Category

Quantitative Analysis

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 4Q2023


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 4Q2023

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • During 4Q2023, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +10.1%y/y, significantly up from the +3.5% reported during 3Q2023.
  • 63% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and only 55% delivered positive Sales surprises, continuing the reacceleration trend witnessed during 2023.
  • Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 12th): Celltrion and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 12th): Celltrion


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 12th): Celltrion

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 12th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD9.1bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We have highlighted KRX short interest weekly changes in Celltrion.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 12th): CNOOC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 12th): CNOOC, Tencent
  • A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 12th): China Tourism, Ccb, Fuyao Glass, China Longyuan, Flat Glass Gro, SMIC
  • HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Petrochina, China Mobile
  • Northbound Flows (Jan 12th): Moutai, Longi Green


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 12th): CNOOC, Tencent

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 12th.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We highlight the weekly Hong Kong connect flows for CNOOC, Tencent.

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 12th): China Tourism, Ccb, Fuyao Glass, China Longyuan, Flat Glass Gro, SMIC

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 122.2% as of Jan 12th.
  • The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, information technology, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, utilities.
  • We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Ccb, Fuyao Glass In, China Longyuan, Flat Glass Gro, Smic.

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Petrochina, China Mobile

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 5th.
  • Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
  • We highlight short changes in Baba, Petrochina, and China Mobile.

Northbound Flows (Jan 12th): Moutai, Longi Green

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 12th.
  • We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$374.5 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology, industrials.
  • We highlight northbound connect flows for Moutai and Longi Green.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 12th): Asia Vital and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 12th): Asia Vital, Alchip Tech, Wistron, Quanta Computer
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 12th): Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Gigabyte Tech, Auo


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 12th): Asia Vital, Alchip Tech, Wistron, Quanta Computer

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 12th which has an aggregated holding worth USD701.3bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD273mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in Asia Vital, Alchip Tech, Wistron, Quanta Computer, Global Unichip, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yang Ming Marine.

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 12th): Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Gigabyte Tech, Auo

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 12th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.4bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Gigabyte Tech, Auo, Bora Pharma.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 12th): Tencent and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 12th): Tencent, Meituan, Aia


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 12th): Tencent, Meituan, Aia

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jan 12th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Aristocrat Leisu and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Aristocrat Leisu, Whitehaven Coal


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Aristocrat Leisu, Whitehaven Coal

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 5th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.5bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisu, Whitehaven Coal.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Sk Hynix and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD9.6bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 5th): China Mobile and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 5th): China Mobile, CNOOC
  • A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 5th): BYD, Fuyao Glass, China Southern, China Longyuan
  • Northbound Flows (Jan 5th): Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL, Moutai
  • HK Short Interest Weekly: Link Reit, Kuaishou, Ntes, Wuxi Bio
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): Six Months of Inflows
  • Northbound Flows (December): Five Months of Outflows


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 5th): China Mobile, CNOOC

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 5th.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We highlight HK Connect flows for China Mobile, and CNOOC.

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 5th): BYD, Fuyao Glass, China Southern, China Longyuan

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 122.8% as of Jan 5th.
  • The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, consumer staples, communication services and offset by utilities.
  • We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD, Fuyao Glass, China Southern, China Longyuan.

Northbound Flows (Jan 5th): Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL, Moutai

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 5th.
  • We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$719.9 million, led by information technology, consumer staples, and offset by utilities, financials, energy.
  • We highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL and Moutai.

HK Short Interest Weekly: Link Reit, Kuaishou, Ntes, Wuxi Bio

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 22nd.
  • Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
  • We highlight short changes in Link Reit, Kuaishou, Ntes, Wuxi Bio.

Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): Six Months of Inflows

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
  • We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
  • We highlight inflows into Meituan, CNOOC, PICC P&C, China Mobile, and outflows from Tencent, Xiaomi, HKEx, Wuxi Biologics, CCB.

Northbound Flows (December): Five Months of Outflows

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
  • Financials ($1,425 million worth of outflows), and Consumer Staples ($854 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).
  • We highlight inflows into CATL, Mindray, Will Semi, BYD, Wuxi Apptec, and outflows from CMB, Wuliangye, Shanghai United, Midea, Hygon.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 5th): Faraday Tech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 5th): Faraday Tech, Asustek Computer, Mediatek, Wistron, TSMC
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Wan Hai Lines, Silergy, Quanta Computer, Asustek Computer


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 5th): Faraday Tech, Asustek Computer, Mediatek, Wistron, TSMC

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD700.2bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD504mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in Faraday Tech, Asustek Computer, Mediatek, Wistron, TSMC.

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Wan Hai Lines, Silergy, Quanta Computer, Asustek Computer

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.4bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai Lines, Silergy, Quanta Computer, Asustek Computer, Asia Vital.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 5th): Tencent and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 5th): Tencent, AIA, Xiaomi


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 5th): Tencent, AIA, Xiaomi

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jan 5th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).

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