Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Capital markets veteran with 25 years across sell-side and buy-side research, investor relations, and fund management. Currently publish independent equity research (Mofferies Investment Research, via Smartkarma) spanning semiconductor memory (DRAM/NAND/HBM), foundry, semiconductor equipment and advanced packaging, gold and cross-asset strategy, financials forensics, and APAC IPOs — with a standing watchlist of 190+ companies across 41 countries. Background includes deep aviation-sector expertise (airlines, airports, OEMs, lessors, air cargo, travel/OTAs). Approach centers on identifying cyclical inflection points and mispriced risk across sectors, translated into explicit, actionable calls.

President Trump's UN Speech, Decoded for Markets

U.S. Midterms Elections: What a Trump Without Congress Means for Markets

Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>36 Iran stance events since 28 Feb produced 27 reversals at a median three-day interval, ten deal claims and no durable deal; six of six deadlines lapsed.  </li>
<li>Oil moves 13-16% on a single fold, Asia 4-6%, US equities 2.5%, the dollar 1%; the fold moves markets two to three times further than the threat.  </li>
<li>
<strong>Playbook:</strong> buy Brent on deal dumps, sell ultimatums, own VIX below 16, stay short duration, buy gold on liquidation, fade prediction markets above 80%. </li>
</ul>


36 Iran stance events since 28 Feb produced 27 reversals at a median three-day interval, ten deal claims and no durable deal; six of six deadlines lapsed.  
Oil moves 13-16% on a single fold, Asia 4-6%, US equities 2.5%, the dollar 1%; the fold moves markets two to three times further than the threat.  

Playbook: buy Brent on deal dumps, sell ultimatums, own VIX below 16, stay short duration, buy gold on liquidation, fade prediction markets above 80%. 


Trump's Three-Day Half-Life: Trading the Iran Cycle in Oil, Vol, Rates and Gold