In this briefing:
- Yincheng Intl (银城国际) IPO Quick Note: A Highly Levered Nanjing Developer Bet
- Another US LNG Project Goes Ahead: Positive for the Contractors; Negative for Others Looking to FID
- NextDecade’s Oil-Linked Contract Offering Signals More Hurdles Ahead for US LNG Project Developers
1. Yincheng Intl (银城国际) IPO Quick Note: A Highly Levered Nanjing Developer Bet
Yincheng International, a China Yangtze delta focused property developer, is raising up to USD 110 million to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. In this note, we will cover the following topics:
- The company’s property portfolio
- Financial performance that concerns us
- Shareholders and use of proceeds
- Our view on the deal
2. Another US LNG Project Goes Ahead: Positive for the Contractors; Negative for Others Looking to FID
US private LNG company Venture Global is starting construction on its 10 million ton per annum (mtpa) US LNG export facility in Louisiana after gaining approval from the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). This is positive for the LNG contractor market and we discuss the companies involved in the project.
This follows final investment decision taken on Golden Pass (Exxon and Qatar Proceed with US$10bn Golden Pass LNG Terminal: Positive for Chiyoda and MDR US) and supports our thesis of a large wave of new projects that will be sanctioned in the coming months (A Huge Wave of New LNG Projects Coming in the Next 18 Months: Positive for The E&C Companies). This was viewed as a relatively speculative project and with aggressively low cost and timing estimates.
3. NextDecade’s Oil-Linked Contract Offering Signals More Hurdles Ahead for US LNG Project Developers
NextDecade Corp (NEXT US) recently announced that it started offering long-term contracts indexed to the crude Brent in order to attract more LNG buyers. This follows the agreement reached by Tellurian Inc (TELL US) with Vitol back in December to index a long term contract with the Asian LNG price benchmark JKM. While typically US LNG projects are indexed to the Henry Hub, declining crude oil and LNG prices seem to have diminished the appeal of the Henry Hub pricing compared to the oil indexation. This insight takes a look at the latest trends in the LNG markets to assess which companies are taking the lead in the race to bring to FID in 2019 their proposed LNG projects.
Exhibit 1: NextDecade adds Brent indexation to its commercial offering
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