Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
Contrarian Cashflows is built around the principles of respect, honesty, open-mindedness and a touch of humour. Please consider these principles in any engagement interaction with me, other readers and the content on this blog. Misbehaviour is not tolerated.
If you want to reach out to me directly, the best way is via LinkedIn, Twitter or email. You can find the details at my homepage contrariancashflows.com

Equity Bottom-Up

Var Energi AS operates as an oil and gas company. The Company provides crude oil and natural gas exploration and production services. Var Energi serves customers in Norway.

<ul>
<li>Vår Eneri operates as an upstream oil and gas producer focused primarily on the Norwegian Continental Shelf.</li>
<li>Its business model is centered on exploring for, developing, and producing hydrocarbons from offshore fields, while generating cash flow through the sale of crude oil and natural gas into European energy markets.</li>
<li>The company combines organic field development with acquisitions of producing assets in order to maintain reserve replacement and production growth. </li>
</ul>


Vår Eneri operates as an upstream oil and gas producer focused primarily on the Norwegian Continental Shelf.
Its business model is centered on exploring for, developing, and producing hydrocarbons from offshore fields, while generating cash flow through the sale of crude oil and natural gas into European energy markets.
The company combines organic field development with acquisitions of producing assets in order to maintain reserve replacement and production growth. 


Pilgrim's Pride Corporation produces prepared and fresh chicken products in the United States and Mexico.  Through vertical integration, the Company controls the breeding, hatching, and growing of chickens and the processing, preparation, and packaging of its product lines.  Pilgrim's Pride exports its products to Canada, Eastern Europe, the Far East, and other world markets.

<ul><li>Pilgrim’s Pride operates as a vertically integrated food producer focused primarily on chicken and pork products.</li><li>The company generates revenue by breeding livestock, processing meat, and selling fresh, frozen, and prepared foods to retailers, distributors, and foodservice companies across the United States, Mexico, and Europe.</li><li>Pilgrim’s Pride has come a long way to becoming one of the most efficient meat processors in Europe and North America.</li></ul>

Pilgrim’s Pride operates as a vertically integrated food producer focused primarily on chicken and pork products.The company generates revenue by breeding livestock, processing meat, and selling fresh, frozen, and prepared foods to retailers, distributors, and foodservice companies across the United States, Mexico, and Europe.Pilgrim’s Pride has come a long way to becoming one of the most efficient meat processors in Europe and North America.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.</li>
<li>Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.</li>
<li>If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!</li>
</ul>


Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.
Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.
If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!


<ul><li>Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.</li><li>Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.</li><li>If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!</li></ul>

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!

<ul><li>Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention.</li><li>These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.</li><li>Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.</li></ul>

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention.These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.

My approach is to cover companies that fit my investment criteria and trade at prices with near term free cashflow yields that provide above-average returns. Usually my hurdle yield is 10%. This way I do not need the market to converge to my assessment of value to earn acceptable returns. You can find my investment criteria on my website.

Since good companies rarely come cheap, I predominantly look off the beaten paths at smaller companies in sectors or regions that face short-term headwinds and are therefore neglected by most investors.
Most of the times, I use a Discounted Cashflow Model (DCF) to value businesses. However, to limit the possibilities to mess with the model, I developed a variation of the DCF that uses less parameters at the cost of being less precise. I think the tradeoff is very worthwhile as I really take the words of a Sir Maynard Keynes to heart: It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong.

Lastly, to protect me from my own ignorance and stupidity, I always insist on a margin of safety.

Contrarian Cashflows
Fundamental Analyses
• Contrarian Cashflows

Monday Delight: 01/06/2026

Vår Eneri operates as an upstream oil and gas producer focused primarily on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. Its business model is centered on...

Contrarian Cashflows

Monday Delight: 25/05/2026

Pilgrim’s Pride operates as a vertically integrated food producer focused primarily on chicken and pork products. The company generates revenue...

Contrarian Cashflows

Monday Delight: 18/05/2026

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help...

Contrarian Cashflows

Monday Delight: 11/05/2026

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you...

Contrarian Cashflows

Monday Delight: 04/05/2026

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help...

Contrarian Cashflows