Hong Kong

Daily Hong Kong: Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2018…and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2019 and more

In this briefing:

  1. Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2018…and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2019
  2. Universal, SegaSammy & Dynam Sit Best Positioned Among Japan Companies in Race for IR Partnerships

1. Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2018…and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2019

In a follow up to my note from last year Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2017…and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2018 I again look at my stock ideas that have worked out in 2018, those that have not and those where the verdict is still pending.

Last year I provided 5 high conviction ideas and here is their performance in a brutal year for Asian Stock Markets:

Company
Share Price 27 Dec 2017
Share Price 20 December 2018
Dividends
% Total Return
0.70 HKD
0.88 HKD
0.01 HKD
+27%
0.20 SGD
0.27 SGD
0.0 SGD
+35%
2.39 HKD
2.82 HKD
0.147 HKD
+24%
0.84 SGD
0.85 SGD
0.02 SGD
+3.5%
1.44 MYR
0.32 MYR
0.0 MYR
-79%
source: Refinitiv

4 out of 5 had a positive performance.

Below I will make a new attempt to provide five high conviction ideas going into 2019.

2. Universal, SegaSammy & Dynam Sit Best Positioned Among Japan Companies in Race for IR Partnerships

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  • We’ve reviewed 10 companies in the sector. Of those, three are the consensus favorites of our Tokyo based panel of industry, financial and economics observers of the IR initiative over many years.
  • Based on pachinko alone, the stocks of these companies are fully valued. Based on potential tailwind from a license award within 6 months, they could be vastly undervalued.
  • Each of the three noted here brings strength to a bid less based on financials than corporate focus, outlook and experience in the field.