HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Zylox-Tonbridge Medical Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

Zylox-Tonbridge Medical Technology (2190 HK)

<ul>
<li>We strongly disagree with the valuation method of "P/R". which is calculated by dividing market value by R&amp;D expenses. It is still necessary to view the valuation system rationally.</li>
<li>Innovent surprisingly turned loss into profits for the first time in 25H1. Considering the future contribution of mazdutide and IBI363, valuation of Innovent may reach above RMB200 billion.</li>
<li>The logic of Zylox is import substitution. Based on strong fundamentals, if liquidity remains strong, reasonable P/E is 40-45x. Target share price is HK$25-29/share based on 2025 net profit.</li>
</ul>


We strongly disagree with the valuation method of "P/R". which is calculated by dividing market value by R&amp;D expenses. It is still necessary to view the valuation system rationally.
Innovent surprisingly turned loss into profits for the first time in 25H1. Considering the future contribution of mazdutide and IBI363, valuation of Innovent may reach above RMB200 billion.
The logic of Zylox is import substitution. Based on strong fundamentals, if liquidity remains strong, reasonable P/E is 40-45x. Target share price is HK$25-29/share based on 2025 net profit.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.31) - P/R Ratio Is Meaningless, Innovent, Zylox-Tonbridge 25H1 Results

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A key point of the press conference held by the NHSA is that the selection in centralized procurement of medical devices will no longer be based on the lowest price.</li>
<li>Investors have high hopes for the licensing cooperation of IBI363. Our guess is a 50:50 licensing deal with MNC is expected, so as to maximize the value/potential of the drug.</li>
<li>Considering Li Ge's rich experience in capital operation, WuXi AppTec’s Placement implies its H-share is already at high level.Investors can consider taking profits, as share price adjustment may be coming.</li>
</ul>


A key point of the press conference held by the NHSA is that the selection in centralized procurement of medical devices will no longer be based on the lowest price.
Investors have high hopes for the licensing cooperation of IBI363. Our guess is a 50:50 licensing deal with MNC is expected, so as to maximize the value/potential of the drug.
Considering Li Ge's rich experience in capital operation, WuXi AppTec’s Placement implies its H-share is already at high level.Investors can consider taking profits, as share price adjustment may be coming.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.3)-Medical Device Valuation Repair,Deal on IBI363,WuXi AppTec Placement

<ul>
<li>The third batch of VBP results of the National TCM Patent Medicines were released. Some products experienced over 90% price reduction. The price decline of exclusive varieties was moderate.</li>
<li>The VBP results of cochlear implants and peripheral vascular stents were released. Both foreign and domestic companies participated in the VBP actively, hoping to increase market share in China. </li>
<li>The key is to see whether 2024 full-year performance can meet expectations, which is the bottom line for WuXi Bio. Without a definitive long-term logic, short-term trading is recommended.</li>
</ul>


The third batch of VBP results of the National TCM Patent Medicines were released. Some products experienced over 90% price reduction. The price decline of exclusive varieties was moderate.
The VBP results of cochlear implants and peripheral vascular stents were released. Both foreign and domestic companies participated in the VBP actively, hoping to increase market share in China. 
The key is to see whether 2024 full-year performance can meet expectations, which is the bottom line for WuXi Bio. Without a definitive long-term logic, short-term trading is recommended.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.5)-TCM VBP Update, Medical Device VBP Result Is Out, WuXi Bio's Outlook

<ul>
<li>Acotec’s 2023 performance was unsatisfactory. Core products suffered weak growth. Positive trend of continuing to optimize revenue structure was broken. Sales of latecomers’ competing products would expand rapidly in 2024/2025. </li>
<li>Revenue proportion in overseas markets was still below 5% in 2023. If no highlights in Acotec’s cooperation with Boston Scientific in 2024, this collaboration could be considered a failure.</li>
<li>Due to VBP, margin could further decline. If it's just the current situation, then Acotec is not as good as Zylox-Tonbridge. So, its valuation should also be lower than Zylox-Tonbridge.</li>
</ul>


Acotec’s 2023 performance was unsatisfactory. Core products suffered weak growth. Positive trend of continuing to optimize revenue structure was broken. Sales of latecomers’ competing products would expand rapidly in 2024/2025. 
Revenue proportion in overseas markets was still below 5% in 2023. If no highlights in Acotec’s cooperation with Boston Scientific in 2024, this collaboration could be considered a failure.
Due to VBP, margin could further decline. If it's just the current situation, then Acotec is not as good as Zylox-Tonbridge. So, its valuation should also be lower than Zylox-Tonbridge.


Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) - The Company Is Now In Trouble

<ul>
<li>The Beijing Medical Insurance Bureau issued a notice soliciting opinions on the linkage program of DRG payment and VBP policy in the city, involving sports medicine, neuro-intervention, and electrophysiology.</li>
<li>The basic logic of CXO is that there should be no significant fluctuations with the success or failure of a specific drug, unless this drug significantly increases total medical expenditure.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zylox-tonbridge-medical-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32974:1" rel="noopener">Zylox-Tonbridge Medical Technology (2190 HK) </a>achieved high performance growth in 2022, and is a beneficiary of centralized procurement policy at the current stage.However, it still has to face some challenges.</li>
</ul>


The Beijing Medical Insurance Bureau issued a notice soliciting opinions on the linkage program of DRG payment and VBP policy in the city, involving sports medicine, neuro-intervention, and electrophysiology.
The basic logic of CXO is that there should be no significant fluctuations with the success or failure of a specific drug, unless this drug significantly increases total medical expenditure.

Zylox-Tonbridge Medical Technology (2190 HK) achieved high performance growth in 2022, and is a beneficiary of centralized procurement policy at the current stage.However, it still has to face some challenges.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.19) - "Hedge Logic" Of CXO, Beijing's DRG+VBP Policy, Zylox-Tonbridge

China

Zylox-Tonbridge Medical Technology is a medical technology company dedicated to the innovative research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of neurovascular and peripheral vascular interventional devices. Its product portfolio includes devices such as the Thrombite Clot Retriever Device, Ultrafree Drug Coated PTA Balloon Catheter, and Zenflex Peripheral Stent System. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

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Zylox-Tonbridge Medical Technology (2190 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.31) - P/R Ratio Is Meaningless, Innovent, Zylox-Tonbridge 25H1 Results

The valuation method of "P/R" that is calculated by dividing market value by R&D expense is meaningless.Innovent turns profit, with valuation...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.3)-Medical Device Valuation Repair,Deal on IBI363,WuXi AppTec Placement

NHSA shifts focus from lowest price to quality in medical device VBP, indicating valuation repair.IBI363 license deal with MNC is expected. WuXi...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.5)-TCM VBP Update, Medical Device VBP Result Is Out, WuXi Bio's Outlook

VBP result of TCM Patent Medicine is released. VBP of cochlear implant/peripheral vascular stent is good for companies. Only when Li Ge buys big...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) - The Company Is Now In Trouble

Acotec’s 2023 results were disappointing due to VBP and anti-corruption campaign. Growth of core products declined significantly and the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (May.19) - "Hedge Logic" Of CXO, Beijing's DRG+VBP Policy, Zylox-Tonbridge

Beijing issued new VBP+DRG policy for sports medicine/neurointervention/electrophysiology. CXO's "hedge logic" doesn't guarantee the whole industry...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.31) - P/R Ratio Is Meaningless, Innovent, Zylox-Tonbridge 25H1 Results

The valuation method of "P/R" that is calculated by dividing market value by R&D expense is meaningless.Innovent turns profit, with valuation...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.3)-Medical Device Valuation Repair,Deal on IBI363,WuXi AppTec Placement

​NHSA shifts focus from lowest price to quality in medical device VBP, indicating valuation repair.IBI363 license deal with MNC is expected. WuXi...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.5)-TCM VBP Update, Medical Device VBP Result Is Out, WuXi Bio's Outlook

VBP result of TCM Patent Medicine is released. VBP of cochlear implant/peripheral vascular stent is good for companies. Only when Li Ge buys big...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) - The Company Is Now In Trouble

Acotec’s 2023 results were disappointing due to VBP and anti-corruption campaign. Growth of core products declined significantly and the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (May.19) - "Hedge Logic" Of CXO, Beijing's DRG+VBP Policy, Zylox-Tonbridge

Beijing issued new VBP+DRG policy for sports medicine/neurointervention/electrophysiology. CXO's "hedge logic" doesn't guarantee the whole industry...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

NHSA shifts focus from lowest price to quality in medical device VBP, indicating valuation repair.IBI363 license deal with MNC is expected. WuXi...