Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Capital markets veteran with 25 years across sell-side and buy-side research, investor relations, and fund management. Currently publish independent equity research (Mofferies Investment Research, via Smartkarma) spanning semiconductor memory (DRAM/NAND/HBM), foundry, semiconductor equipment and advanced packaging, gold and cross-asset strategy, financials forensics, and APAC IPOs — with a standing watchlist of 190+ companies across 41 countries. Background includes deep aviation-sector expertise (airlines, airports, OEMs, lessors, air cargo, travel/OTAs). Approach centers on identifying cyclical inflection points and mispriced risk across sectors, translated into explicit, actionable calls.

President Trump's UN Speech, Decoded for Markets

Trump's Three-Day Half-Life: Trading the Iran Cycle in Oil, Vol, Rates and Gold

Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Democrats are favoured to win Congress, but even a sweep cannot remove Trump or overturn his vetoes, tariffs and pardons. Expect investigations and friction, not reversal.</li>
<li>Losing Congress will not calm Trump's style; it redirects it. With no re-election to protect, expect him to be contained at home and unleashed abroad, as in 2019.</li>
<li>Unlike 2019, the Fed is hiking and the 10-year is above 5%. Own cheap index protection, a curve steepener, defence and staples, and Asia hedges to January.</li>
</ul>


Democrats are favoured to win Congress, but even a sweep cannot remove Trump or overturn his vetoes, tariffs and pardons. Expect investigations and friction, not reversal.
Losing Congress will not calm Trump's style; it redirects it. With no re-election to protect, expect him to be contained at home and unleashed abroad, as in 2019.
Unlike 2019, the Fed is hiking and the 10-year is above 5%. Own cheap index protection, a curve steepener, defence and staples, and Asia hedges to January.


U.S. Midterms Elections: What a Trump Without Congress Means for Markets