bullish

Dry Bulk Freight Derivatives Chartbook (Jan-April 2026)

125 Views20 May 2026 16:54
SUMMARY
  • Capesize futures outperformed significantly, rising 127% versus 63% for Panamax from January to April, as Chinese iron ore restocking, higher fuel costs, and vessel constraints favored larger vessels.
  • Options markets remained decisively bullish, with Capesize and Panamax volume PCR of 0.34 and 0.27 respectively, while growing call activity in 2027 expiries signals expectations of a prolonged pricing impact.
  • The Middle-East conflict triggered a rise in freight risk premiums and volatility, but April’s moderation in IV and slowing OI growth suggest traders may expect stabilization rather than further escalation.
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