Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Capital markets veteran with 25 years across sell-side and buy-side research, investor relations, and fund management. Currently publish independent equity research (Mofferies Investment Research, via Smartkarma) spanning semiconductor memory (DRAM/NAND/HBM), foundry, semiconductor equipment and advanced packaging, gold and cross-asset strategy, financials forensics, and APAC IPOs — with a standing watchlist of 190+ companies across 41 countries. Background includes deep aviation-sector expertise (airlines, airports, OEMs, lessors, air cargo, travel/OTAs). Approach centers on identifying cyclical inflection points and mispriced risk across sectors, translated into explicit, actionable calls.

U.S. Midterms Elections: What a Trump Without Congress Means for Markets

Trump's Three-Day Half-Life: Trading the Iran Cycle in Oil, Vol, Rates and Gold

Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>One word: <strong>bombast.</strong> Of 14 testable claims in Trump's UN speech, two hold up. The structure is the one he used on North Korea in 2017. </li>
<li>The structure (annihilation threat, self-praise, a deal that is always close) is identical at the same podium in 2017. He will not change, because markets keep rewarding the pattern.</li>
<li>His Iran stance now changes daily and the deal is dated to the election. Expect a Hormuz headline before 3 November, and more volatility after. </li>
</ul>


One word: bombast. Of 14 testable claims in Trump's UN speech, two hold up. The structure is the one he used on North Korea in 2017. 
The structure (annihilation threat, self-praise, a deal that is always close) is identical at the same podium in 2017. He will not change, because markets keep rewarding the pattern.
His Iran stance now changes daily and the deal is dated to the election. Expect a Hormuz headline before 3 November, and more volatility after. 


President Trump's UN Speech, Decoded for Markets