Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

Monitoring Global Central Bank Actions for Potential Clues

Rakuten Bank - In Japan With 65% Loan Growth

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>I harness my hybrid nowcasting framework to track the growth prospects of the G3 (US, Euro Area and Japan) economies</li>
<li>Overall, G3 real GDP growth seems to be tracking potentially slower, though uneven across the individual economies, in 1Q 2024</li>
<li>My nowcasts imply that the G3 economies are unlikely to wiggle uniformly in the first-half of 2024 on balance</li>
</ul>


I harness my hybrid nowcasting framework to track the growth prospects of the G3 (US, Euro Area and Japan) economies
Overall, G3 real GDP growth seems to be tracking potentially slower, though uneven across the individual economies, in 1Q 2024
My nowcasts imply that the G3 economies are unlikely to wiggle uniformly in the first-half of 2024 on balance


Tracking & Nowcasting G3 GDP