Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

The Evolving and Varying Demographic Imprint

Almost Half of Global GDP Tracking Unevenly

A Unique High-Frequency Indicator of Recessions

Monitoring Global Central Bank Actions for Potential Clues

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>My hybrid nowcasting framework tracks the inflation-adjusted or real GDP growth rates of US, Euro Area and Japan</li>
<li>My nowcasts for the individual G3 economies are prospectively diverging at the beginning of 2024</li>
<li>But in aggregate, my nowcast suggests that G3 GDP growth is potentially tracking softer through the first-half of 2024 on average </li>
</ul>


My hybrid nowcasting framework tracks the inflation-adjusted or real GDP growth rates of US, Euro Area and Japan
My nowcasts for the individual G3 economies are prospectively diverging at the beginning of 2024
But in aggregate, my nowcast suggests that G3 GDP growth is potentially tracking softer through the first-half of 2024 on average 


世界のGDPのほぼ半分を予測