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Credit

Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Thai Oil – Tear Sheet – Lucror Analytics


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Water Affairs
  • The UST curve twisted slightly flatter yesterday, largely undoing Tuesday’s steepening. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.50%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was stable at 4.03%. Equities ended higher, despite choppy price action during the day. The S&P 500 increased 0.4% to 6,671, and the Nasdaq was up 0.7% at 22,670.
  • The Fed Beige Book stated that US economy activity was little changed from the previous month’s report, with three districts reporting slight to modest growth in activity, five reporting no change and four noting a slight softening.

Thai Oil – Tear Sheet – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • We view Thai Oil Public Company Limited (TOP) as “Low Risk” on the LARA scale.
  • This is primarily driven by the company’s strategic importance to state-owned PTT Public Company Limited, due to its position as the group’s main oil refining vehicle.
  • TOP benefits from its close links with PTT, as TOP obtains feedstock from and sells refined products to its parent.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Seazen Group, Vedanta Resources
  • The UST curve twisted slightly steeper yesterday, following dovish comments from a few Fed officials that kept rate-cut expectations intact. The yield on the 2Y UST fell 2 bps to 3.48%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was unchanged at 4.03%.
  • Equities retreated, owing to fresh US-China trade tensions. The S&P 500 fell 0.2% to 6,644, while the Nasdaq declined 0.8% to 22,522.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • China Water Affairs – Event Flash – Proposed Issuance Of 5NC3 USD Notes – Lucror Analytics


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Genting Berhad, China Vanke
  • The US treasury market was closed yesterday for Columbus Day. Equities rebounded from Friday’s decline, after the US and China signalled willingness to continue trade talks. The S&P 500 rose 1.6% to 6,655, while the Nasdaq was up 2.2% at 22,695.
  • China’s September exports accelerated 8.3% y-o-y (6.6% e / 4.4% p) to USD 329 bn, the highest monthly total YTD.

China Water Affairs – Event Flash – Proposed Issuance Of 5NC3 USD Notes – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • China Water Affairs (CWA) is roadshowing an issuance of senior unsecured Reg-S only 5NC3 USD notes.
  • The notes are being issued as blue bonds under the company’s green and blue finance framework.
  • Moody’s has provided a second-party opinion, and assigned a SQS2 (very good) sustainability quality score to the framework. 

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: International Container, Jababeka
  • UST yields tumbled 9-11 bps across the curve on Friday, supported by haven demand following US President Donald Trump’s threat of new 100% tariffs and export controls on China.
  • The yield on the 2Y UST declined 9 bps to 3.50%, while that on the 10Y UST was down 11 bps at 4.03%. Equities and risky assets (e.g. cryptocurrency) fell on fresh geopolitical worries, while gold and silver rose. The S&P 500 declined 2.7% (the worst one-day performance since April) to 6,553, while the Nasdaq slumped 3.6% to 22,204.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greentown China, Sunny Optical
  • UST yields rose 1-2 bps across the curve yesterday, amid a soft auction of 30Y notes that tailed marginally by 0.4 bps despite strong bidding metrics.
  • The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.59%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 2 bps at 4.14%. Equities retreated, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declining 0.3% and 0.1%, respectively.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group
  • The UST curve twisted flatter slightly yesterday, albeit there were few material catalysts. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.58%, while that on the 10Y UST was unchanged at 4.12%. Equities rebounded from Tuesday’s dip, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.6% and 1.1%, respectively.
  • The September FOMC meeting minutes showed that most officials “judged that it likely would be appropriate to ease policy further over the remainder of this year”.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Bukit Makmur Mandiri
  • UST yields fell 2-4 bps across the curve yesterday, on the back of a strong auction of 3Y notes. The yield on the 2Y UST declined 2 bps to 3.56%, while that on the 10Y UST was down 3 bps at 4.12%.
  • Equities retreated from record-high levels, weighed down by tech stocks. The S&P 500 dropped 0.4% to 6,715 and the Nasdaq slumped 0.7% to 22,788.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy
  • UST yields climbed yesterday, led by the long end. This was driven by a spike in long-end JGB yields, following pro-stimulus lawmaker Sanae Takaichi’s election to lead Japan’s ruling party, as well as a sell-off in French bonds after French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu unexpectedly resigned.
  • The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.59%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 3 bps at 4.15%. Equities rallied, driven by semiconductor stocks. This came after AMD signed a large chip supply agreement with OpenAI, in a deal that could see OpenAI taking a 10% stake in the chipmaker. The S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 6,740, while the Nasdaq climbed 0.7% to 22,942.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Vista Land & Lifescapes, Rakuten Group, Vedanta Resources, Tata Steel
  • UST yields rose on Friday, led by the front end. There was a lack of catalysts, due to non-publication of the September nonfarm payrolls amid the government shutdown, albeit private surveys showed weakening US services data. Yields on the 2Y and 10Y USTs rose 4 bps each to 3.58% and 4.12%, respectively. Equities were mixed, with the S&P 500 stable at 6,716, while the Nasdaq fell 0.3% to 22,781.
  • Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party has elected former economic security minister Sanae Takaichi as its new leader, making the 64-year-old likely to become the country’s first female prime minister. Ms Takaichi replaces Shigeru Ishiba, who resigned as prime minister last month after the party suffered two election blows (including losing its majority in the Lower House).

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Logan Group
  • The UST curve flattened marginally yesterday, as long-end yields declined marginally while the short end was stable.
  • Trading volumes were reported to be below average, as macro releases were stalled in the second day of the US government shutdown.

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