous session, we're resurfacing a few recent insights...

Tracking Traffic

J&T Global Express H126 Results: Firing on All Cylinders (But Not Cheap)

Strong growth from J&T Global in H126, with overall revenue up 40% and adj EBITDA up an impressive 68%. But shares appear to be trading on 20x FY26...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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HK/China: THE BIG SHORT (SQUEEZE)

Even though HK/China tech names have surged, short positions have not covered. The large underweight position in HK/China by international funds...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA/BILI/PDD/1519HK/ZTO /SE/700HK/BIDU/20HK/3690HK

​NRDC reports successful "old-for-new" trade-in results, Bilibili's sees strong gross billings post update, PDD lowers minimum withdrawal...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/1519 HK/ZTO US/XPEV US/LI US/LKNCY US

​Travel volume during Mid-Autumn holiday slightly increased compared to 2019, parcel volume collection up 28% year over year, Xpeng rumored to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SHEIN IPO in Hong Kong: Management Consistently Underestimated Headwinds, Harming Sales and IPO Plan

After the first market session in which SHEIN's share price didn't decline vs the previous session, we're resurfacing a few recent insights...

Tracking Traffic

J&T Global Express H126 Results: Firing on All Cylinders (But Not Cheap)

Strong growth from J&T Global in H126, with overall revenue up 40% and adj EBITDA up an impressive 68%. But shares appear to be trading on 20x FY26...

Tracking Traffic

NRDC reports successful "old-for-new" trade-in results, Bilibili's sees strong gross billings post update, PDD lowers minimum withdrawal...

Travel volume during Mid-Autumn holiday slightly increased compared to 2019, parcel volume collection up 28% year over year, Xpeng rumored to...