Iron Ore Monthly (March 2026): War-Led Rally Lifts Prices, But Options Point to a Q3 Reversal

231 Views06 Apr 2026 16:25

SUMMARY

SGX IODEX futures retain a broader uptrend, though fading momentum and a bearish MACD crossover suggest a near-term pullback phase ahead.
Near term call buying signals bullish sentiment, but softer far-dated positioning suggests expectations are cooling and conflict-driven upside may fade.
March’s implied volatility spike may look seasonal, but it’s largely conflict-driven. With levels still below historical norms, there’s room for further upside if the conflict remains unresolved.

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