Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

PK Basu has 35 years experience covering Asia's economies and markets (equities, fixed income and currencies), including 20 years covering the global economy. He was Chief Economist (SE Asia & India) at Credit Suisse First Boston for 5 years, and Chief Asia (x-Jpn) Economist at Daiwa Securities for a similar period. Among other roles, he was global head of research at Maybank Kim Eng, Malaysia equity research head and chief ASEAN economist at Macquarie, Chief Economist at ICICI Securities, ASEAN economist and Asia sector strategist at UBS and the first chief economist at Khazanah Nasional (where he was co-head of research, and led all agri-business initiatives). PK Basu started his career in the Asia Service of WEFA (Wharton Econometrics) in Philadelphia in 1990, rising to be Director of their Asia Service in June 1994. 
PK's book, "Asia Reborn: A continent rises from the ravages of Colonialism and War to a New Dynamism" won the Tata Literature First Book Award (non-fiction) for 2018. It is the first single chronicle of the modern economic and political history of the whole of Asia (from Iraq and Turkey to Korea and Japan, and everything in between), told from an Asian perspective.

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

China: Winning the Trade War While Still Imploding Domestically

China & HK: Rebuild Slows Amid Heavy Sector and Stock Rotation

CX Daily: China Intensifies War on Toxic Competition as Economy Suffers 

CX Daily: China’s Politburo Strikes Cautious Tone on Economy

China: Tariff Walls to Exacerbate Capital Flight, Deflation, Over-Capacity Challenges

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>China's trade surplus soared to US$1.17trn in the 12 months to Aug'25. Yet FX reserves, despite mild monthly improvements, are flat relative to Sep'24, implying continued massive capital flight. </li>
<li>FAI for Jan-Aug'25 rose 0.5%YoY (vs 1.6%YoY for Jan-Jul'25), implying FAI declined 7.2%YoY in Aug'25. Even non-property FAI declined 3.5%YoY in Aug'25, while property FAI declined 19.1%YoY that month.  </li>
<li>Persistent PPI deflation (35 consecutive months) has caused CPI deflation for 5 of the last 8 months. As re-exports via Mexico/ASEAN become costlier, China's real GDP will grow &lt;3%YoY Oct'25-Jun'26.</li>
</ul>


China's trade surplus soared to US$1.17trn in the 12 months to Aug'25. Yet FX reserves, despite mild monthly improvements, are flat relative to Sep'24, implying continued massive capital flight. 
FAI for Jan-Aug'25 rose 0.5%YoY (vs 1.6%YoY for Jan-Jul'25), implying FAI declined 7.2%YoY in Aug'25. Even non-property FAI declined 3.5%YoY in Aug'25, while property FAI declined 19.1%YoY that month.  
Persistent PPI deflation (35 consecutive months) has caused CPI deflation for 5 of the last 8 months. As re-exports via Mexico/ASEAN become costlier, China's real GDP will grow &lt;3%YoY Oct'25-Jun'26.


China: Still on the Edge of a Financial Precipice, Kept Afloat by US Distraction